SEC Betting Notebook – Week 13

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SEC Week 13 Schedule & Odds

• Kentucky at Florida (-25, 61)
• Vanderbilt at Missouri (-15, 51)
• Auburn at Alabama (-24.5, 62.5)
• Mississippi State at Ole Miss (-9.5, 69)
• LSU at Texas A&M (-14.5, 64)
• Georgia (-21.5, 49) at South Carolina

Odds Subject to Change

How to Handicap SEC Week 13

(Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS)

Scheduled for Saturday, Nov. 28

Kentucky at Florida

• TV-Time: ESPN, 12:00 p.m.
• Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
• Location: Gainesville, FL

-- Florida (6-1 straight up, 4-3 against the spread) has won 32 of the last 33 head-to-head meetings against Kentucky. However, in their last visit to The Swamp in 2018, the Wildcats snapped a 31-game losing streak to UF by capturing a 27-16 win as 13.5-point road underdogs.

-- As of Tuesday afternoon, most betting shops had the Gators installed as 24-point home favorites with a total of 60.5. On Wednesday, Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops revealed that his team was preparing for UF without 18 players and 10 staff members due to injuries and COVID-19. This prompted most books to adjust the Gators to 25.5-point ‘chalk.’ As of Friday afternoon, most spots had UF favored by 25.5 with a total of 61 or 61.5 points. The Wildcats were anywhere from +950 to +1200 on the money line.

-- Dan Mullen’s team is unbeaten in three home games with a 2-1 spread record. In 14 games as home favorites during Mullen’s three-year tenure, the Gators are 9-5 ATS.

-- Florida won a 38-17 decision at Vanderbilt this past Saturday, but the Commodores easily took the cash as 31.5-point home underdogs. UF fifth-year senior quarterback Kyle Trask completed 26-of-35 passes for 383 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Dameon Pierce had 55 rushing yards and one TD on 11 carries, while Kadarius Toney had six receptions for 107 yards and one TD. Justin Shorter added five catches for 94 yards, and TE Kemore Gamble caught three balls for 66 yards and two TDs. Trevon Grimes had three grabs for 44 yards and one TD.

-- Florida junior TE Kyle Pitts will return this week after he missed back-to-back games recovering from a concussion and nasal surgery. The Philadelphia product was injured late in the second quarter of a 44-28 win vs. Georgia when Pitts and UGA’s Lewis Cine both sustained concussions in a violent collision. Cine also lost several teeth and was ejected for targeting. Pitts has 24 receptions for 414 yards and four TDs in five games, although we should note that he missed the second half against the Bulldogs and parts of the second half in a 41-38 loss at Texas A&M.

-- At his Monday media scrum via zoom, Mullen also announced that junior LB James Houston will be back Saturday vs. UK. Houston has missed the last two games with an undisclosed injury. In four games this year (he also missed the season-opening 51-35 win at Ole Miss), Houston has produced 13 tackles and one sack. He had 38 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, two QB hurries and one forced fumble in 2019. Starting senior DE Jeremiah Moon (foot) and starting senior guard Steward Reese (lower-body injury) are ‘questionable’ vs. UK, while redshirt freshman Trent Whittemoore is ‘out.’ Moon and Reese haven’t played in the last two games since getting injured vs. Georgia. Whittemoore (broken rib, collapsed lung) is expected to miss at least 1-2 more games after going down vs. Arkansas. Whittemoore has eight catches for 81 yards and one TD this year.

-- Most spots have Trask as the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy at odds anywhere from -135 to -175. He has an incredible 31/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Trask leads the nation in TD passes, is fifth in QB Rating (197.09), second in passing yards per game (364.9) and sixth in completion percentage (70.7%). He has the most passing yards (2,554) of any QB in the country that’s played seven games or fewer.

-- Toney, UF’s senior WR who has battled injury problems for much of his career, is enjoying a breakout campaign that’s bolstering his stock for the 2021 NFL Draft. Toney is ninth in the SEC in all-purpose yards per game (109.6 YPG). Toney has 42 catches for 503 yards and is fifth in the SEC in TD receptions with seven. Grimes, who has caught 22 balls for 347 yards, is tied for sixth in the SEC with six TD catches.

-- Florida is ninth in the nation in total offense, second in passing yards and eighth in scoring with its 44.7 points-per-game average. The Gators are No. 58 in scoring defense, however, surrendering 28.1 PPG.

