Amazing Race Odds: Which former Big Brother player will win Season 38?

VegasInsider has calculated the winner odds, along with the most likely elimination order, for the new Amazing Race season. This season is even more fun to speculate on than usual due to the inclusion of former Big Brother players, who bring a deeper knowledge base (including personality, strategy, and competition history) to inform the odds.
Jas and Jag Bains have the highest odds of winning with an implied probability of 25%. They are followed closely by Kyland Young and Taylor Hale. Unfortunately for her legion of fans Angela Murray and her daughter are the most likely first elimination.
You can see your favorite’s chances of winning the $1 million grand prize below.
Each Amazing Race Team’s Odds Of Winning The Race
Team | Odds of Winning | American | Implied Probability |
Jas & Jag Bains | 3/1 | +300 | 25% |
Kyland Young & Taylor Hale | 4/1 | +400 | 20% |
Matt Turner & Megan Turner | 5/1 | +500 | 16.7% |
Joseph & Adam Abdin | 6/1 | +600 | 14.3% |
Enzo & Jack Palumbo | 7/1 | +700 | 12.5% |
Tucker & Eric Des Lauriers | 7/1 | +700 | 12.5% |
Kat Dunn & Alex Romo | 8/1 | +800 | 11.1% |
Izzy Gleicher & Paige Seber | 10/1 | +1000 | 9.1% |
Jack & Chelsie Baham | 11/1 | +1100 | 8.3% |
Natalie & Stephanie Negrotti | 12/1 | +1200 | 7.7% |
Rubina & Kristine Bernabe | 13/1 | +1300 | 7.1% |
Hannah & Simone Chaddha | 13/1 | +1300 | 7.1% |
Angela & Lexi Murray | 14/1 | +1400 | 6.7% |
Odds above are for entertainment purposes only. These do not reflect odds that may be available on betting apps.
Who Will Be Eliminated First? Highest Odds of Elimination by Leg
1. Angela & Lexi Murray (Mother and Daughter)
2. Hannah & Simone Chaddha (Sisters)
3. Rubina & Kristine Bernabe (Sisters)
4. Jack & Chelsie Baham (Father and Daughter)
5. Natalie & Stephanie Negrotti (Sisters)
6. Izzy Gleicher & Paige Seber (Engaged)
7. Tucker & Eric Des Lauriers (Brothers)
8. Kat Dunn & Alex Romo (Dating)
9. Joseph & Adam Abdin (Brothers)
10. Matt Turner & Megan Turner (Newlyweds)
Finale Night - The three teams predicted to make finale night
Jas & Jag Bains (Brothers) vs. Kyland Young & Taylor Hale (Dating) vs. Enzo & Jack Palumbo (Brothers)
Final Ranking
- 1st Place Winner: Jas & Jag Bains (Brothers)
- 2nd Place: Kyland Young & Taylor Hale (Dating)
- 3rd Place: Enzo & Jack Palumbo (Brothers)
A spokesperson for VegasInsider commented:
“Big Brother 25 winner Jag Bains and his brother Jas have the highest odds of winning. Jag’s known for his athleticism and played an impressive game his season.
We’ll see if this translates to the race, but with odds of 25% we think the brothers could go far in the competition! Right behind him are Kyland Young and Taylor Hale. The pair has an impressive reality show track record and strong odds at 20%.
Unfortunately for her many fans, Angela Murray is our favorite to be voted off first. However, another team’s flat tire or the right detour activity could change her fate.”

See What Happens On The September 25th Premiere
Whilst you can’t bet on the Amazing Race on traditional sportsbooks, you should check out this bet365 Bonus Code if you fancy the markets on Bet365.
The Amazing Race is filmed months in advance. This means that everyone on the cast already knows exactly how their odds of winning played out. It is unlikely the winner will be revealed before finale night. Odds heavily favor Kyland and Taylor or the Bains’ brothers taking it all.
Yet a flat tire can always throw a wrench in the odds, the same way an injury on the field can completely change a football game. There is (limited) hope for Angela yet.
If you’re interested in other pop culture, entertainment and real world event bets, you can check out the markets on Kalshi, using this Kalshi referral code.
Entertainment News
- ENTERTAINMENT SEP 19, 2025
Jimmy Kimmel Replacement Odds
- ENTERTAINMENT SEP 8, 2025
77th Emmy Awards: Records That Could Be Broken
- ENTERTAINMENT SEP 4, 2025
Dancing With The Stars – Season 34 – Odds Revealed!
- ENTERTAINMENT SEP 16, 2025
Dancing With The Stars: Dance Types Leading To The Most Eliminations Revealed!
- ENTERTAINMENT MAY 13, 2025
McDonald’s 85th Birthday: The Most Searched-for Menu Items In All The American States Revealed!
- ENTERTAINMENT MAR 25, 2025
Tiger Woods & Vanessa Trump: Betting Odds on Political & Personal Futures