Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Minnesota Twins (3-6) will take on the Boston Red Sox (5-4) in this year's Boston Marathon Game. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10 AM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts and can be viewed on MLB Network.  

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Score Prediction

Red Sox 5, Twins 3 

Best Bets 

• Red Sox ML (-145) at PointsBet

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Predictions

It is looking like a long season for the Twins as they have won just three games thus far. After winning two straight against the Mariners, Minnesota has now lost four of their last five games. The pitching has not been terrible, but they yet to find a way to get anything going with their bats. The right-hander Dylan Bundy is scheduled to get the start Monday. Bundy is 1-0 this season and has allowed 1 hit, 0 earned runs, and struck out 2 batters in 5.0 innings of work.  

The Red Sox are one game above .500 after their win on Sunday. After losing three of their first four to start the season, Boston has quickly turned things around winning four of their last five. The Red Sox looked solid on offense and defense Sunday as they allowed just one run. Boston entered the 8th up 2-1, but took a commanding lead and ended the inning up 8-1. Left-handed pitcher Rich Hill is expected to start for the Red Sox on Monday. Hill has seen action in one game this year and allowed 5 hits, 3 earned runs, and struck out 4 batters in 4.1 innings pitched.  

With the Boston Marathon being a big event for the city, I like the Red Sox in this matchup. There should be a solid turnout and energy similar to opening day within the stadium. I expect Rich Hill to have a much better start than his first outing and think the Twins will have a tough time hitting the ball. Backing the Red Sox here as the city should be fired up. 

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Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds

• Twins +125
• Red Sox -145
• Twins +1.5 (-160)
• Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
• Over 9 (-115)
• Under 9 (-105)

MLB Odds | Futures Odds

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, April 18, 2022
• Matchup: AL Central vs. AL East
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• TV-Time: MLBN - 11:00 a.m. ET

Minnesota Twins Betting Analysis

After Sunday’s game the Minnesota Twins are 3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS, and have an O/U record of 3-5-1. Going back to last season the total has gone under in 13 of Minnesota’s lats 19 games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last six games when playing on the road against Boston. Minnesota has struggled against the Red Sox in the past with a straight up record of 6-13 in their last 19 matchups. 

 The Twins have struggled to get things going on offense and that trend continued during Sunday’s game. Minnesota managed just four hits and one run during the entire game. On the season the Twins have a batting average of .184 (29th), on base percentage of .277 (27th), slugging percentage of .332 (23rd), and have scored 29 total runs (24th). Despite the offensive struggles the Twins have had, second baseman Luis Arraez has been hitting the ball with a batting average of .348 (8-23) and one HR. The next highest batting average for Twins players with over 20 at-bats is designated hitter Byron Buxton (.250, 6-24).  

Pitching for Minnesota has been a bit better than their offensive production. As a team, the Twins are allowing opponents a batting average of .225 (13th), an ERA of 4.22 (21st), and have allowed 38 total runs (18th). Minnesota used four different pitchers in Sunday’s matchup. Starter Bailey Ober allowed four hits, two runs, and struck out three batters in 6.0 innings. The other three pitchers gave up a combined seven hits and six runs. Right-handed pitcher Dylan Bundy is scheduled to get the start Monday. Bundy is 1-0 this season and has allowed one hit, no earned runs, and struck out two batters in 5.0 innings of work.   

Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

Boston has won two straight against the Twins and are 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS, and have an O/U record of 4-5. Following Sunday’s game, the total has now gone under in six of Boston’s last 8 games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last five games against Minnesota.  

The Red Sox had the bats working on Sunday with 11 hits and 8 runs. Boston had a huge inning in the eighth, scoring six runs. As a team the Red Sox have a batting average of .231 (19th), on base percentage of .286 (24th), slugging percentage of .388 (13th), and have scored 42 total runs (10th). Third baseman Rafael Devers has led the way for Boston with a batting average of .353 (12-34), two HR, and seven RBIs. Left fielder Alex Verdugo has also had a solid start to the season with a batting average of .296 (8-27), three HR, and seven RBIs.  

The pitching for Boston has been pretty consistent to start the season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .221 (11th), have an ERA of 3.71 (13th), and given up 35 total runs (20th). During Sunday’s game they used five different pitchers. Starter Michael Wacha lasted 5.0 innings and allowed just one hit and no runs. The other four pitchers used gave up a combined three hits and a run in 3.3 innings. Rich Hill is scheduled to start for the Red Sox on Monday. Hill has seen action in one game this year and allowed five hits, three earned runs, and struck out four batters in 4.1 innings pitched. 

Key Players to Watch

• MIN: Carlos Correa - SS (Last Game: 0-4)
• MIN: Luis Arraez - 2B (Last Game: 0-4)
• BOS: Rafael Devers - 3B (Last Game: 2-4, 2 R)
• BOS: Xander Bogaerts - SS (Last Game: 3-4, 2B, 2 R, RBI)

Probable Pitchers

• MIN: Dylan Bundy - RHP (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 2 K, 0.40 WHIP)
• BOS: Rich Hill - LHP (0-0, 6.23 ERA, 4 K, 1.38 WHIP)

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Conclusion

I like the Red Sox moneyline in this one. The Twins have struggled throughout the season and have managed just one run over their last two games against Boston. Expect Rich Hill to continue this trend and make it tough for Minnesota to get anything going. On top of that, the city should be buzzing with it being Boston Marathon Day. Playing the Red Sox moneyline here while there is still value at –145.