-- Kentucky (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) is 1-3 both SU and ATS in four road assignments. The Wildcats won 34-7 at Tennessee, but they’ve lost road games at Auburn (29-13), at Missouri (20-10) and at Alabama (63-3).

-- During Mark Stoops’s eight-year tenure, Kentucky has compiled a 15-16 spread record in 31 games as a road underdog.

-- Kentucky was without starting TE Justin Rigg and starting RB Chris Rodriguez in last week’s loss at Alabama. Both will miss Saturday’s game at UF, too. Rodriguez has 562 rushing yards, six TDs and a 6.4 yards-per-carry average. RB A.J. Rose will share carries with Kavosiey Smoke, who 137 rushing yards, one TD and a 5.7 YPC average in five games this season. As a freshman in 2019, Smoke produced 609 rushing yards, six TDs and a 6.3 YPC average. Smoke was limited to 26 rushing yards on nine carries against the Crimson Tide. Rose has 358 rushing yards and one TD with a 5.5 YPC average.

-- Kentucky QB Terry Wilson has completed 63.2 percent of his throws for 829 yards with a 6/2 TD-INT ratio. Wilson has 339 rushing yards, four TDs and a 4.6 YPC average. When the Wildcats ended their long losing streak to Florida in 2018, Wilson was the catalyst on that night in Gainesville. He connected on 11-of-16 passes for 151 yards and two TDs with one interception. Wilson also had 105 rushing yards and one TD on 10 carries.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for UF, 2-1 in its home games. The Gators’ combined scores are averaging 72.8 PPG.

-- The ‘under’ is 5-3 overall for the ‘Cats, 3-1 in their four road assignments. Their games are averaging combined scores of 47.3 PPG. This is UK’s second-highest total of the season. Its highest was 63.5 in a 42-41 home loss to Ole Miss in overtime. The second-highest total for Kentucky was last week’s 57.5 that saw the ‘over’ cash with 66 combined points.

Vanderbilt at Missouri

• TV-Time: SEC, 12:00 p.m.
• Venue: Memorial Stadium
• Location: Columbia, MO

-- Missouri was scheduled to host Arkansas this week, but the SEC had to re-arrange some games because the Razorbacks’ numbers were so far down due to positive tests for COVID-19. Vanderbilt was supposed to host Tennessee, which was initially installed as a nine-point road favorite despite being mired in a 0-5 slump both SU and ATS. Instead, the Volunteers and Arkansas are off this week, while the Commodores travel to Columbia to face the Tigers. Vandy head coach Derek Mason said Tuesday that he was informed of the opponent change at around 4:00 p.m. on Monday.

-- As of early Friday, most books had Missouri (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) listed as a 14-point favorite with a total of 51.The Commodores were +425 on the money line.

-- Missouri is off a 17-10 win at South Carolina as a 4.5-point road favorite. The 27 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 57.5-point total. The Tigers led 17-0 at intermission, but they had to hold off a late run by the Gamecocks to preserve the victory.

-- It was Missouri’s first game as a favorite all season. This is the Tigers’ first game as a double-digit ‘chalk’ since last year’s regular-season finale when they failed to cover in a 24-14 win at Arkansas as 13-point road favorites. Missouri is 2-7 ATS with two outright losses in its last nine games as a double-digit favorite against SEC competition.

-- Vanderbilt (0-7 SU, 4-3 ATS) has covered the spread in three consecutive games, including last week’s 38-17 home loss to Florida as a 31.5-point underdog. Mason’s team has beat the closing lines by 35.5 combined points in those three straight spread covers.

-- Mason announced earlier this week that starting RB Keyon Brooks would be ready Saturday at Missouri. Brooks missed last week’s loss to UF with bruised ribs. The sophomore RB had produced back-to-back 100-plus rushing yard efforts in losses at Mississippi St. (24-17) and at Kentucky (38-35). In four games this year, Brooks has 374 rushing yards, two TDs and a 4.4 YPC average. He also has 22 receptions for 215 yards.

-- Vandy true freshman QB Ken Seals is showing improvement every week, especially over the past month. Seals has 319 passing yards or more in three of the Commodores’ last four contests. For the season, he’s completed 66.5 percent of his passes for 1,610 yards with a 10/9 TD-INT ratio.

-- Seals’s favorite target is junior WR Cam Johnson, who has 44 receptions for 448 yards and two TDs. Amir Abdur-Rahman has 23 catches for 320 yards and one TD, while senior WR Chris Pierce has 20 grabs for 301 yards and five TDs.

-- The ‘under’ is 4-3 overall for Vandy, 2-1 in its road assignments. The Commodores have seen their games average combined scores of 52.7 PPG.

-- The ‘under’ is 4-2 overall for Missouri after cashing in each of its last three games. However, the Tigers have seen the ‘over’ go 2-1 in their three home outings. Their combined scores have averaged 50.9 PPG.

Auburn at Alabama

• TV-Time: CBS, 3:30 p.m.
• Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium
• Location: Tuscaloosa, AL

-- As of early Friday afternoon, most books had Alabama (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) installed as a 24.5-point home favorite with a total of 62. For first-half wagers, the Crimson Tide were favored by 14 with a total of 33.5 points. The Tigers were +1100 on the money line (for the game, that is).

-- Auburn (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) has won two of the last three Iron Bowls, but both of those victories came at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Tigers captured a 45-42 win as 3.5-point home underdogs last year when Alabama’s short field-goal attempt late in the fourth quarter hit the left upright, denying the Crimson Tide a chance at another trip to the College Football Playoff. Anders Carlson buried four field goals for the winners, while RB Shaun Shivers scored the go-ahead points on an 11-yard TD run with 8:08 remaining. A true freshman at the time, QB Bo Nix threw for 173 yards and one TD without an interception. He also ran for 44 yards and one TD on only six attempts.

-- In last year’s losing effort, Alabama RB Najee Harris had 146 rushing yards and one TD on 27 carries. In his third career start, QB Mac Jones threw for 335 yards and four TDs, but he was intercepted twice. AU defensive back Smoke Monday and KB Zakoby McClain turned both interceptions into pick-sixes of 29 and 100 yards, respectively.

-- Alabama has won four home games in a row over Auburn since Cam Newton orchestrated a 28-27 comeback win as a 4.5-point road underdog in 2010. Since then, the Crimson Tide have won at home by scores of 49-0, 55-44, 30-12 and 52-21. Auburn did get the money in the 30-12 loss in 2016 as a 20.5-point road underdog. The ‘over’ is 6-3 in the past nine head-to-head meetings between these bitter rivals.

-- Gus Malzahn’s club covered the spread as a 10-point home favorite in last week’s 30-17 win over Tennessee thanks to a 50-yard field goal by Carlson with 1:27 remaining. Trailing 13-10 late in the third quarter, the Volunteers appeared poised to at least tie the game or take the lead with a drive deep into AU territory. However, with 2:21 left, Auburn’s Monday intercepted Jarrett Guarantano and returned the pick 100 yards for a touchdown. When DJ Williams busted a nine-yard run to paydirt with 7:14 remaining, Auburn had scored 27 unanswered points and was ahead of the number for the first time. Tennessee RB Eric Gray responded with a one-yard TD run with 4:07 left to make it a push, but Carlson’s spread-covering kick hooked AU backers up with a fortunate winner.

-- Since losing 30-22 at South Carolina on Oct. 17, Auburn has won three games in a row both SU and ATS, including a 35-28 win at Ole Miss and a 48-11 home triumph over LSU.

-- In the win over the Vols, AU true freshman RB Tank Bigsby suffered a hip pointer in the first half that kept him out for the rest of the game. On Wednesday, Malzahn said the status of Bigsby, in addition to both starting OTs Alec Jackson and Brodarious Hamm, is “questionable for all three.” Bigsby has a team-high 527 rushing yards, five TDs and a 5.7 YPC average.

-- Nix has completed 61.3 percent of his passes for 1,627 yards with a 10/5 TD-INT ratio in his sophomore campaign. He also has 284 rushing yards and three TDs, averaging 4.0 YPC. However, Nix has been notorious for struggling on the road. He’s 3-4 in seven career road starts. Nix has a 2/4 TD-INT ratio in three road contests this year.

-- Nix has three elite targets in WRs Seth Williams, Eli Stove and Anthony Schwartz. Williams has 33 receptions for 563 yards and three TDs, while Schwartz has 41 catches for 506 yards and three TDs. Stove, who missed two games injured earlier in the year, has caught 24 balls for 249 yards and three TDs.

-- As a road underdog during Malzahn’s eight-year tenure, Auburn owns a 6-8 spread record.

