Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:54 PM
2020 MLB Colorado Rockies World Series Odds & Picks
Colorado Rockies’ Win Total Set at 73.5 Wins
The Colorado Rockies appeared to be a playoff contender in 2019, as Colorado was 44-40 at the end of June, but the Rockies took a nosedive over the next two months. The Rockies went 15-38 during July and August to play themselves out of the NL Wild Card race, and they ended up finishing in fourth place in the National League West.
That has made the oddsmakers bearish on the Rockies’ odds of making the playoffs in 2020. Colorado is currently 50-1 to win the NL West and 150-1 to win the World Series this season.
It’s hard to call for significant improvement this season as the Rockies made no real changes in the offseason. While the hot stove burned the hottest it has in years, Colorado stayed pat and will bring back almost all of last year’s team. The Rockies only have one minor league prospect currently rated in the top 100 (infielder Brendan Rodgers), and that makes it likely that Colorado will finish under .500 for the eighth time in the last 10 seasons.
2020 Colorado Rockies Win Total Betting Online Odds at BetMGM:
73.5 wins, -110 over, -110 under
Betting Odds provided by MGM (NJ only, T&C's Apply, 21+)
2020 Colorado Rockies Season Win Total Odds Overview
The thin air of Coors Field has led to Colorado posting drastic home-road splits over the last three decades. The Rockies went 43-38 in Denver last year, but they had the second-worst road record in the National League at 28-53 on the road. Colorado finished with 71 wins in 2019, but the Rockies would have finished over this total from 2016 to 2018.
National League West
Colorado has the misfortune of playing in the same division as the best team in the National League. The Los Angeles Dodgers are the runaway favorites in the NL, and they won the NL West by 21 games last year. They won nine more games than the next best team in the NL, so the Rockies are not happy to be playing the Dodgers 19 times in 2020.
Additionally, Arizona and San Diego improved in the offseason, making it tougher for Colorado to succeed in what appears to be the most difficult division in the NL. Fortunately, the Giants are still in the doldrums, and the Rockies will need to make the most of playing San Francisco to get over the win total.
On the Hill
Jon Gray and German Marquez were Colorado’s best two starters last year, and both are back in 2020. Gray was 11-8 with a 3.84 ERA, and he posted an ERA+ of 135. He struck out a batter an inning with 150 K’s in 150 IP, and he shook off a rough 2018 campaign where he gave up 98 runs.
Marquez is likely to overtake Gray as the Rockies’ ace this season, but he had a quirky year in 2019. He went 12-5 and posted an excellent K/BB ratio of 5.00 thanks to his team-low 1.8 walks per nine innings, but he posted a 4.76 ERA and led the NL with 14 wild pitches.
Those two must stay healthy for Colorado to win 70 games this season, as the rest of the rotation is subpar. Kyle Freeland is likely to be the third starter, but he was 3-11 with a 6.73 ERA last season. Freeland posted a terrible 9.25 ERA in his 10 starts at home.
Antonio Senzatela and Jeff Hoffman are projected to round out the rotation, while Wade Davis is still installed as the closer. All three pitchers posted an ERA north of 6.50 last season though, so that’s not a good sign for the Rockies entering 2020.
At the Plate
Trevor Story, Nolan Arenado, and Charlie Blackmon are all excellent hitters. Story, Arenado, and Blackmon all finished last season with an OPS over .915, and all three hitters cranked at least 30 home runs. However, there aren’t any other reliable hitters on the roster.
David Dahl was the only other player to play at least half the season and post an OPS+ over 90. That means Colorado will really be in trouble if Story, Arenado, or Blackman goes on the IL for an extended period.
2020 Colorado Rockies Win Total Selection Summary
There has been plenty of speculation that Arenado will be traded to another team at some point this season. Arenado signed an eight-year, $260 million extension with Colorado before the start of last year, but he is reportedly no longer speaking to the front office as the Rockies have done little to improve. Trading Arenado would lead to another season of rebuilding, so the under has much more value here.