76ers vs. Warriors Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Mar. 23, 2021

by Jonathan Willis
NBA Expert
VegasInsider.com

We’re going to know a lot about the Philadelphia 76ers after their four-game road trip over the next week. The Sixers will take on both Los Angeles teams and Denver, but the Golden State Warriors will be the first team on the agenda this Tuesday.

This is the first meeting between the Sixers and Warriors this season. The top storyline should be that this will be the first time that Stephen Curry has faced his brother Seth Curry this year, but both Curry brothers are questionable to take the court due to injuries.

76ers vs. Warriors Betting Resources

Matchup: Eastern vs. Western Conference
Expert Picks: Vegas Insiders
Venue: Chase Center
Location: San Francisco, California
Date: Tuesday, Mar. 23, 2021
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Bet: BetMGM | betrivers |FanDuel |bet365 |DraftKings |Best Sportsbooks

Betting Odds - 76ers vs. Warriors

Line Movements

Subject to Change

Spread: 76ers -3.5
Money-Line: Philadelphia -165, Golden State +145
Total: 220.5

Jordan Poole leads the beat-up Warriors back at home on Tuesday against the 76ers. (AP)

76ers vs. Warriors Current Form-Last Game

Golden State has not been sharp in recent weeks. The Warriors are 3-6 over their last nine games. They do have a victory over Utah in that stretch though, and most of their losses were against top four teams in the Western Conference.

The Warriors are back in the Bay Area after a short three-game road trip last week. Golden State started off with double-digit wins over both Houston and Memphis before falling to the Grizzlies in the second game of a back-to-back on Saturday night.

Curry and James Wiseman both missed the second game against the Grizzlies. Jordan Poole scored 26 points in a losing effort, but both Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre Jr. struggled from the floor.

Philadelphia has won eight of its last nine games. The 76ers are 6-1 since the All-Star Break, and their lone blemish was an overtime loss to Milwaukee last Wednesday. They have hammered most of their foes in this stretch, winning four of those six games by at least 20 points.

The Sixers crushed Sacramento by 24 points on Saturday night and then survived a scare from the New York Knicks in Madison Square Garden the following evening. Tobias Harris knocked down two late free throws to put Philly ahead, and Shake Milton provided 21 points off the bench.

76ers vs. Warriors Head-to-Head

Mar. 7, 2020 - Warriors 118 vs. 76ers 114, Golden State +4, Over 219.5
Jan. 28, 2020 - 76ers 115 vs. Warriors 104, Golden State +13, Over 215

(SU-Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread, OU - Over-Under)

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats (2020-2021)

Overall: 30-13 SU, 24-17-1 ATS, 23-20 OU
Road: 11-9 SU, 8-11-1 ATS, 9-11 OU

Philadelphia has yet to provide a timetable on when Joel Embiid will return. Embiid was the frontrunner to be named NBA MVP this season, so the Sixers are hoping he can return by the end of the month. However, it’s understandable that the team is being very cautious with the star center considering his previous injury woes.

Harris is the second-leading scorer on the 76ers. He has led the team in Embiid’s absence, averaging 22.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG, and 4.3 APG this month. Harris is knocking down 49.3% of his field goals and 41.7% of his threes in March, helping Philly pick up victories without Embiid.

We’ve seen Ben Simmons continue to thrive as a triple-double threat too. Simmons is averaging 15.9 PPG, 8.0 RPG, and 7.7 APG on the season.

The former top pick leads the team in steals, and he is an all-around superb contributor even though he struggles with his perimeter shooting. Simmons is making 56.7% of his field goals, but he needs to become more comfortable in a half-court set for the postseason.

Milton is putting up points off the bench. Milton is averaging 13.9 PPG, and he has been particularly effective over the last two games. He went 9-17 for 28 points against the Kings on Saturday, and Milton went 9-15 for 21 points against the Knicks on Sunday.

The decision to sign Dwight Howard has paid off in a big way with Embiid out. Howard is no longer the star he was in Orlando, but he is a rebounding machine. He has pulled down at least 12 rebounds in four straight games with a double-double in three of those four games.

Golden State Warriors Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats (2020-2021)

Overall: 22-21 SU, 21-22 ATS, 17-26 OU
Home: 13-7 SU, 12-8 ATS, 9-11 OU

Curry may not suit up for the Warriors on Tuesday night. He injured his tailbone on Wednesday night against Houston, and he has not played in either of Golden State’s last two games. His absence would really affect Golden State’s chances, as there is no other top tier scoring option.

The two-time league MVP is one of just two players on Golden State with a PER north of 15. Curry is averaging 29.0 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 6.2 APG. He is knocking down 47.5% of his field goals and 40.8% of his threes.

Curry will go down as the greatest three-point shooter of all time, and he has made at least 40% of his treys in 11 of his 12 seasons. However, his last two seasons have been his least efficient in terms of perimeter shooting.

Poole is the other player on Golden State with a PER above 15. Poole spent half the season in the G League, but he has shined since returning to the Warriors just before the All-Star Break. He has made 54.5% of his field goals and 44.2% of his triples this month. That has led to him being the second-leading scorer behind Curry, averaging 20.9 PPG.

Poole doesn’t provide much other than scoring, but that’s something Golden State needs with Draymond Green continuing to shoot poorly and Klay Thompson out.

Wiggins has put up some decent numbers with the Warriors. He is averaging 17.8 PPG and 4.7 RPG this season, making 47.0% of his field goals. That is much better than Oubre, who is averaging 14.9 PPG and 5.8 RPG but making just 43.4% of his field goals and 30.2% of his threes.

Key Injuries

Philadelphia 76ers

PF Joel Embiid: Knee - Out
SG Seth Curry: Knee - Questionable

Golden State Warriors

PG Stephen Curry: Tailbone - Questionable
PF Draymond Green: Ankle - Questionable
C James Wiseman: Illness - Out