Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:54 AM
Pacers at Mavericks Preview
By Kevin Rogers
Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS)
The Pacers (38-25) sit one half-game ahead of the 76ers for the fifth playoff spot in the Eastern Conference after Philadelphia melted down in a loss at Golden State on Saturday. Since suffering six consecutive losses in February, Indiana has won seven of its last nine games with the two defeats coming to the top two teams in the East, Milwaukee and Toronto.
The Mavericks (39-25) have been a model of consistency all season long by not more than two consecutive games at any time. Dallas is one game behind Houston for first place in the Southwest division, but the Mavericks are currently seventh in the top-heavy Western Conference playoff race in spite of winning seven of their last 10 games.
The Pacers are 4-2 on the road since the All-Star break, although all four victories have come against teams owning losing records (Chicago, San Antonio, Cleveland, and New York). Indiana finished off a four-game season sweep of Chicago on Friday, but have lost five consecutive games in the role of a road underdog.
Dallas looks to close out a three-game homestand with a perfect 3-0 mark after knocking off New Orleans in overtime and blowing out Memphis last week. The Mavericks had lost four of five home games from late January through early February, but have rebounded with four straight victories at American Airlines Center, while winning six of nine games since the All-Star break overall.
The Mavericks have won five of their last six meetings with the Pacers since December 2016, while posting a 5-1 ATS mark in that stretch. In the first matchup this season at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Dallas pulled away from Indiana in a 112-103 triumph as 5.5-point road underdogs on February 3.
Dallas played without star Luka Doncic that night, but Kristaps Porzingis picked up the slack by scoring 38 points and pulling down 12 rebounds. The Mavericks seek their fourth straight home win over the Pacers, who last won at American Airlines Center in March 2016.
Inside the Stats (Home/Away)
Points Per Game:
Indiana 109.3 (108.5)
Dallas 116.6 (116.4)
Indiana 107.3 (109.1)
Dallas 110.4 (110.4)
-- Indiana 17-15 SU, 18-13-1 ATS
-- Dallas 18-14 SU, 13-18-1 ATS
Situational (Vs. Non-Conference)
The Pacers have won seven of their last 11 contests against Western Conference foes, but Indiana is 0-4 in four games as a road underdog against Western teams with all four losses coming by nine points or more.
The Mavericks own a 8-4 SU and 5-6-1 ATS mark against Eastern teams at home, including a 2-2 record when facing teams currently above .500 (wins against Toronto and Philadelphia and losses to Boston and Miami).
The VegasInsider.com Score Projections are produced daily for all NBA matchups. More...
Betcha Didn’t Know
The Pacers have dropped 10 of 14 games this season in the road underdog role, while the highest underdog price Indiana was listed at and won came as a 4.5-point 'dog at Orlando on November 10. <!--
NBA Expert Picks – Tony Mejia
Indiana opens the second of its season-long three five-game road trips in Denver and must be ready to face a challenging back-to-back since it will play in Salt Lake City on Martin Luther King Day. I believe his is going to be the Pacers’ best chance to grab a win given that they haven’t prevailed on the second night of a back-to-back in each of their last four tries. At first glance, this spread is awfully surprising given the venue and it’s clear that the books don’t expect the Nuggets to overcome the absence of point guard Jamal Murray, shooting guard Gary Harris and forward Paul Millsap. Best Bet: Indiana-->
VI Prediction Tool
The VegasInsider.com Prediction resource gives an edge to either team in eight specific categories listed above and there are instances where both clubs receive a positive edge (). Depending on how you weigh the below factors could provide more reason to fade or follow those teams in your wagers.
|VI Edge Predictions|
Total Talk (Over-Under)
Indiana: 33-29-1 (Away, 17-15 Over)
Dallas: 39-25 (Home, 20-12 Over)
The Pacers have cashed the 'over' in three of four games on their current road trip, while drilling the 'over' in three straight road contests against Western Conference foes.
The Mavericks had a five-game 'over' streak at home snapped in Friday's 121-96 victory over the Grizzlies on a 224.5 total. Dallas has hit the 'under' in three of the last four games.