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Wednesday’s Tip Sheet

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read
Editor's Note: Kevin Rogers has racked up +2,842 units on guaranteed plays this MLB season and is currently on a 6-1 guaranteed run. He is locked and loaded with a Wednesday night guaranteed winner between the Phillies and Diamondbacks. Click to win!

Yankees (-250, 9 ½) at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

New York (74-39) continues to pull away in the American League East after winning its seventh consecutive game in Tuesday’s 9-4 victory at Baltimore. The Yankees picked up their 10th straight win over the Orioles thanks to six home runs, while four pitchers tossed at least two innings to help New York improve to 12-2 against Baltimore this season.

The offense continues to thrive when facing the O’s as the Yankees have scored at least six runs in all nine wins at Camden Yards this season, while not losing a game in Baltimore. Aaron Boone’s squad has drilled the OVER in 14 of the past 17 games overall, including nine consecutive OVERS in games played away from the Bronx.

The Yankees seek the sweep this evening behind James Paxton (6-6, 4.61 ERA), who ended a five-start winless streak by beating the Red Sox in his previous trip to the mound last Friday. Paxton tossed six innings of two-hit ball, while allowing two earned runs in a 4-2 victory as a -125 home favorite. All six runs came in the first inning as UNDER bettors were sweating the total of 10, but Paxton and the Yankees’ bullpen didn’t allow a run in the final eight innings.

The Orioles (38-75) dropped their 40th home game of the season on Tuesday, marking the most home defeats of any team in the league. Since the start of July, Baltimore has won five of six games coming off back-to-back losses, while last getting swept in a series of three or more games at Oakland in mid-June.

Left-hander John Means (8-6, 3.12 ERA) returns to the mound following a stint on the injured list as the Orioles’ hurler lasted less than four innings at Arizona in his previous outing on July 24. Means has not started against the Yankees this season, but faced them in relief during the first week and allowed one run in 5.2 innings of work. The O’s have pulled off five victories with Means starting as an underdog of +140 or higher, including recent home victories over Boston and Cleveland.

Royals at Red Sox (-310, 10 ½) – 7:10 PM EST

Dating back to July 28, Kansas City (41-74) actually has more wins than Boston (60-56). Granted, the Royals have won twice in this span and the Red Sox have only one victory, but Kansas City snapped a seven-game skid overall and an eight-game drought to Boston dating back to last May in Tuesday’s 6-2 triumph at Fenway Park. The Royals cashed as a +175 underdog behind six solid innings from Jakob Junis, while Jorge Soler went deep twice for Kansas City to raise his home run total on the season to 31.

The Royals look to improve on a 1-6 mark in their last seven road series finales as Glenn Sparkman (3-7, 5.58 ERA) takes the mound. Sparkman has been knocked around recently by allowing 19 runs in the last three starts, all losses to Cleveland twice and Minnesota. Sparkman held his own against the Red Sox at home back in early June by tossing 5.1 innings and giving up three hits and one run. Kansas City couldn’t hold onto a 2-0 lead as Boston rallied for an 8-3 victory, aided by five runs in the final two innings.

Eduardo Rodriguez (13-5, 4.19 ERA) counters for Boston as the Red Sox have won 17 of the southpaw’s 23 starts this season. The Sox had won Rodriguez’s previous five starts before falling to the Yankees, 4-2 last Friday in the Bronx. Rodriguez was staked an early 2-0 lead before allowing a grand slam in the bottom of the first inning, resulting in all of New York’s runs for the game. The left-hander was the winning pitcher against Sparkman and the Royals back on June 4 by striking out seven batters in 5.2 innings to cash as a nearly -200 road favorite in the 8-3 win.

Boston has struggled in series finales recently by losing six of its past seven in this situation, while dropping five of the last six games at Fenway since taking the first three against the Yankees in late July.

Phillies at Diamondbacks (-135, 9) – 9:40 PM EST

Philadelphia and Arizona have split the first two games of their series at Chase Field as the two squads play the rubber match of their set tonight. The Phillies (59-54) pulled away from the Diamondbacks (57-57) in Monday’s opener, 7-3, highlighted by seven strong innings from Vince Velasquez. Arizona rebounded last night with six late runs in an 8-4 triumph in Mike Leake’s debut on the mound after getting traded from Seattle. Leake allowed 11 hits and three runs in 5.1 innings, but he was helped out by three Arizona home runs, including Eduardo Escobar’s 25th dinger on the season.

The Phillies has won eight of their last nine games coming off a loss as Jason Vargas (6-5, 3.93 ERA) makes his second start since being acquired from the Mets at the trade deadline. Vargas picked up a no-decision in his Phillies’ debut last Friday in a 4-3 setback to the White Sox as a -170 home favorite. The left-hander pitched well by giving up two runs and five hits in 6.1 innings, but Chicago outlasted Philadelphia in 15 innings.

The D-backs will see plenty of their division foes following tonight’s contest as the next 13 games come against the NL West, starting with Friday’s series in Los Angeles. Arizona sits 2 ½ games behind Philadelphia for the second Wild Card position in the National League, but the D-backs also trail the Cardinals, Brewers, and Mets.

Zac Gallen (1-3, 2.72 ERA) makes his debut with the Diamondbacks after getting dealt from the Marlins last week as the rookie right-hander is coming off a pair of solid outings against the White Sox and Twins. Gallen tossed seven innings in each of those starts, including striking out nine batters in a 2-0 triumph at Chicago on July 24 as a short underdog. Gallen is listed as a favorite for the first time in eight starts as the Marlins owned a 2-5 record when the right-hander took the mound.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

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