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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:54 PM

2020 MLB New York Mets World Series Odds & Picks

Can the Perennially Disappointing New York Mets Finally Live Up to Expectations?

The New York Mets have only won the NL East twice in the last three decades, but they are one of the favorites to claim the division this season. They have the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner in Jacob deGrom, and the future is bright with NL Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso leading the way.

However, it’s already been a tumultuous start to the season as new manager Carlos Beltran was already fired before managing a game for his role in the Houston Astros’ cheating scandal.

Luis Rojas was named to be Beltran’s replacement in late January, and he has risen through the ranks of the organization over the years. Rojas coached the Mets’ teams in the DSL, GCL, FSL, Sally League, and Eastern League prior to becoming the big-league club’s quality control coach shortly before Beltran was hired.

2020 New York Mets World Series Betting Online Odds at DraftKings

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2020 New York Mets Season World Series Odds Overview

The Mets aren’t on the short list of favorites per the current World Series odds, but they are among the next tier of contenders. They have the tenth-lowest odds to win the World Series of all the franchises per DraftKings, yet their odds to win the NL East are +300 and they rank behind the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals in this category.

National League East

This is set to be the most difficult division to navigate in baseball. The Mets, Braves, Nationals, and Philadelphia Phillies are all projected to win between 85 and 90 games, but at least one of these teams is guaranteed to be left out of the playoffs.

Atlanta and Washington are seen as the top two teams in the division. The Braves won the division last year with a record of 97-65, and they boast two of the top young players in the game in Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna, Jr. The pitching staff has a future ace in Mike Soroka too, and he was the only player other than Alonso to earn a first-place vote in the Rookie of the Year race.

Washington won the World Series last year thanks to the postseason heroics of pitchers Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg, and Juan Soto makes this offense dangerous even though Anthony Rendon left in free agency.

There doesn’t appear to be much separating these top four teams, so every division game will matter in what will likely be a shortened season in 2020.

On the Hill

Over the last six seasons, Jacob deGrom has established himself as the top pitcher in the National League. The 2014 NL Rookie of the Year has won the last two NL Cy Young Awards, and he has averaged 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings over the last two seasons while throwing more than 200 innings.

deGrom threw 21 consecutive innings without allowing a run at the end of last season, and his fastball, slider, and changeup are all S-Tier pitches. He will be 32 in June, but he can still get tremendous velocity on his fastball, averaging 97.2 MPH with the pitch in 2019.

Noah Syndergaard and the Mets look for a strong season in the NL East.
Noah Syndergaard and the Mets look for a strong season in the NL East. (AP)

Noah Syndergaard has yet to throw more than 200 innings in a season, but he finally managed to stay healthy throughout the course of a full season in 2019. Syndergaard posted the worst numbers of his career last year (1.234 WHIP and a 4.28 ERA), but he has an excellent fastball and great control. If he can stay off the injured list, Syndergaard could emerge as the best No. 2 starter in the game.

Marcus Stroman is one of the most talented No. 3 pitchers in baseball, showcasing the depth the Mets have in their starting rotation. Steven Matz and Rick Porcello are expected to round out the starting five with the latter being one of the biggest gambles in baseball after posting a 5.52 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in 32 starts last season.

The bullpen has plenty of talented arms, but the key is Edwin Diaz. Diaz was a shutdown closer in 2018 with Seattle (1.96 ERA and 0.791 WHIP), but he imploded in his first season with the Mets last year (5.59 ERA and a 1.379 WHIP).

At the Plate

Last season’s NL Rookie of the Year and Home Run Derby champion has Mets fans excited for the future. Pete Alonso raked as a rookie, crushing an MLB best 53 home runs to finish with a .941 OPS in his first season in the majors. He has nearly the same power from the left side as he does from the right side, and the team is expecting him to strike out less in his second season in the big leagues. That would make him an even more dangerous hitter in 2020.

Jeff McNeil is one of the best hitters in the NL. McNeil was an All-Star in his first full season in the majors last year, hitting .318 with power. He finished the season with a .916 OPS, and his ability to put bat to ball means there is likely at least one batting title waiting for him in the future.

One of the big question marks heading into the season is Robinson Cano. The eight-time All-Star is 37, and the Mets are hoping to squeeze one more solid season out of him. He finished last season with an OPS+ under 110 for the first time in a decade, but injuries played a major factor as he suffered five separate injuries over the span of 2019.

2020 New York Mets World Series Projection

There’s a lot to like about the Mets this season. The pitching staff has the talent to be one of the best in baseball, and the young hitters could become even better in 2020. If players like Diaz, Cano, and Porcello all have bounce-back seasons, the ceiling for the Mets is high.

2020 New York Mets World Series Free Pick

Worth a shot at 22/1 at DraftKings

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