Jimmy Kimmel Replacement Odds

After Jimmy Kimmel’s suspension, speculation is swirling over who could step in as ABC’s next late-night host. VegasInsider has calculated the replacement odds, highlighting the favorites, long shots, and even a few wild-card names who could take the desk.
Jimmy Kimmel Replacement Odds
CANDIDATE | AMERICAN ODDS | FRACTIONAL ODDS | IMPLIED PROBABILITY |
---|---|---|---|
Caitlyn Jenner | +250 | 5/2 | 28.60% |
Rob Schneider | +400 | 4/1 | 20% |
Tim Allen | +600 | 6/1 | 14.30% |
Greg Gutfeld | +700 | 7/1 | 12.50% |
Dennis Miller | +1000 | 10/1 | 9.10% |
Tomi Lahren | +1200 | 12/1 | 7.70% |
Steven Crowder | +1500 | 15/1 | 6.30% |
Dave Rubin | +1800 | 18/1 | 5.30% |
Kid Rock | +1900 | 19/1 | 5% |
Candace Owens | +2000 | 20/1 | 4.80% |
Joe Rogan | +2500 | 25/1 | 3.80% |
James Woods | +3500 | 35/1 | 2.80% |
Barron Trump | +5000 | 50/1 | 2% |
Donald Trump | +10000 | 100/1 | 1% |
Favorites: Jenner and Schneider Lead the Market
Caitlyn Jenner tops the board at +250, making her the favorite to replace Kimmel. Her celebrity name recognition, Republican credentials, and political experience keep her in the conversation, even if her polarizing reputation poses challenges.
Rob Schneider follows closely at +400. With an SNL background, Hollywood ties, and outspoken conservative stance, he checks both the comedy and political boxes for a Kimmel replacement.
Tim Allen rounds out the top tier at +600, with a long track record of network TV success. His conservative leanings are well known, but his more measured tone makes him one of the safer bets.
Mid-Tier Contenders
Greg Gutfeld (+700) already dominates the late-night space on Fox, and ABC would dream of pulling his ratings power to broadcast TV. However, contractual hurdles make it a tough sell. Dennis Miller (+1000) offers decades of satirical credibility but may struggle to capture younger audiences in 2025.
Meanwhile, Tomi Lahren (+1200) and Steven Crowder (+1500) represent younger, social-media-savvy options. Both could bring in a digital-first audience, but their polarizing personas may be too hot for ABC to handle.
Long Shots and Wild Cards
The back of the board features bigger gambles:
- Kid Rock (+1900) brings star power but is more of a provocateur than a host.
- Candace Owens (+2000) has charisma but is highly divisive.
- Joe Rogan (+2500) is the internet’s biggest talker, though he’s unlikely to give up his podcast empire.
- James Woods (+3500) offers sharp wit but could be too combative for mainstream audiences.
And then there are the true outsiders: Barron Trump (+5000), floated as a Gen Z-friendly pick, and even Donald Trump himself (+10000) — a nod to his TV pedigree on The Apprentice.
⚠️ Disclaimer: These odds are fictional and created for entertainment purposes only. They are designed to inform and amuse readers, not as real betting markets.
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