-- Alabama will be without legendary head coach Nick Saban on the sidelines Saturday for the first time in 14 years. Saban tested positive for COVID-19 on Wednesday and unlike the week of the Georgia game in mid-October, it was not a false positive. Saban has been dealing with minor symptoms. He’s named offensive coordinator and former Washington and USC head coach Steve Sarkisian as the team’s interim HC. For what it’s worth, Sarkisian went 4-1 in five Apple Cups while with the Huskies.

-- Alabama is 4-0 both SU and ATS at home this season. The Tide owns home wins over Texas A&M (52-24), Georgia (41-24), Mississippi St. (41-0) and Kentucky (63-3). Jones completed 16-of-24 passes for 230 yards and two TDs with one interception in last week’s win over UK. Harris ran for 83 yards and two TDs on 13 carries, while senior WR DeVonta Smith had nine receptions for 144 yards and two TDs.

-- Most books have Alabama listed as a -400 favorite to win the SEC. The Crimson Tide is also the ‘chalk’ to win the CFP in the +150 neighborhood. Jones has either the second or third-shortest odds to win the Heisman Trophy at odds around +300. Harris and Smith are still on the board at around 50/1 odds.

-- For the season, Jones has connected on 77.1 percent of his throws for 2,426 yards with an 18/3 TD-INT ratio. Smith has 65 receptions for 903 yards and 10 TDs, while Harris has 797 rushing yards, 16 TDs and a 5.8 YPC average. Harris also has 22 catches for 210 yards.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for Alabama, 3-1 in its home games.

-- The ‘under’ has cashed in four consecutive Auburn games to improve to 6-1 overall. The ‘under’ is a perfect 3-0 in AU’s road assignments.

SEC Week 13 Best Bets

Mississippi State at Ole Miss

• TV-Time: SEC, 4:00 p.m.
• Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
• Location: Oxford, MS

-- As of early Friday afternoon, most shops had Ole Miss (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) installed as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 69. The Bulldogs were +260 on the money line.

-- In last year’s Egg Bowl, Mississippi St. won a 21-20 decision when Ole Miss missed a potential tying extra point with four seconds remaining. The Rebels had cut the deficit to one on a two-yard TD pass from Matt Corral to Elijah Moore, who then drew a 15-yard penalty when he imitated a dog urinating in the end zone.

-- Moore understandably drew a lot of criticism for his actions, but it’s probably one of the best things to happen to the Ole Miss football program in a long time. It led to the dismissal of head coach Matt Luke, who has landed on his feet with a nice contract as the offensive line coach at Georgia. Most important, it led to the hiring of Lane Kiffin, who has injected energy into the fan base and has instantly created an exciting, high-octane offense led by Corral and Moore.

-- Ole Miss has bounced back from a three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins at Vanderbilt (54-21) and vs. South Carolina (59-42). The Rebels have had two weeks to prepare since their game at Texas A&M was postponed last week due to a COVID-19 outbreak for the Aggies.

-- Trailing South Carolina 42-38 with less than 13 minutes remaining two weeks ago, Ole Miss scored 21 unanswered points in the final 12:02 to cover the spread as a 12.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The 101 combined points flew ‘over’ the 72.5-point total in the 59-42 triumph. Corral enjoyed a spectacular performance, completing 28-of-32 passes for 513 yards and four TDs without an interception. The third-year sophomore QB added 20 rushing yards and one TD. Moore hauled in 13 receptions for 225 yards and two TDs, while Braylon Sanders had four catches for 141 yards. Sophomore RB Jerrion Ealy ran for 84 yards and two TDs on 17 carries, and he also had a 15-yard TD reception.

-- Moore leads the nation in catches (74) and receiving yards (1,054) and is in an eighth-place tie for TD catches with eight. The junior WR also had 62 rushing yards on 12 attempts (5.2 YPC).

-- Corral has completed 74.0 percent of his passes for 2,359 yards with a 22/9 TD-INT ratio. He has 301 rushing yards, three TDs and a 3.9 YPC average. In back-to-back wins at Vanderbilt and vs. South Carolina, Corral has thrown for 925 yards and 10 TDs without an interception.

-- Ealy has 608 rushing yards, eight TDs and a 5.2 YPC average. He also has 11 catches for 113 yards and one TD. Backup RB Snoop Conner has 333 rushing yards, six TDs and 4.3 YPC average.

