Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers (25-12) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (18-20) Friday for game-one of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and can be viewed on ESPN+.  

Score Prediction

Dodgers 5, Phillies 3  

Best Bets 

• Dodgers -1.5 (+110) at FanDuel

Updated on 04/26/2024

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter this matchup first in the NL West with a one and a half game lead over the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers recently swept the Arizona Diamondbacks in four games and have now won five straight. The offense has been great this season and leads the MLB with an average of 5.48 runs scored per game. The bullpen has been just as good, holding opponents to 2.85 runs per game. Left-handed pitcher Julio Urias is scheduled to get the start Friday. Urias is 2-3 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.00 and has given up 33 hits, 12 earned runs, and struck out 26 batters in 36.0 innings.  

Philadelphia is currently second in the NL East, seven games behind the New York Mets for first place. The Phillies have been playing good baseball as of late, winning five of their last seven games. The offense has had solid production, averaging 4.72 runs scored per game. The bullpen has been a bit inconsistent and are allowing opponents just under four runs scored per game. The left-hander Ranger Suarez is expected to take the mound Friday. Suarez is 4-1 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.72 and has given up 37 hits, 15 earned runs, and struck out 28 batters in 36.1 innings of work.  

These teams have met four times this season with the Phillies winning three of those games. I do not expect that trend to continue and think that the Dodgers will cover the run line in this matchup. Los Angeles’ bullpen has been too good to bet against and the Phillies have not been consistent enough to back here. Taking the Dodgers at –1.5

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds

• Dodgers -146
• Phillies +124
• Dodgers +1.5 (-108)
• Phillies -1.5 (-130)
• Over 8.5 (-122)
• Under 8.5 (+100)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Resources

• Date: Friday, May 20, 2022
• Matchup: NL West vs. NL East
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• TV-Time: ESPN+ - 7:05 p.m. ET

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Analysis

The Dodgers have been one the best teams in baseball and have gone 25-12 SU, 22-15 ATS, and have an O/U record of 17-18-2. The total has gone over in seven of the Dodger’s last eight games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last five when playing an opponent from the NL East. Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in their last six road games and 10-7 SU on the road this season.  

Los Angeles has been the highest scoring team in baseball this season. As a team the Dodgers have a batting average of .245 (9th), on base percentage of .331 (2nd), slugging percentage of .412 (6th), and have scored 203 runs. The first baseman Freddie Freeman is having a productive season with a batting average of .312 (43-138), three home runs, and 19 RBIs. Shortstop Trea Turner is bringing in the runs with a batting average of .280 (40-143), two home runs, and 27 RBIs.  

The Dodgers bullpen ranks amongst the top of the league. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .213 (1st), have a WHIP of 1.08 (1st), and have an ERA of 2.85 (1st). Left-handed pitcher Julio Urias is scheduled to get the start Friday. Urias is 2-3 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.00 and has given up 33 hits, 12 earned runs, and struck out 26 batters in 36.0 innings. In his one outing against the Phillies this season, Urias struck out three batters in 6.0 innings while allowing eight hits and five earned runs.  

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Analysis

After losing to the Padres on Thursday, the Phillies are 18-20 SU, 19-19 ATS, and have an O/U record of 19-17-2. The total has gone under in their last five home games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last five games against the Dodgers. Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in their last eight games played on a Friday and 10-11 SU at home this season.  

The Phillies are getting solid offensive production from their bats this season. As a team Philadelphia has a batting average of .251 (3rd), on base percentage of .313 (12th), slugging percentage of .416 (4th), and have scored 175 runs (8th). The right fielder Bryce Harper leads the team with a batting average of .305 (40-131), nine home runs, and 27 RBIs. Third baseman Alec Bohm has been productive as well with a batting average of .300 (36-120), two home runs, and 15 RBIs.  

Philadelphia’s bullpen has been inconsistent thus far. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .238 (19th), have a WHIP of 1.25 (17th), and have an ERA of 3.91 (22nd). The left-hander Ranger Suarez is expected to take the mound Friday. Suarez is 4-1 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.72 and has given up 37 hits, 15 earned runs, and struck out 28 batters in 36.1 innings of work. In his one outing against the Dodgers this season, Suarez gave up five hits, three earned runs, and struck out six batters in 7.0 innings of work.

Key Players to Watch

• LAD: J.P. Crawford - SS (Last Game: 1-4)
• LAD: Julio Rodriguez - OF (Last Game: 0-4)
• PHI: Xander Bogaerts - SS (Last Game: 1-4, HR, R, RBI)
• PHI: Rafael Devers - 3B (Last Game: 2-3, 3B, 2B, R, RBI, BB)

Probable Pitchers

• LAD: Julio Urias - LHP (2-3, 3.00 ERA, 26 K, 1.14 WHIP)
• PHI: Ranger Suarez - LHP(4-1, 3.72 ERA, 28 K, 1.38 WHIP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Conclusion

I like the Dodgers to cover the run line in this matchup. With the top ranked offense and bullpen in the league, it's tough to back a Phillies team that has yet to prove themselves this season. Expect Urias to have a better performance than his first outing against the Phillies and for their bats to find success against Suarez. Backing the Dodgers –1.5 here.