Warriors vs. Hawks Predictions, Odds, Preview

Apr. 4, 2021
by Jonathan Willis
NBA Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Golden State Warriors are eager to get back on the court after their historic loss to the Toronto Raptors on Friday night. They were outscored by an NBA record 51 points in the second and third quarters on their way to a 130-77 defeat.

The oddsmakers think they won’t have any trouble bouncing back against the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday night though, installing the Warriors as short road favorites.

Warriors vs. Hawks Betting Resources

Betting Odds - Warriors vs. Hawks

Line Movements

Subject to Change

  • Spread: Warriors -2
  • Money-Line: Golden State -130, Atlanta +105
  • Total:

Golden State has dropped four straight on the road, which includes a 53-point loss against Toronto this past Friday. (AP)

Warriors vs. Hawks Current Form-Last Game

Atlanta was one of the NBA’s best teams in March. The Hawks started the season 14-20, but they have rallied to win 11 of their last 15 games and move over .500. They won eight in a row to start last month and get right into the thick of things in the Eastern Conference playoff race.

The Hawks went on an extended road trip at the end of the month, and this is their first home game since March 18. They started the road trip with a win over the Los Angeles Lakers, but they subsequently lost four of their next five as they faced contenders like the Clippers, Nuggets, and Suns.

The one team Atlanta beat in this stretch was Golden State. The Hawks beat the Warriors, 124-108 as John Collins netted a career-best 38 points on 14 of 19 shooting. Trae Young had 15 dimes and Clint Capela posted 15 rebounds for the Hawks, while Andrew Wiggins led the Warriors with 29 points.

In their last game, the Hawks beat the Pelicans, 126-103. Atlanta was without Collins and Young, but New Orleans didn’t have Zion Williamson or Brandon Ingram. That led to Bogdan Bogdanovic and Kevin Huerter taking over, and they combined for 50 points.

Golden State has been on a skid over the last month. The Warriors are the inverse of the Hawks with 11 losses in their last 15 games, and that has led to this team falling out of the playoff picture in the Western Conference. They have lost six of their last seven games with the only win coming against Chicago last Monday.

The defense has been a big issue during this run. They have given up 118.9 PPG over their last seven games and at least 100 points in eight straight.

It was the Warriors’ offense that let the team down on Friday in Tampa. Golden State shot 32.9% from the floor and four of five starters finished with a plus/minus of at least -32 with Stephen Curry missing the game due to injury. Wiggins was the only player with more than 10 points in the dreadful outing.

Warriors vs. Hawks Head-to-Head

  • Mar. 26, 2021 - Hawks 124 at Warriors 108, Atlanta -7, Over 218

(SU-Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread, OU - Over-Under)

Golden State Warriors Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats (2020-2021)

  • Overall: 23-26 SU, 22-27 ATS, 20-29 OU
  • Road: 9-17 SU, 9-17 ATS, 10-16 OU

Curry is expected to return to the lineup after resting an ailing tailbone on Friday. The Warriors certainly missed him in the loss to the Raptors, and he will ensure this team is much better on offense.

The soon-to-be greatest three-point shooter of all-time is third in the league in scoring (29.2 PPG). Curry is making 47.5% of his field goals and 41.0% of his threes on the year.

It’s been clear that Wiggins will never be the standout player on a good team. However, Wiggins has been a solid second banana in the absence of Klay Thompson.

The No. 1 pick in the 2014 NBA Draft is averaging 18.2 PPG across from Curry. He is making 47.4% of his field goals and 39.9% of his threes, but he doesn’t provide much else aside from scoring.

Rookie James Wiseman is having an inconsistent debut season. The No. 2 overall pick out of Memphis has a lot of promise, but his inexperience is showing. He has not played well in his last two games with 13 points, seven personal fouls, and eight turnovers.

Draymond Green is having one of the strangest seasons you will see in the modern NBA. Green is an elite defender, rebounder, and distributor, but his shooting has really fallen off this year.

He is averaging just 6.3 PPG and making just 41% of his field goals and 26.8% of his threes. However, head coach Steve Kerr continues to play him big minutes because of what he does for the team.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats (2020-2021)

  • Overall: 25-24 SU, 25-23-1 ATS, 25-24 OU
  • Home: 11-9 SU, 11-9 ATS, 9-11 OU

The Hawks are hoping that Young will be available for this game. Atlanta’s superstar sat out of Friday’s game with a knee injury, and he is questionable to take the court on Sunday night.

Young leads the Hawks with 25.5 PPG and 9.6 APG, and he gets to the free throw line a lot. That has helped him be an efficient scorer despite some iffy shooting percentages.

Collins, De’Andre Hunter, and Cam Reddish will be out, so the Hawks will need to find scoring from elsewhere in order to win this game. All three players are averaging at least 11 PPG, but the Hawks do have some depth.

Trade deadline acquisition Lou Williams is hoping that a change of scenery will bring him out of a shooting slump. Williams was acquired from the Clippers and the former Sixth Man of the Year was not playing up to his usual level. He has performed well in his two games with the Hawks so far though, averaging 13.0 PPG and 6.5 APG.

Clint Capela will need to have a good game against the Warriors too if the Hawks want to win. Capela is averaging a double-double on the season with 14.9 PPG and 14.1 RPG.

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors

  • PG Stephen Curry: Tailbone - Probable
  • PF Draymond Green: Finger - Questionable

Atlanta Hawks

  • PG Trae Young: Knee - Questionable
  • SF Danillo Gallinari: Achilles - Questionable
  • PF John Collins: Ankle - Out
  • PF De'Andre Hunter: Knee - Out
  • SF Cam Reddish: Achilles - Out

Warriors vs. Hawks Prediction

This will be a rebound game for Golden State. The Warriors will take advantage of the short-handed Hawks and avenge their prior loss.

Score Prediction: Warriors 119, Hawks 111
Best Bet: Golden State -2