Last Updated Apr 27, 2022, 9:56 PM

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Boston Red Sox (7-11) and Toronto Blue Jays (12-6) will meet for game three of four on Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario and can be viewed on MLB Network.  

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Score Prediction

Boston 5, Toronto 3 

Best Bets 

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Predictions

Boston blew a 5-2 lead headed into the ninth inning and lost game two of the series 6-5. Starting pitcher Nick Pivetta went 4.2 innings and gave up three hits and two runs. The other seven pitchers used allowed a combined five hits and four runs. The right-hander Michael Wacha is scheduled to take the mound for the Red Sox. Wacha is 1-0 in three games this season with an ERA of 1.88 and has allowed six hits, three earned runs, and struck out 12 batters in 14.1 innings of work.  

Toronto had nothing going for them in game two until a three run ninth inning to tie things up and send the game to extra innings. Ramiel Tapia brought home the winning run with a sacrifice fly in the bottom of the 10th. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman went 6.0 innings and gave up four hits and one run. The other five pitchers used allowed a combine five hits and four runs. The Blue Jays Right-handed pitcher Ross Stripling is scheduled to start Wednesday. Stripling is 0-0 in four games this season with an ERA of 4.50 and has allowed eight hits, five earned runs, and struck out five batters in 10.0 innings.  

Having lost four straight games now, I’ll back the Red Sox here. Wacha has looked solid this season and should be able to keep the Blue Jays runs to a minimum. Tuesday was a tough loss and a win on Wednesday would be a huge morale boost for Boston. Toronto has been playing extremely well, but I don’t see the Red Sox losing five straight. Backing Boston in a bounce back game here.  

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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Odds

  • Red Sox +115
  • Blue Jays -135
  • Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
  • Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over 9 (+100)
  • Under 9 (-120)

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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Resources

  • Date: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • TV-Time: MLBN - 7:07 p.m. ET

Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

Through 18 games the Red Sox are 7-11 SU, 10-8 ATS, and have an O/U record of 5-12-1. Boston has been struggling as of late, going 1-4 in their last five games. The total has gone under in six of Boston’s last eight games. Following this trend, the total has gone under in seven of the Red Sox’s last ten games on the road.  

Boston has struggled to get things going offensively this season, but had more success on Tuesday with five runs scored.  As a team the Red Sox have a batting average of .226 (20th), on base percentage of .274 (28th), slugging percentage of .346 (20th), and have scored 65 runs (19th). The shortstop Xander Bogaerts has been the Red Sox best hitter with a batting average of .367 (25-68), one home run, and six RBIs. The left fielder Alex Verdugo has done a nice job bringing in runs with a batting average of .276 (16-58), three home runs, and 13 RBIs 

The pitching has not been great for the Red Sox. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .229 (14th), have an ERA of 3.77 (19th), and have given up 72 runs (20th). Right-handed pitcher Michael Wacha is scheduled to take the mound Wednesday. Wacha is 1-0 in three games this season with an ERA of 1.88 and has allowed six hits, three earned runs, and struck out 12 batters in 14.1 innings of work. In three games against Toronto last season, Wacha gave up 11 hits, seven earned runs, and struck out 10 batters in 11.0 innings.  

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Analysis

Toronto is off to a hot start this season and has gone 12-6 SU, 9-9 ATS, and have an O/U record of 6-11-1. The total has gone under in six of Toronto’s last nine games as well as five of their last eight against Boston. Toronto has been great at home this season with a SU record of 9-2.  

Toronto has been hitting the ball very well this season. As a team the Blue Jays have a batting average of .252 (5th), on base percentage of .310 (15th), slugging percentage of .427 (2nd), and have scored 78 runs (8th).  The first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr has been great with a batting average of .344 (21-61), five home runs, and 12 RBIs. Third baseman Matt Chapman has been productive as well with a batting average of .246 (15-61), three home runs, and 10 RBIs. 

The Blue Jays pitching have held opponents to three runs or less in nine of their 18 games played. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average .238 (20th), have an ERA of 3.57 (15th), and have given up 70 runs (18th). The right-hander Ross Stripling is scheduled to get the start Wednesday. Stripling is 0-0 in four games this season with an ERA of 4.50 and has allowed eight hits, five earned runs, and struck out five batters in 10.0 innings.  Stripling pitched against Boston in one game last season and gave up four hits, one earned run, and struck out seven batters in 5.0 innings of work.

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Key Players to Watch

  • BOS: Xander Bogaerts - SS (Last Game: 3-5, 2B, 2 R, RBI)
  • BOS: Rafael Devers - 3B (Last Game: 1-2, R)
  • TOR: Vlad Guerrero, Jr. - DH (Last Game: 0-3, R, 2 BB)
  • TOR: George Springer - OF (Last Game: 2-5, HR, R, 3 RBI)

Probable Pitchers

  • BOS: Michael Wacha - RHP (1-0, 1.88 ERA, 12 K, 0.91 WHIP)
  • TOR: Ross Stripling - RHP (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 K, 1.20 WHIP)

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Conclusion

If the Red Sox can’t manage a win on Wednesday, they may need to re-evaluate their strategy. I’ll back them here, not because I think they are the better team, but because I don’t see them losing five straight games this early on in the season. Wacha should be able to give them four to six innings, so as long as the bullpen can play better than they did on Tuesday, the Red Sox should be able to snap their losing streak. Backing Boston moneyline here.  

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