MLB Edge Plays for Saturday, July 2

VI sports betting expert Thom Cunningham breaks down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Saturday, July 2. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 04/25/2024
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EDGE PLAYS TRACKER (35-37-4, -412)

SATURDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

  • Yankees-Guardians Over 8.5 (+100) at Caesars
  • White Sox ML (+130) at WynnBet
  • White Sox-Giants Under 7.5 (-120) at Unibet
  • Marlins ML (+100) at WynnBet
  • Braves-Reds Over 8.5 (-120) at DraftKings
  • Astros -1.5 (+150) at Unibet
  • Padres-Dodgers Under 8 (-110) at Caesars
  • Dodgers ML (-145) at WynnBet
  • Red Sox ML (-135) at WynnBet

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians

  • Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): Amazon Prime, BSGL
  • Away Pitcher: Gerrit Cole (6-2, 2.99 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Kirk McCarty (0-1, 10.29 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 18-15-1

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (+100) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

  • New York has won 16 of 17 games after losing on the road the game prior.
  • New York is 4-1 SU last six games.
  • New York is 9-3 SU last 12 games when facing Cleveland.
  • Cleveland 3-6 SU last nine games.
  • Cleveland is 1-6 SU last seven home games when facing New York.

RUN TOTAL

  • Cleveland has gone OVER in eight of nine home games when playing the first leg of a doubleheader.
  • OVER has cashed in four of five meetings.
  • New York has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.
  • OVER has hit in six of eight meetings when playing in Cleveland.

RUN LINE

  • Cleveland is 2-6 ATS last eight games.
  • New York is 3-7 ATS last 10 games.
  • New York is 1-4 ATS last five road games.

Chicago White Sox at San Francisco Giants

  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): NSCH, CSCH, NSBA
  • Away Pitcher: Dylan Cease (6-3, 2.56 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Logan Webb (7-2, 3.04 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.9
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-17-3

Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-120) at Unibet
Best Bet: White Sox ML (+130) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Chicago has won seven straight road games when facing the NL.
  • Chicago is 3-6 SU last nine games.
  • Chicago is 9-2 SU last 11 games when facing San Francisco.
  • San Francisco is 2-6 SU last eight games.
  • San Francisco is 2-5 SU last seven home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Chicago has gone UNDER the total in seven of eight games.
  • UNDER has hit in four of six meetings played in San Francisco.

RUN LINE

  • San Francisco is 1-5 ATS last six games.
  • San Francisco is 1-6 ATS last seven home games.
  • Chicago is 3-6 ATS last nine games.
  • Chicago is 5-1 ATS last six road games.
  • Chicago has covered the run line in three straight games when facing San Francisco.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSFL, MASN
  • Away Pitcher: Daniel Castano (0-1, 2.57 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Jackson Tetreault (2-1, 4.24 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.1
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-23

Best Bet: Marlins ML (+100) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Washington has lost 14 of its last 15 divisional games.
  • Washington is 6-12 SU last 18 games.
  • Washington is 3-10 SU last 13 home games.
  • Miami is 4-1 SU last five games when facing Washington.

RUN TOTAL

  • Washington has gone UNDER the total in seven of its last eight divisional games when playing during the daytime.
  • Miami has gone UNDER the total in five of seven road games.

RUN LINE

  • Miami is 2-6 ATS last eight games.
  • Miami is 2-4 ATS last six road games.
  • Miami has covered the run line in three of four meetings.
  • Miami is 5-2 ATS last seven games when facing Washington.
  • Washington is 8-4 ATS last 12 games.
  • Washington is 4-9 ATS last 13 home games.

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSE, BSOH
  • Away Pitcher: Spencer Strider (3-2, 3.02 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Tyler Mahle (3-6, 4.53 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 11.4
  • Venue O/U Record: 22-13-1

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-120) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

  • Cincinnati has lost nine straight home games.
  • Atlanta is 20-6 SU last 26 games.
  • Atlanta is 12-3 SU last 15 road games.
  • Cincinnati is 3-11 SU last 14 games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Cincinnati has gone OVER the total in seven of eight games when facing the NL during the daytime.
  • Cincinnati has gone OVER the total in five of six home games.
  • OVER has cashed in five of seven meetings.

RUN LINE

  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Atlanta.
  • Atlanta is 4-7 ATS last 11 games.
  • Atlanta is 11-4 ATS last 15 road games.
  • Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS last 12 games.
  • Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS last five home games.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): ATSW, BSW
  • Away Pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-2, 2.63 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Jose Urquidy (6-3, 4.36 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 7.4
  • Venue O/U Record: 12-19-2

Best Bet: Astros -1.5 (+150) at Unibet

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles has won six straight divisional games when playing as the underdog after losing the game prior.
  • Los Angeles is 4-13 SU last 17 road games.
  • Houston is 6-1 SU last seven games.
  • Houston is 7-1 SU last eight home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • OVER has hit in three of four meetings.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in six straight divisional games played during the daytime.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in six of eight road games.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in 13 of 18 games.

RUN LINE

  • Houston is 9-1 ATS last 10 games.
  • Houston is 6-2 ATS last eight home games.
  • Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS last seven games.
  • Los Angeles is 5-12 ATS last 17 road games.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): FOX, BSSD
  • Away Pitcher: Yu Darvish (7-3, 3.26 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Tyler Anderson (8-1, 3.23 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 16-15-3

Best Bet: Dodgers ML (-145) at WynnBet
Best Bet: Under 8 (-110) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles has won 14 straight divisional home games after winning at home the game prior.
  • Los Angeles is 8-3 SU last 11 games.
  • Los Angeles is 5-2 SU last seven home games.
  • San Diego is 0-5 SU last five games when playing in Los Angeles.
  • San Diego is 1-5 SU last six games.
  • San Diego is 1-6 SU last seven road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in seven of eight games.
  • UNDER has cashed in four of five meetings.
  • UNDER has cashed in five of seven meetings when playing in Los Angeles.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER the total in four of five road games.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.

RUN LINE

  • San Diego is 1-5 ATS last six games.
  • San Diego is 1-6 ATS last seven road games.
  • San Diego is 1-5 ATS last six games when playing in Dodger Stadium.
  • Los Angeles is 8-3 ATS last 11 games.
  • Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS last seven home games.

Boston Red Sox at Chicago Cubs

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): FOX
  • Away Pitcher: Josh Winckowski (3-1, 3.60 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: ALec Mills (0-1, 9.87 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.8
  • Venue O/U Record: 20-17-5

Best Bet: Red Sox ML (-135) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Chicago has lost nine straight games when facing an AL East team with a winning record at night.
  • Chicago is 5-2 SU last seven games when facing Boston.
  • Boston is 8-3 SU last 11 games.
  • Boston is 13-5 SU last 18 road games.
  • Chicago is 5-2 SU last seven home games.
  • Chicago is 4-1 SU last five games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Boston has gone OVER the total in four straight games when facing the NL Central.
  • OVER has hit in four of five meetings.
  • Chicago has gone OVER the total in four of five games.
  • Boston has gone OVER the total in four of five road games.

RUN LINE

  • Chicago is 4-1 ATS last five games.
  • Chicago is 5-2 ATS last seven home games.
  • Boston is 6-2 ATS last eight games.
  • Boston is 7-2 ATS last nine road games.