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Tuesday’s NBA Betting Tip Sheet – March 3

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
7 minute read
(SU - Straight-up, ATS - Against the Spread, O/U - Over/Under)

San Antonio Spurs (-3, 212) at Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center – 7:05 p.m. ET

SA: 25-33 SU, 24-33-1 ATS, 35-22-1 O/U
CHA: 21-39 SU, 30-30 ATS, 28-32 O/U

Last 10 games:
SA: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS, 6-3-1 O/U
CHA: 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, 3-7 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Hornets swept the season series from the Spurs last season, but San Antonio picked up revenge in the first matchup back on February 1 with a 114-90 blowout as 8 ½-point home favorites.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Spurs have lost seven of their past nine road games, while allowing at least 120 points five times in this span.

-- Charlotte has dropped 10 of its previous 12 home contests, as both the wins have come against New York. Since the start of December, the only teams the Hornets have beaten at home are the Knicks, Wizards, Kings, and Warriors.

Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics (-9, 221 ½)
TD Garden – 7:35 p.m. ET

BKN: 26-33 SU, 28-31 ATS, 29-29-1 O/U
BOS: 41-18 SU, 37-20-2 ATS, 27-32 O/U

Last 10 games:
BKN: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U
BOS: 7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The home team has dominated this series recently by winning each of the past eight games since April 2018. The two division rivals split a pair of meetings in late November, as the Celtics knocked off the Nets, 121-110.

Two days later at Barclays Center, Brooklyn rebounded for a 112-107 victory as 4 ½-point underdogs, while both contests sailed ‘over’ the total.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Nets have covered in four of the last five opportunities as an underdog, but Brooklyn has gone 2-7 in its past nine games away from Barclays Center.

-- Since losing at home to Phoenix on January 18, the Celtics own a 14-4 ATS record in the last 18 games, including a 7-1 ATS mark at TD Garden.

L.A. Clippers (-3 ½, 227) at Oklahoma City Thunder
Chesapeake Energy Arena – 8:05 p.m. ET

LAC: 41-19 SU, 32-28 ATS, 28-31-1 O/U
OKC: 37-23 SU, 38-22 ATS, 28-31-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
LAC: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-5 O/U
OKC: 7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The home team has captured each of the two meetings this season, as the Clippers last won at Oklahoma City in November of 2016. Los Angeles edged OKC, 90-88 in mid-November at Staples Center as 7 ½-point favorites, while the Thunder outlasted the Clippers, 118-112 as one-point home favorites on December 22.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Clippers are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five games in the role of a road favorite, while three of those wins have come by double-digits.

-- The Thunder have covered in seven of 11 games as a home underdog, but OKC has won only four times in this situation.

Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans (-11 ½, 247)
Smoothie King Center – 8:05 p.m. ET

MIN: 17-42 SU, 20-37-2 ATS, 34-25 O/U
NO: 26-34 SU, 30-28-2 ATS, 34-26 O/U

Last 10 games:
MIN: 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS, 8-2 O/U
NO: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

This series was owned by the home team from January 2018 until February 2019 (6-0) until the Pelicans won at Minnesota, 107-99 on December 18 as 3 ½-point underdogs.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Wolves are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games, but all three covers by Minnesota in this stretch have come as an double-digit underdog.

-- Since Zion Williamson entered the Pelicans lineup on January 22, the Pelicans have cashed in only three of nine home contests.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets (-15 ½, 218)
Pepsi Center – 9:05 p.m. ET

GS: 13-48 SU, 28-33 ATS, 27-34 O/U
DEN: 41-19 SU, 28-28-4 ATS, 29-30-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
GS: 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS, 3-7 O/U
DEN: 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-2-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Nuggets outlasted the Warriors, 134-131 in overtime at Chase Center in San Francisco on January 16. Denver failed to cash as 3 ½-point road favorites, marking the fourth consecutive cover by Golden State in the series.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- In spite of going through a horrific season, the Warriors have been money on the road of late by posting a 7-3 ATS record in its last 10 games away from the Bay Area.

-- The Nuggets are 5-0-1 to the ‘over’ the last six home contests, while topping the 127-point mark four times in this span.

Toronto Raptors (-5, 225 ½) at Phoenix Suns
Talking Stick Resort Arena – 9:05 p.m. ET

TOR: 42-18 S, 33-27 ATS, 31-28-1 O/U
PHX: 24-37 S, 27-33-1 ATS, 30-31 O/U

Last 10 games:
TOR: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U
PHX: 4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS, 3-7 O/U

Head-to-Head:

These teams met right after the All-Star break in Toronto as the Raptors defeated the Suns, 118-101 as 8 ½-point home favorites. Phoenix had covered the previous nine matchups between the squads, but Toronto has won five straight in the series.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Raptors are looking to avoid their second four-game losing streak of the season. The last time Toronto dropped three consecutive games back in December, the Raptors defeated the Bulls, 93-92, but failed to cover as six-point road favorites.

-- The Suns have not fared well for bettors at home since January as Phoenix is 1-12 ATS the last 13 games at Talking Stick Resort Arena. Nine of those defeats did come in the role of a home favorite, while the only cover came as an underdog against Houston on February 7.

Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Lakers (-12 ½, 220 ½)
Staples Center – 10:05 p.m. ET

PHI: 37-24 S, 26-31-4 ATS, 30-30-1 O/U
LAL: 46-13 S, 32-26-1 ATS, 29-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
PHI: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U
LAL: 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The 76ers dominated the Lakers at Wells Fargo Center on January 25 as 4 ½-point underdogs, 108-91. Philadelphia has captured five of the past six meetings with Los Angeles, while winning in its last three matchups at Staples Center.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The 76ers are one of the worst road teams in the league at 9-22, but Philadelphia isn’t even a good bet in the away underdog role. In its last 10 opportunities as a road ‘dog, the Sixers are 1-8-1 ATS.

-- The Lakers are 5-2 SU/ATS in their last seven home games as a double-digit favorite, but the two non-covers came in straight-up losses to the Blazers on January 31 and the Magic on January 15.

Washington Wizards at Sacramento Kings (-5 ½, 233)
Golden 1 Center – 10:05 p.m. ET

WSH: 22-37 SU, 30-27-2 ATS, 35-23-1 O/U
SAC: 26-34 SU, 31-28-1 ATS, 30-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
WSH: 5-5 SU, 6-3-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U
SAC: 7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Kings traveled to D.C. in late November and took care of the Wizards, 113-106 as 2 ½-point underdogs. That marked the fifth consecutive ‘under’ in the series, while snapping a three-game winning streak by the home teams.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Wizards are 0-7 this season off a road win, while failing to cover in their last five opportunities in this situation.

-- Sacramento has slumped to a 2-8 ATS record in its last 10 games in the role of a home favorite, which includes the non-cover in Sunday’s six-point victory over Detroit.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.


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