ACC Betting Report – Week 14


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The Atlantic Coast Conference will have 11 of 15 schools in action for Week 14 for a total of five conference games, one non-conference tilt and three teams on a bye.

All six games are scheduled to take place on Saturday, Dec. 5, 2020.

Conference

  • Western Carolina at North Carolina
  • Syracuse at Notre Dame
  • Boston College at Virginia
  • Georgia at N.C. State
  • Clemson at Virginia Tech
  • Miami-Florida at Duke

Not In Action

  • Florida State, Pittsburgh, Virginia, Wake Forest

Western Carolina at North Carolina (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Betting Odds: North Carolina -49.5, O/U 69.5 

  • Last Game (Nov. 21): Western Carolina at Eastern Kentucky L 17-49 (OFF)
  • Last Week: North Carolina vs. Notre Dame L 17-31 (+4.5, 69.5)

The Catamounts of Western Carolina head to Kenan Stadium with a pair of losses at Liberty and at Eastern Kentucky. That's all they have been able to do so far this season, falling 58-14 to Liberty and 49-17 to Eastern Kentucky. Confidence isn't high that they'll be able to hang with a Power 5 team like the Tar Heels, who have an offense which has rolled up 40.2 PPG this season, 12th in the FBS.

 The Tar Heels are also eighth in the country with 533.9 total yards per game with 316.7 passing yards per contest to rank 16th. It's hard to imagine the Catamounts slowing them down when they couldn't even snuff out the Flames or corral the Colonels of the FCS. This one is going to be ugly, and UNC has the potential to take care of the 'over' on their own. Last week's loss to Notre Dame was a rare 'under', snapping a 4-0 'over' run. The Tar Heels have now failed to cover in back-to-back games, so they'll be rather angry and looking to take out their aggressions on their overwhelmed opponent.

Syracuse at Notre Dame (NBC, 2:30 p.m. ET)

Betting Odds: Notre Dame -33.5, O/U 51.5

  • Last Week: Syracuse vs. N.C. State L 29-36 (+17, 50)
  • Last Week: Notre Dame at North Carolina W 31-17 (-4.5, 69.5)

The Orange have won once in 10 games overall, but they are a respectable 5-5 ATS so far. The Orange hung with a talented N.C. State team last week, falling 36-29 at home as 17-point underdogs. That 'over' result snapped a 3-0 'under' run for Syracuse. The Orange have alternated covers in each of the past six. Syracuse has also covered each of its past two as an underdog or 21 or more points. Despite their 29 points last week, the Orange are still averaging just 17.5 PPG and 78.3 rushing yards per outing. Overall, they have totaled just 250.4 total yards per game on offense while yielding 31.5 PPG.

The Irish are coming off a 31-17 road win at North Carolina, their third straight cover. After opening the season 2-4 ATS, all as a favorite, Notre Dame has covered each of the past three, including two straight as a favorite. Notre Dame is just 1-3 ATS in four games a a favorite of 20.5 or more points. The last time these teams met was a neutral-site game at Yankee Stadium, with the Irish posting a 36-3 win to cover a 10-point number as the 'under' (64.5) comfortably hit. Nore Dame is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 games following a cover, and 9-4 ATS in the past 13 as a favorite. However, they're 8-21-1 ATS in the past 30 at home against a team with a losing road record.

Boston College at Virginia (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Virginia -6.5, O/U 54.5

  • Last Week: Boston College vs. Louisville W 34-27 (-1, 56.5)
  • Last Game (Nov. 21): Virginia vs. Abilene Christian W 55-15 (-38.5, 61)

B.C. is searching for its seventh victory of the season, and they're looking to build upon their 34-27 victory against Louisville last weekend at Alumni Stadium. The Eagles have alternated straight-up wins and losses in each of the past nine games. On the road they're 2-2 SU/ATS in four trips, and the last time they were in the state of Virginia they were dusted by Virginia Tech, 40-14 on Oct. 17 as 13-point underdogs. The Eagles are 23-8-1 ATS in the past 32 ACC games, and 17-7-1 ATS in the past 25 as an underdog. However, they are just 1-9 ATS in the past 10 games played in the month of December.

Virginia picked up a crazy 55-15 win over Abilene Christian last time out on Nov. 21, covering a 38.5-point number on a pick-six at the buzzer. You might have caught it on 'Bad Beats'. And it was bad if you were holding an ACU ticket. The Hoos have won a season-high three consecutive games, and they're 4-0 ATS across the past four while going 6-2 ATS overall. For UVA, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite, and 20-7 ATS in the previous 27 against teams with a winning record. And at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, UVA is an impressive 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 at home.

Georgia Tech at N.C. State (ACC, 4 p.m.)

