Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Atlanta Braves (16-19) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (22-13) Monday for game-one of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 PM ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin and can be viewed on ESPN+.  

Score Prediction

Brewers 5, Braves 4  

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• Over 7.5 (-115) at FanDuel

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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Predictions

The Atlanta Braves enter this matchup third in the NL East, six and a half games behind the Mets for first place. The Braves lost two of three games to the Padres in their most recent series. The bats have been a bit slow this season for the World Series champs, averaging 4.08 runs per game. The Brave's bullpen is struggling to say the least, allowing opponents 4.21 runs per game. Right-handed pitcher Ian Anderson is scheduled to start on Monday. Anderson is 3-1 in six games this season with an ERA of 4.20 and has given up 26 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 22 batters in 30.0 innings.  

The Milwaukee Brewers are currently first place in the NL Central standings. The Brewers took two of three games in their most recent series against the Miami Marlins, but have gone 3-5 SU in their last eight games. The offense has been solid with an average of 4.68 runs per game. The bullpen has struggled this season and have allowed nine runs or more in three of their last six games. The right-hander Freddy Peralta is expected to take the mound Monday. Peralta is 2-1 in six games this season with an ERA of 4.40 and has given up 25 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 38 batters in 28.2 innings.  

The Braves and Brewers have met three times this season, with Atlanta winning two of three. I like the total to go over in this matchup. The teams have a combine O/U record of 11-2 in their last 13 games and the total went over in two of the three games in their first series. This should be an evenly matched game on the mound and runs should be scored on both sides. Backing the over here.

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Odds

• Braves +115
• Brewers -135
• Braves +1.5 (-180)
• Brewers -1.5 (+155)
• Over 7.5 (-115)
• Under 7.5 (-105)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, May 16, 2022
• Matchup: NL East vs. NL Central
• Stadium: American Family Field
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV-Time: ESPN+ - 7:40 p.m. ET

Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

Atlanta has not been able to get much going this season and are 16-19 SU, 15-20 ATS, and have an O/U record of 20-13-2. The total has gone over in five of Atlanta’s last six games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in four of their last six when playing on the road against Milwaukee. The Braves are 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Brewers and 6-8 SU on the road this season.  

Atlanta’s offense is showing inconsistency this season and have not won more than two straight games. As a team the Braves have a batting average of .228 (23rd), on base percentage of .302 (19th), slugging percentage of .397 (8th), and have scored 146 runs (13th). The third baseman Austin Riley has been productive with a batting average of .244 (32-131), seven home runs, and 15 RBIs. Bad news for the Braves, right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr is listed as day-to-day with a sore groin.   

The Braves bullpen gave up 23 runs to the Padres in their most recent series. On the season they are allowing opponents a batting average of .230 (15th), have an ERA of 4.15 (24th), and have given up 160 runs (25th). Right-handed pitcher Ian Anderson is scheduled to start on Monday. Anderson is 3-1 in six games this season with an ERA of 4.20 and has given up 26 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 22 batters in 30.0 innings. In his one outing against the Brewers last season, Anderson gave up two hits, one earned run, and struck out four batters in 6.0 innings of work.  

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Analysis

The Brewers look like the team to beat in the NL Central and have gone 22-13 SU, 16-19 ATS, and have an O/U record of 17-15-3. The total has gone over in six of Milwaukee’s last seven games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in five of their last six games at home. Milwaukee has gone 12-6 SU in their last 18 games and are 10-4 SU at home.  

Milwaukee has been hitting the ball very well this season. As a team the Brewers have a batting average of .236 (13th), on base percentage of .312 (13th), slugging percentage of .419 (4th), and have scored 171 runs (T-3rd). Left fielder Christian Yelich has done a nice job bringing in the runs with a batting average of .252 (31-123), five home runs, and 20 RBIs. First baseman Rowdy Tellez has been producing as well with a batting average of .248 (29-117), eight home runs, and 29 RBIs.  

The Brewers bullpen ranks amongst the middle of the league. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .218 (4th), have an ERA of 3.65 (14th), and have given up 143 runs (15th). The right-hander Freddy Peralta is expected to take the mound Monday. Peralta is 2-1 in six games this season with an ERA of 4.40 and has given up 25 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 38 batters in 28.2 innings. In his one outing against the Braves last season, Peralta gave up two hits, zero earned runs, and struck out eight batters in 6.0 innings.  

Key Players to Watch

• ATL: Matt Olson - 1B (Last Game: 1-4)
• ATL: Dansby Swanson - SS (Last Game: 1-4, HR, 2 R, 2 RBI, BB)
• MIL: Christian Yelich - OF (Last Game: 0-3, R, 2 BB)
• MIL: Joc Peterson - 1B (Last Game: 1-4, HR, R, RBI)

Probable Pitchers

• ATL: Ian Anderson - RHP (3-1, 4.20 ERA, 22 K, 1.40 WHIP)
• MIL: Freddy Peralta - RHP (2-1, 4.40 ERA, 38 K, 1.26 WHIP)

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Conclusion

Monday’s matchup features two pitchers who are pretty evenly matched. With that being said, I think the result could go either way, so will backing the over here. Both teams have been scoring and giving up runs with a combined O/U record of 11-2 in their last 13 games. Expect that trend to continue in this matchup and take the over.  

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