-- Ole Miss senior TE Kenny Yeboah has 25 receptions for 509 yards and six TDs, while sophomore WR Jonathan Mingo has caught 19 balls for 278 yards and three TDs. Sanders has eight catches for 213 yards and one TD, while senior WR Dontario Drummond has 15 receptions for 187 yards and four TDs.

-- As dynamic as Kiffin’s first team has been offensively, it has been equally abysmal on the defensive side of the ball. The Rebels are ranked No. 125 out of 127 FBS teams in total defense, No. 124 in scoring ‘D’ (40.9 PPG), No. 123 in run defense and No. 117 in pass defense.

-- Mississippi St. (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) has lost three of its four road games while going 2-2 ATS. The Bulldogs took the money in last week’s 31-24 loss at Georgia as 26.5-point road underdogs. The 55 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 44-point total. The ‘over’ ended a 5-0 run for the ‘under’ in MSU games, and the spread cover for Mike Leach’s team ended a 0-5 ATS slide.

-- Despite bringing only 49 scholarship players to Athens, Mississippi St. held three separate leads (3-0, 10-7 and 17-10) and there were three different ties. UGA didn’t take the lead for good until JT Daniels found Kearis Jackson for a 40-yard scoring strike with 9:50 remaining. True freshman QB Will Rogers completed 41-of-52 passes for 336 yards and one TD without an interception. True freshman WR Jaden Walley had seven receptions for 115 yards and one TD, while senior WR Osirus Mitchell had seven catches for 53 yards. Another true freshman, RB Dillon Johnson, had a pair of TD runs and seven receptions for 42 yards. MSU didn’t commit any turnovers and had only three penalties in a clean performance.

-- For the season, Rogers has completed 73.8 percent of his throws for 872 yards and three TDs compared to four interceptions. Mitchell has 33 catches for 389 yards and three TDs.

-- Mississippi St. is 2-8 ATS in 10 games as a road underdog since 2017.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for the Rebels, 3-1 in their home games. Ole Miss has seen its games average combined scores of 81.9 PPG.

-- The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for the Bulldogs, 2-2 in their road assignments.

-- The ‘under’ has cashed at an 8-2 clip in the last 10 Egg Bowls.

LSU at Texas A&M

• TV-Time: ESPN, 7:00 p.m.
• Venue: Kyle Field
• Location: College Station, Texas

-- As of early Friday afternoon, most shops had Texas A&M (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) listed as a 15-point favorite with a total of 63.5. The Tigers were anywhere from +410 to +450 on the money line.

-- Since losing 52-24 at Alabama on Oct. 3, Jimbo Fisher’s team has won four games in a row while going 3-1 ATS. The Aggies haven’t played in three weeks, though. They dominated South Carolina 48-3 as 9.5-point road ‘chalk’ on Nov. 7. Senior QB Kellen Mond connected on 16-of-26 passes for 224 yards and four TDs without an interception. He also had 34 rushing yards and one TD on only six attempts. Isaiah Spiller ran for 131 yards on 18 carries, in addition to making two catches for 46 yards. TE Jalen Wydermyer had three receptions for 35 yards and two TDs, while RB Devon Achane had two catches for 70 yards and one TD.

-- Texas A&M has won all three of its home games, but it is 1-2 ATS. The Aggies have home wins over Vanderbilt (17-12), Florida (41-38) and Arkansas (42-31).

-- Mond has enjoyed a stellar senior campaign, completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 1,468 yards with a 16/2 TD-INT ratio. Mond also has 112 rushing yards and one TD. His favorite target has been Wydermyer, who has 28 receptions for 311 yards and four TDs. RB Ainias Smith has 26 catches for a team-best 312 yards and five TDs, while WR Chase Lane has caught 23 balls for 311 yards and two TDs.

-- Spiller has run for 643 yards and five TDs with a 6.2 YPC average.

-- As a home favorite during Fisher’s three-year tenure, Texas A&M is 10-5 ATS.

-- LSU (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) is off a 27-24 win at Arkansas last Saturday as a one-point road favorite. The 51 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 65-point tally. Trailing 24-20 with 3:59 remaining, LSU true freshman QB TJ Finley found Jaray Jenkins for a 13-yard scoring strike that proved to be the game-winning score. Finley completed 27-of-42 passes for 271 yards and two TDs without an interception. RB Tyrion Davis-Price ran for 104 yards and one TD on 24 totes.