Betting Odds: N.C. State -7, O/U 59.5

  • Last Week: Georgia Tech vs. Duke W 56-33 (+3, 58.5)
  • Last Week: N.C. State at Syracuse L 29-36 (+17, 50)

The Yellow Jackets showed no quit last week, roughing up Duke 56-33 to win outright as three-point underdogs at home. They have now covered back-to-back games for the first time this season. While they are just 4-4 ATS against the spread, they have been very consistent on totals. The 'over' is 6-1 across the past seven contests. The Ramblin' Wreck has struggled following a cover, however, going 1-6 ATS in the past seven, and they're just 2-9 ATS in the past 11 against teams with a winning record and 7-16 ATS in the past 23 games overall.

For N.C. State, they outlasted Syracuse by a 36-29 count in the Carrier Dome, not even coming close to covering a 17-point number. The Wolfpack tied a season high with three victories in a row last weekend. Head coach Dave Doeren's group have gone 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in five games away from Raleigh this season. N.C. State has racked up 31.9 points per game to rank 43rd in the nation, led by the pass game which is posting 256.6 passing yards per contest. Defensively, N.C. State has struggled with 31.4 PPG allowed, ranking 81st. 

In this series, the Yellow Jackets are 4-0-1 ATS in the past five trips to Raleigh, and 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings overall. The underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings overall, with the road team 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The 'over' is also 5-0 in the past five meetings overall.

Clemson at Virginia Tech (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Clemson -22, O/U 67 

  • Last Week: Clemson vs. Pittsburgh W 52-17 (-24, 58.5)
  • Last Game (Nov. 21): Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh L 14-47 (+6.5, 52.5)

Tigers QB Trevor Lawrence was back in action last weekend, leading Clemson to a 52-17 win over Pittsburgh to cover a 24-point number. It was like riding a bike for Lawrence, who hadn't played since the Syracuse win on Oct. 24. The cover snapped an 0-3 ATS skid by the Tigers. After a 3-1 'under' run in the first four games, Clemson has hit the 'over' in five straight outings, including the two games without Lawrence.

Clemson's offense has posted 34 or more points in all nine outings this season, averaging 46.1 PPG to rank fifth in the country. They're also throwing up 362.8 passing yards per outing to rank third in the country. Defensively, the Tigers might be a bit underrated. They are allowing just 298.6 total yards per game to rank eighth in the nation, and they're yielding 102.6 rushing yards per game to rank 12th. They're also coughing up 19.2 PPG to check in 19th.

Speaking of Pittsburgh, the Hokies also played the Panthers last time out on Nov. 21. They were wrecked 47-14 in the Steel City, not even coming close to covering a 6.5-point number as the 'over' (52.5) cashed. Virginia Tech has posted an 0-3 SU/ATS skid, losing two heartbreakers to Liberty and Miami before getting pounded by Pitt. Facing Clemson certainly won't be the elixir to cure all of their ills, that's for sure.

The Tigers are 20-8 ATS in the past 28 conference games, and 12-4 ATS in the past 16 on the road. The Hokies have covered just twice in the past seven games inside the conference, and one of the past five overall. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five tries against Clemson, too.

Miami-Florida at Duke (ACC, 8 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Miami-Florida -14.5, O/U 60.5

  • Last Game (Nov. 14): Miami-Florida at Virginia Tech W 25-24 (+1, 68.5)
  • Last Week: Duke at Georgia Tech L 33-56 (-3, 58.5)

The Hurricanes invade Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, and perhaps the biggest obstacle in winning will be the weather. The rain is expected to pull out of the Raleigh/Durham area by mid-afternoon, but temperatures will be in the low- to mid-40's during the game with a slight breeze. Miami heads into this one with a 3-14 ATS mark in the 17 games in the month of December, and they're 1-5 ATS in the past six games as a favorite, too. They won 25-24 in its most recent game on Nov. 14 at Virginia Tech, having a pair of games wiped out due to COVID-19 problems.

The Blue Devils were hammered 56-33 at Georgia Tech, and they're now 1-3 SU/ATS across the past four outings overall. While they haven't been terribly consistent, the 'over' is 3-0 in the past three, and 6-2 in the past eight games overall. After a slow start to the season for Duke on the offensive end, Duke has posted 33, 24, 53, 20, 38 and 31 over the previous six. They're just 2-6 ATS in the past eight tries against winning teams, however. The 'over' is a solid 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in Durham, too.

ACC Betting Results - 2020

2020 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 6-4 5-4 6-4 5-5
Clemson 8-1 7-1 3-6 6-3
Duke 2-7 1-7 4-5 6-3
Florida State 2-6 1-6 2-6 5-3
Georgia Tech 3-5 3-4 4-4 6-2
Louisville 3-7 2-7 4-5-1 6-4
Miami-Florida 7-1 6-1 5-3 4-4
North Carolina 6-3 6-3 4-5 5-4
North Carolina State 7-3 6-3 6-4 7-3
Notre Dame 9-0 8-0 5-4 5-4
Pittsburgh 5-5 4-5 3-6-1 8-2
Syracuse 1-9 1-8 5-5 5-5
Virginia 4-4 3-4 6-2 6-2
Virginia Tech 4-5 4-4 3-6 6-3
Wake Forest 4-3 3-3 6-1 4-3

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