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Last Updated Sep 22, 2022, 6:03 PM

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks, Predictions, Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Analysis

The Phillies host the Braves in the first contest of a four-game set at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, September 22, 2022.

Despite posting a 41-30 record away from Truist Park, Atlanta is in second place in the National League East with an overall record of 93-56, which trails the first placed New York Mets by one game. The Phillies are in third place in the National League East with a record of 81-67 overall and 45-32 at home, which positions Philadelphia 12.5 games back for the division lead.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Prediction

The Atlanta Braves have clinched a wild card berth but are still in contention to win the division as they are one game behind the New York Mets for first place of the NL East. The Braves won two of three in their most recent series against the Nationals and have won six of their last 10 games. Atlanta has been one of the hottest teams in the second half of the season and have put themselves in a good position to make a run in the playoffs. The offense has been solid this season with a batting average of .254 (8th), on base percentage of .318 (9th), slugging percentage of .444 (2nd) and have scored 731 total runs (3rd). Atlanta’s bullpen has been a nice compliment to their productive offense with a WHIP of 1.19 (8th) and team ERA of 3.45 (5th). Braves ace Max Fried (13-6, 2.52 ERA) is expected to start Thursday.  

The Philadelphia Phillies are currently 12.5 games behind the New York Mets for first place of the division, but their playoff hopes are still alive as the Phillies hold a two and a half game lead over the Brewers for the third NL Wild Card spot. Philadelphia lost one of two games in their most recent series with the Blue Jays and have lost six of their last 10 games. The offense has been consistent throughout the season with a batting average of .255 (7th), on base percentage of .318 (9th), slugging percentage of .426 (5th) and have scored 694 total runs (7th). Their bullpen allowed 18 runs to Toronto Tuesday night and have been up and down this season with a WHIP of 1.25 (12th) and team ERA of 3.97 (18th). Southpaw pitcher Ranger Suarez (9-5, 3.53 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Phillies Thursday.  

I like the Braves in game one of this series with their ace taking the mound. Not only that, but the Braves have been far more consistent in the second half of the season than the Phillies have been. There is not bad value in the Braves moneyline here, but I do think playing the runline here is worth it here for the extra juice.  

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 3
Best Bet: Braves -1.5 (+115)

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, September 22, 2022
  • Matchup: NL East
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Time-TV: 7:15 p.m. ET – FOX

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Current Form

Atlanta fell to the San Francisco Giants 2-1, but captured its series against the Nationals on Wednesday. Their best performance was on Tuesday, when they succeeded in limiting the Giants to one run in the second contest of a three-game series. They also had great success in the first contest of a three-game series, on Monday, when Atlanta routed the Washington Nationals by posting five runs. The Phillies won 2-1 against the Marlins last Thursday, and went 1-2 with the Blue Jays in their next game on Wednesday. They limited the Miami Marlins to just one run in the first contest of the series on Tuesday.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Pitching Matchup

Atlanta: Max Fried (13-6, 2.52 ERA)

Atlanta’s left-hander Max Fried takes the mound for his 28th start of the season. Fried looks to improve on a 13-6 record and 2.52 ERA in 175.1 innings, while striking out 159, walking 31 batters, and posting a 1.01 WHIP. Fried didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came at home against the Philadelphia Phillies on September 16, 2022. He threw six innings, allowing two runs on four hits with three walks and four strikeouts in an eventual 7-2 the Braves defeat. In his 11 starts on the road this season, Fried is 6-2 with a 2.60 ERA, a 0.85 WHIP, six walks and 64 strikeouts over 72.2 innings of work.

Philadelphia: Ranger Suárez (9-5, 3.53 ERA)

Ranger Suárez is on the hill for the Phillies in this contest as he makes his 26th start of the season hoping to build some positive momentum. He comes in 9-5 with a 3.53 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, 53 walks and 118 strikeouts over 140.1 innings of work this season. In Ranger Suárez’s last start, the Phillies were no match for the Atlanta Braves, losing 7-2 on September 16, 2022. The 27-year-old earned no decision in this game, having tossed six innings and yielded one run on two hits, while striking out four and issuing three walks. In 12 home starts this season, Suárez has compiled a 3-4 record in 59.1 innings, while striking out 48, walking 26 batters, and putting together a 4.70 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Series History

The Braves owned the 2021 regular season series, producing a 10-9 mark. So far in 2022, the Braves have captured nine of the 15 head-to-head battles between the pair.

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