-- LSU is 2-2 both SU and ATS on the road this year. During Ed Orgeron’s five-year tenure, the Tigers are 5-1 ATS as road underdogs.

-- LSU star CB Derek Stingley left the win over Arkansas early after suffering a minor injury on a punt return. Reports out of Baton Rouge this week indicated that Stingley will be ready to go Saturday against the Aggies, who took a 50-7 beating from Joe Burrow and Co. at Tiger Stadium last season. Stingley, who was a second-team All-American after producing six interceptions and 15 passes broken up as a true freshman in 2019, has 20 tackles, two TFL’s, one forced fumble and one PBU in five games this year.

-- LSU starting WR Racey McMath is ‘out’ at Texas A&M after sustaining a hamstring injury last week. McMath has 14 catches for 195 yards and one TD this year.

-- With Myles Brennan set to miss his fourth straight game (abdomen), Finley will make his fourth start. Finley has hit 65.5 percent of his passes for 679 yards with a 4/3 TD-INT ratio. Junior WR Terrace Marshall has 38 receptions for 597 yards and nine TDs. True freshman TE Arik Gilbert has 27 catches for 314 yards and two TDs.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (3-3) for LSU, but the ‘under’ is 3-1 in its four road contests.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (3-3) for the Aggies, but they’ve seen the ‘over’ go 2-1 in their three home outings.

Georgia at South Carolina

• TV-Time: SEC, 7:30 p.m.
• Venue: Williams-Brice Stadium
• Location: Columbia, South Carolina

-- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Georgia (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) listed as a 21.5-point favorite with a total of 49. The Gamecocks were +900 on the money line.

-- Georgia is in revenge mode here after losing at home to South Carolina in double overtime last season. The Gamecocks won a 20-17 decision as 21.5-point road underdogs thanks to three interceptions, including a pick-six, from CB Israel Mukuamu. However, when Will Muschamp was fired after a 59-42 loss at Ole Miss two weeks ago, Mukuamu opted out of the rest of the season along with fellow DBs Jaycee Horn and RJ Roderick.

-- Georgia failed to cover the number in this past Saturday’s 31-24 win over Mississippi St. as a 26.5-point home favorite. It was the Bulldogs fourth consecutive non-cover. JT Daniels, the transfer from USC who tore his ACL in Week 1 of 2019 while playing for the Trojans, finally made his UGA debut when he was given the starting nod last week. Daniels produced an impressive performance, completing 28-of-38 passes for 401 yards and four TDs without an interception. True freshman WR Jermain Burton enjoyed a breakout game, catching eight balls for 197 yards and two TDs. Sophomore WR George Pickens added eight receptions for 87 yards and one TD.

-- UGA has won outright in two of its three road games, but it is 0-3 ATS. The Bulldogs are 11-6 ATS in 17 games as road favorites during Kirby Smart’s five-year tenure.

-- South Carolina (2-6 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) has lost three of its four home games, going 1-2-1 ATS.

-- South Carolina is off a 17-10 home loss to Missouri as a 4.5-point underdog. Like UGA, the Gamecocks are mired in a 0-4 ATS slide. Star senior WR Shi Smith sustained a concussion in the first half against the Tigers, leaving interim head coach Mike Bobo without his best option in the passing game. Smith, who is listed as ‘doubtful’ vs. UGA, has 54 receptions for 605 yards and four TDs.

-- In an otherwise dreadful season that resulted in the dismissal of fifth-year head coach Will Muschamp, one of the few bright spots has been the emergence of Kevin Harris. The sophomore RB has 875 rushing yards, 13 TDs and a 6.0 YPC average. Harris also has 16 catches for 112 yards and one TD. Harris will face a UGA defense that’s ranked third in the country at stopping the run.

-- QBs Collin Hill and Luke Doty have reportedly been splitting first-team snaps at practice all week. Bobo had not announced a starter as of early Saturday afternoon. Doty was more effective vs. Missouri last week, completing 14-of-23 throws for 130 yards with one interception. Doty also had a team-best 59 rushing yards on 11 attempts. Nick Muse had six catches for 67 yards.

-- South Carolina is mired in a 3-7-1 ATS slump in its last 11 games as a home underdog.

-- The ‘over’ has hit at a 4-1 clip in UGA’s past five games to improve to 4-3 overall. The ‘under’ is 2-1 in the Bulldogs’ three road assignments.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for South Carolina, but the ‘under’ is 3-1 in its home outings.

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