Breeders’ Cup 2022 Juvenile Odds, Preview, Predictions

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

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Breeders' Cup Juvenile Betting Resources

Race: 9
Distance: 1 1/16 miles
Purse: $2 million
Age: 2YO (Colts & Geldings)
Date: Friday, November 4
Time: 4:50 p.m. ET

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Odds

Field Subject to Change

Bet With Twinspires

Juvenile Fast Facts

Favorites: 13 for 38 (34%)
Shortest: $3.40 (Chief’s Crown, 1984)
Highest: $93.80 (Storm the Court, 2019)

How to Handicap the BC Juvenile

THE BEST

 1 – HURRICANE J kicked away from pace pressure to take his first start against winners early last month, making him one of just 2 runners in here with a win over the local main track. His sire was a Kentucky Derby winner so maybe the added ground will help him to keep improving but he’ll take a significant step up the class ladder today.

2 – CONGRUENT ran away from softer stakes foes while trying a flat mile in the Laurel Park slop last time out in a race where he benefited from taking an inside path. He will get a nice rider switch today, but his two turn attempt over fast going prior to that was nothing special and his figures make it tough to endorse him against this level of competition. 

3 – CAVE ROCK has done little wrong in his brief career, dusting each of the three fields he’s faced in California by open lengths, two of which came at the G1 level. He’ll have a new venue to deal with while shipping across the country for the initial time and there are a couple of other speed types he’ll have to deal with here, but he’s been working up a storm at his Santa Anita base after earning that big number in his two turn prep for this last month. Appears plenty dangerous every step of the way while looking to give trainer Bob Baffert his record breaking 6^th win in this race.  

THE REST

4 - FORTE is the other two time G1 stakes winner in this race and he accomplished the feat from off the pace in his first two turn start over the local main track in the G1 Breeders Futurity. While his overall numbers may appear a bit light, his off the pace style is impressive for a young runner and there very often seems to be pace coming back at the field the longer these juveniles go. Better price and experience over this track make him a huge threat.

 5 – VERIFYING was the universal good thing in the Travers Day opener at Saratoga and he didn’t disappoint in breaking his maiden first time out at odds on before proving a huge threat right back in the G1 Champagne. His pedigree suggests he will only get better at two turns and he will be a nice price in this field but he will need to get better from a figure standpoint to contend here. 

 6 -  BLAZING SEVENS disappointed in Saratoga’s G1 Hopeful after catching a wet track and getting caught in a wide spot but redeemed himself over another sloppy track when stretched out in the G1 Champagne. Like his late kick quite a bit and his sire was a Breeders Cup Juvenile winner himself so expect this configuration will be to his liking. Can’t be overlooked while in the hands of an elite outfit.

7 - WOUND UP tries dirt for the first time after again finishing off the board in a turf stake out in California. This barn does a nice job on the surface switch but this is a good step up the class ladder and his lone win did come sprinting so maybe he’ll be better at one turn racing. Have to look at others for the money spots. 

8 - LOST ARK won the two turn Sapling Stakes impressively in his second career start at Monmouth Park but returned to run poorly in the G1 Breeders Futurity here last month. He did pick up some runners late in that last try and encountered a good amount of trouble along the way. He was 6-1 last time and will probably be 3 or 4 times that price today so if you can excuse his last there is plenty of value to be had here.

9 – CURLY JACK beat a moderate field in taking the G3 Iroquois at Churchill Downs when trying two turns for the first time and earned a light speed figure. He has proven he can handle settling off the pace and making a run so if the pace heats up he could offer fresh legs, but he’ll need to take a good step forward to get in the mix.

10 – NATIONAL TREASURE couldn’t keep up with his quick stablemate Cave Rock when trying winners for the first time in the G1 American Pharoah but he showed sharp early foot and held very well for second money. Maybe the addition of blinkers well help him while reuniting with the pilot aboard for his debut maiden score and he worked at his Santa Anita base like he is ready for another big effort, but the extreme outside draw won’t make it easy for him.  

BC Juvenile Predictions

If I'm Right...

The early pace gets quick up front and as the field turns for home 4 – FORTE begins to wear down the front runners and takes the Breeders Cup Juvenile for his third straight G1 stakes score. 3 – CAVE ROCK digs in but is only able to hold second money over a fast closing 6- BLAZING SEVENS. 10 – NATIONAL TREASURE beats the rest of the field while completing the Superfecta.   

Live Longshot...

6 – BLAZING SEVENS possesses a sharp late kick and should get a solid pace to set up his run. He resides in a top barn and his sire won this race a handful of years ago so the added trip should help him move forward at a nice price.

BC Juvenile Betting Strategy

TRIFECTA: 3-4/3-4-6-10/3-4-5-6-8-10

SUPERFECTA: 3-4/3-4-6-10/3-4-5-6-8-10/3-4-5-6-8-10

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers