Last Updated Mar 03, 2022, 8:32 AM

Puerto Rico Open Predictions, Picks, Odds

Our VI PGA handicapping experts have compiled their best bets for the Puerto Rico Open, which is set to
take place on Thursday, March 3 and ends on Sunday, March 6 at the Grand Reserve Golf Club at Rio Grande, PR.

  • Matthias Schwab Top 20 Finish (+110)
  • Mark Hubbard Top 20 Finish (+100)
  • Chase Seiffert Over Nick Hardy (-110)


The PGA Tour stops at Bay Hill outside of Orlando, but there is a second event in Puerto Rico, which we'll focus upon. A majority of the big names are playing at the Bay Hill, but there are still plenty of values to be had in this 'other' PGA event.

Matthias Schwab is an attractive play on the Par 72 course which is just over 7,500 yards. He isn't necessarily a banger off the tee, but that's also not really required. He does check in favorably in the Driving Accuracy Percentage category at 64.69%, hitting 196 of a possible 303 fairways. And he is 45th in Greens In Regulation (GIR), hitting 280 greens on 396 holes across 15 measured rounds.

The biggest selling point for Schwab is his work on the greens, as he is fourth on the PGA Tour in SG: Putting (.865) while he is a respectable 58th in SG: Approach. The Austrian is a solid play at plus-money for a Top 20 finish in a field which isn't terribly competitive. He is even worth a look as a Top 10 Finish (+240) for a chance to more than double up, although go a little more lighter on that wager.


Hubbard is a strong play at even-money heading into this event. He is flying high after a 33rd at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and an even better 15th-place finish at The Honda Classic in Florida last week. Rather than moving on to Bay Hill, he tries his hand at the Puerto Rican stop again for the first time since 2017. He shot 69 in the first round in that event before posting a 74 to miss the cut by a slight margin.

Hubbard is playing good golf this season, and he is doing a good job in the key areas for success at Grand Reserve. He is a solid 51st in SG: Approach-the-Green, which ranking 39th in SG: Around-the-Green. He is also above-average in SG: Putting, checking in 57th at .253. Toss in the fact Hubbard is 30th on the PGA Tour in Scoring Average (70.194), and he is an outstanding betting target.


The odds says this is a toss-up matchup play, but Seiffert has the big advantage here.

Seiffert ranks 30th on Tour in SG: Approach-the-Green, which measuring .177 in SG: Around-the-Green at 70th on Tour. He is also good for 45th in SG: Tee-to-Green across 11 measured rounds.

Hardy has really struggled, hitting just 212 of 377 possible fairways in 19 measured rounds, ranking just 152nd in Driving Accuracy Percentage (56.23%). He is 197th in SG: Around-the-Green, 152nd in SG: Approach-the-Green, and 167th in SG: Putting. There is absolutely nothing to like about his game as opposed to Seiffert. Hardy has missed three consecutive cuts, and he hasn't finished better than 67th in the two events he has made the cut in the past seven tournaments dating back to swing season.

On the flip side, Seiffert is coming off a solid 25th-place finish at The Honda Classic last weekend, posting a 1-over 281 against a much-better group of competitors.

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