Weekly Total Talk

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

9 minute read

A 25-Run Outburst
The Washington Nationals released a lot of pent-up frustration in Tuesday's victory against the New York Mets, rolling up a franchise-record 25 runs in a victory. It was also the most lopsided loss in Mets' franchise history, surpassing a 26-7 beatdown from the Philadelphia Phillies back in 1985. Things got so bad for the Mets that SS Jose Reyes came on to pitch for the first time in his career, and he served up two home runs and six runs in his inning of work. These teams will not have a quick turnaround, playing at 12:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday. RHP Noah Syndergaard will be opposed by LHP Tommy Milone. The under is 8-3-1 in Thor's past 12 outings overall, and 4-1 in his past five against the National League East. The over has cashed in five straight at home for the Nats, while going 4-1 in their past five at home vs. RHP. The under is 23-11 in Washington's past 34 following a win, and 35-17 in their past 52 against a righty.

Syndergaard (illness) will be coming back from the 10-day disabled list. He has had his way over the Nats, as the current collection of Washington batters are just 29-for-115 (.252) with one homer, 13 RBI and 31 strikeouts, good for just a .677 OPS. Only INF Anthony Rendon has taken him out of the park, going 8-for-23 (.348) overall with a double, a homer and five RBI. Thor has punched out All-Star Bryce Harper on seven occasions over 21 at-bats, while Harper is good for a double, five singles and two RBI.

Looking Ahead

Wednesday, Aug. 1
The over has been the play for the Blue Jays lately, going 5-1 over their past six games and 4-1 in their past five on the road. RHP Marcus Stroman will take the ball for this day game, but the 'under' is 8-1 in their past nine with Stroman on the hill, including 4-1 over his past five road assignments. The under is also 4-1-1 in his past six on the road against a winning side, and 4-0 in his past four overall against teams with a winning overall record. However, the over is 9-4 in the team's past 13 against a lefty. LHP Sean Manaea is on the hill to the home team, and the under is 8-3 in the lefty's past 11 home assignments. The under is also 4-0 in his past four at home against a team with a losing record, and 4-1 in their past five overall. The over is 6-2-2 in Manaea's past 10 at home against an AL East club, however.

LHP Cole Hamels will make his Cubs debut on the road against the Pirates. The under is 6-2 in Chicago's past eight games overall, while going 5-2 in their past seven against a team with a winning overall record. However, the over is 11-4 in Chicago's past 15 against NL Central foes. The over is also 6-2-1 in Pittsburgh's past seven against a southpaw, while going 4-1 in their past five inside the division. The over is also 4-1 in Nick Kingham's past five starts at PNC Park. In this series, the under has cashed in four of the past five. As far as Hamels is concerned, he was turned up in his most recent start against the A's, as a member of the Texas Rangers, and the over is 3-1-1 in his past five. He has been much more effective on the road, and the under is 5-0-1 in his past six starts away from home.

The Brewers and Dodgers will battle again on Wednesday, and the 'under' has hit in the first two games of the series. The under is also a perfect 5-0 over the past five for L.A., while going 4-1 in their past five at Chavez Ravine. The under is 28-9 in Milwaukee's past 37 games overall, while going 6-0 in Chase Anderson's past six against the NL West and 13-3-1 in his past 17 road outings. The under is 22-8-2 in the past 32 starts overall for C.A., too. However, the over is 9-4 in Milwaukee's past 13 against left-handed starting pitching. As far as L.A. is concerned, the over has hit in five of Rich Hill's past six overall at home, while going 6-1 in his past seven against teams with a winning overall record. The over is also 9-0 in Hill's past nine after recording a quality start in his most recent appearance. The over is 10-3 in Hill's past 13 starts overall, too, but the under is 6-0 in the past six in this series in L.A., and 7-2 in the past nine overall.

Betting On The Wind
The wind is not expected to be a factor in any of the MLB ballparks on Hump Day, blowing at 10 mph or less in each venue.

Thursday, Aug. 2
Angels LHP Andrew Heaney takes the ball against the new-look Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday afternoon. The over has cashed in three of his past four appearances on the road.

Cardinals RHP Miles Mikolas has seen the under connect in seven of his past eight starts at Busch Stadium II, while the over has hit in four of his past five starts overall. In addition, the over is 11-5 in the past 16 overall fort he Cards, and 8-3 in their past 11 vs. RHP. The over is also 8-3 in their past 11 against a winning side, and 5-1 in their past six at home vs. RHP.

It's lefty vs. lefty when Robbie Erlin and Mike Montgomery lock horns at the Friendly Confines. The over is 4-1-1 in San Diego's past six against LHP, and 4-1 in Erlin's past five against a team with a winning overall record. For Chicago, the under is 4-1 in their past five at home against a lefty, while going 5-2 in their past seven overall against southpaws. In addition, the under is 5-1 in Montgomery's past six at home against a team with a losing record, and 4-0 in his past four when working on five days of rest.

The Brewers and Dodgers complete their four-game set with a solid pitching matchup. RHP Jhoulys Chacin and LHP Clayton Kershaw will hook up. The over is a perfect 4-0 in Chacin's past four road outings, and 6-1 in his past seven overall. The over is also 9-4 in Milwaukee's past 13 against left-handed starting pitchers, and 41-18 in their past 59 on the road against southpaws. For the Dodgers, the under is 5-1 in Kershaw's past six working on five days of rest, while the over is 5-2 in his past seven at home. However, the under is 18-8-1 in the past 27 at home against a team with a winning overall mark.

Betting On The Wind
The winds will be kicking at 11-13 mph blowing from home plate to left field at Guaranteed Rate Field for the Royals-White Sox matinee. The wind will also be blowing out from 10-13 mph from home plate to straightaway center field at Citizens Bank Park for the battle between the Marlins and Phillies, so watch the over there.

In D.C., the Reds and Nationals will be battling some raindrops. If they do squeeze the game in, the winds will be howling from 11-14 mph from home plate to the left-center field power alley. The same holds true for the Braves-Mets game, which has a jetstream at 11-14 mph to the left-center field power alley. At Fenway, the winds will blow to straightaway center field from 12-15 mph in the rivalry game between the Yankees and Red Sox.

Friday, Aug. 3
Cubs LHP Jose Quintana takes the ball for the matinee game against the Padres. The under has cashed in three of his past four starts overall. He has been knocked around at home this season, however, posting a 5.02 ERA over 43 innings across eight home starts, serving up seven homers with 21 walks issued.

Marlins RHP Jose Urena will toe the slab against the Phillies at 'The Vault' to kick off a new series. He has a 3-10 record, but a respectable 4.40 ERA this season. The last time he faced the Phillies on July 15 he allowed five earned runs, four hits and four walks in just four innings in a no-decision as the 'over' connected at Marlins Park.

Athletics LHP Bret Anderson will face the Tigers in Friday's battle. He has made eight starts overall this season, but seven of those appearances have come on the road. His only appearance at Oakland Coliseum was a disaster, as he allowed nine runs - seven earned - and 10 hits across just three innings with three walks and no strikeouts against the Astros. He has allowed six or more hits in five os his past seven appearances. Despite the fact he has been so hittable, and his ERA is 5.55 overall on the season, the 'under' is actually 5-1 across his past six appearances, and 7-2 over the past nine.

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