Amazing Race Odds: Which former Big Brother player will win Season 38?

Amazing Race Odds: Which former Big Brother player will win Season 38?

VegasInsider has calculated the winner odds, along with the most likely elimination order, for the new Amazing Race season. This season is even more fun to speculate on than usual due to the inclusion of former Big Brother players, who bring a deeper knowledge base (including personality, strategy, and competition history) to inform the odds.

Jas and Jag Bains have the highest odds of winning with an implied probability of 25%. They are followed closely by Kyland Young and Taylor Hale. Unfortunately for her legion of fans Angela Murray and her daughter are the most likely first elimination.

You can see your favorite’s chances of winning the $1 million grand prize below.

Each Amazing Race Team’s Odds Of Winning The Race

TeamOdds of WinningAmericanImplied Probability
Jas & Jag Bains3/1+30025%
Kyland Young & Taylor Hale4/1+40020%
Matt Turner & Megan Turner5/1+50016.7%
Joseph & Adam Abdin6/1+60014.3%
Enzo & Jack Palumbo7/1+70012.5%
Tucker & Eric Des Lauriers7/1+70012.5%
Kat Dunn & Alex Romo8/1+80011.1%
Izzy Gleicher & Paige Seber10/1+10009.1%
Jack & Chelsie Baham11/1+11008.3%
Natalie & Stephanie Negrotti12/1+12007.7%
Rubina & Kristine Bernabe13/1+13007.1%
Hannah & Simone Chaddha13/1+13007.1%
Angela & Lexi Murray14/1+14006.7%

Odds above are for entertainment purposes only. These do not reflect odds that may be available on betting apps.

Who Will Be Eliminated First? Highest Odds of Elimination by Leg

1. Angela & Lexi Murray (Mother and Daughter)

2. Hannah & Simone Chaddha (Sisters)

3. Rubina & Kristine Bernabe (Sisters)

4. Jack & Chelsie Baham (Father and Daughter)

5. Natalie & Stephanie Negrotti (Sisters)

6. Izzy Gleicher & Paige Seber (Engaged)

7. Tucker & Eric Des Lauriers (Brothers)

8. Kat Dunn & Alex Romo (Dating)

9. Joseph & Adam Abdin (Brothers)

10.  Matt Turner & Megan Turner (Newlyweds)

Finale Night - The three teams predicted to make finale night

Jas & Jag Bains (Brothers) vs. Kyland Young & Taylor Hale (Dating) vs.  Enzo & Jack Palumbo (Brothers)

Final Ranking

  • 1st Place Winner: Jas & Jag Bains (Brothers)
  • 2nd Place:  Kyland Young & Taylor Hale (Dating)
  • 3rd Place: Enzo & Jack Palumbo (Brothers)

A spokesperson for VegasInsider commented:

“Big Brother 25 winner Jag Bains and his brother Jas have the highest odds of winning. Jag’s known for his athleticism and played an impressive game his season.

We’ll see if this translates to the race, but with odds of 25%  we think the brothers could go far in the competition! Right behind him are Kyland Young and Taylor Hale. The pair has an impressive reality show track record and strong odds at 20%.

Unfortunately for her many fans, Angela Murray is our favorite to be voted off first. However, another team’s flat tire or the right detour activity could change her fate.”

Phil Keoghan, host of the Amazing Race, filming with group of kids
© Bob Self/Florida Times-Union / USA TODAY NETWORK

See What Happens On The September 25th Premiere

Whilst you can’t bet on the Amazing Race on traditional sportsbooks, you should check out this bet365 Bonus Code if you fancy the markets on Bet365. 

The Amazing Race is filmed months in advance. This means that everyone on the cast already knows exactly how their odds of winning played out. It is unlikely the winner will be revealed before finale night. Odds heavily favor Kyland and Taylor or the Bains’ brothers taking it all.

Yet a flat tire can always throw a wrench in the odds, the same way an injury on the field can completely change a football game. There is (limited) hope for Angela yet. 

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