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Player Prop Plays for Sunday August 9

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read

NBA Sunday Player Prop Plays

Odds Via Fanduel Sportsbook
T&C's Apply, 21+, Only in NJ, PA, IN, CO and WV

San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans

Game set for 3:00 p.m. ET on ABC

Jrue Holiday Under – 30.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115)

Jrue Holiday was THE guy for the Pelicans in their 118-107 victory over the Wizards on Friday night, tallying 28 points, 3 rebounds, and 6 assists across 37 minutes in his best game so far in the bubble. Prior to game against Washington, Orlando had not been good to Holiday, averaging just 14 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.2 assists in New Orleans first 4 games, going under 30.5 total stats in 3 of those games.

San Antonio was also not good to Jrue in the regular season as he tallied just 12 points, 2 rebounds, and 4 assists, as the Spurs were victorious in the only matchup between these 2 teams 121-117. Holiday’s usage rate has dropped from 24.2% on the year, to 21.8% in the bubble, falling to 4th on the team behind JJ Reddick (23.7% in the bubble). Jrue was great against the Wizards on Friday night, but the truth is the Pelicans are beginning to look to him less as their young stars continue to emerge.

Greg Popovich’s Spurs are notorious for giving guards fits trying to get open for a bucket, and Jrue was a victim of that earlier this year. He may have gotten over the scoring hump against the Wizards, but his hustle stats are still way down, as he averaged 11.5 rebounds + assists this season, but has not eclipsed that number once inside the bubble.

I am taking the under here, as I believe Holiday’s bubble statistical struggles will come back, as his usage rate continues to sink, and is facing a much tougher defensive team Sunday afternoon in the Spurs.

Philadelphia 76ers at Portland Trail Blazers

Game set for 6:30 p.m. ET on NBATV

Tobias Harris Over 32.5 – points + rebounds +assists (-104)

Devastating news broke for the 76ers yesterday, as the team announced that Ben Simmons is leaving the bubble to have left knee surgery and is likely to be out for the rest of the season. This is crushing news for Philadelphia as a unit, but will inevitably pay dividends to Tobias Harris and Joel Embiid’s stat totals. In the Sixers first game without Simmons, I rode with Embiid’s points + rebounds over as I thought the rebounds typically collected by Simmons would fall to the 7-foot center, but instead they fell to Harris (15).

Surprisingly, Embiid played extremely passive for the majority of the Sixers win over the Magic, and instead it was Tobias Harris leading the way, scoring 23 points on 21 shot attempts, and was able to add 19 rebounds + assists. When Simmons is not in the lineup for the Sixers this season, Harris’ usage rate jumps from 22.9% up to 25.6%.

In 12 games so far without Simmons this year, Tobias averaged 21 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. Harris is averaging 24 points so far inside the bubble, and I imagine that will continue to climb as the Sixers continue to figure out how they are going to maneuver for the remainder of the season without one of their superstar talents. Back Tobias to make it 4 out of 5 total stats OVERS against a Portland lineup that is the 2nd worst defensively Philadelphia will face inside the bubble.

Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings

Game set for 8:00 p.m. ET

De’Aron Fox Over 36.5 – points + rebounds + assists (-113)

Russell Westbrook will miss his 2 nd straight game on Sunday with a right quad contusion in the Rockets late-night tilt with the Sacramento Kings. James Harden’s total stats line has been set at 53.5 for this one, and I must admit, I flirted with that line a little bit, given Harden has averaged 39.2 points, 8.7 assists, and 7.3 rebounds when his all-star counterpart doesn’t play, but I ended up rolling with De’Aron Fox instead, who has been great inside the bubble and was great against Houston this year.

Fox has averaged 26.2 points inside the bubble, which is over 5 points higher than his seasonal average (21.0), and has gone over 36.5 total stats in 3 out of the Kings first 5 matchups in the NBA restart. His hustle stats have been down in Orlando so far, but I expect those totals to jump up tonight against a Rockets team that has played at the 4th fastest pace in the NBA this season. Fox had his closest encounter with a 10-rebound game in his lone matchup with Houston this year, tallying 31 points, a season-high 9 rebounds, and 6 assists in the Kings 113-104 loss.

The young, explosive Sacramento point-guard shouldn’t have too much trouble scoring against this banged up tandem of Rockets guards, and the spike in game pace should pay dividends to Fox’s volume stats. 20-25 points should easily send this one over; maybe less. Back him to do it again in a high-scoring battle with James Harden and the Rockets.

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