Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:45 AM

Warriors vs. 76ers Predictions, Odds, Preview

Apr. 19, 2021
by Joe Williams
NBA Expert

The Golden State Warriors (28-29) play the fourth of a five-game road trip against the Philadelphia 76ers (39-17) at Wells Fargo Center on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The game is nationally televised on ESPN.

The Warriors won two of the first three games of the trip, routing Oklahoma City and Cleveland before getting tripped up 119-114 at Boston as three-point underdogs. The 76ers have rattled off wins in each of the past four outings, including wins over NBA title contenders Brooklyn and L.A. Clippers.

Warriors vs.76ers Betting Resources

Betting Odds - Warriors vs.76ers

Line Movements

Subject to Change

  • Spread: Philadelphia -8
  • Money-Line: 76ers -350, Warriors +280
  • Total: 227.5

The 76ers are favored by four buckets, and the number has climbed from -6 to -8 since the open on Sunday evening. The total has also risen from as low as 224.5 as some shops to 227.5.

Philadelphia pushed past four straight Western Conference opponents in the past four games, blasting Oklahoma City 117-93 and Dallas 113-95 on the road, while edging Brooklyn 123-117 and L.A. Clippers 106-103 in each of the past two at home.

Golden State roughed up Oklahoma City 147-109 on Wednesday to kick off the road trip, and they pounded Cleveland 119-101 as 5.5-point favorites on Thursday.

The Warriors look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Celtics as Golden State heads to Philadelphia on Monday. (AP)

Warriors vs.76ers Current Form-Last Game

The Warriors are coming off a 119-114 loss in Boston as three-point underdogs as the OVER (226) connected. That snapped a four-game win and cover streak. Golden State saw Stephen Curry go off for 47 points in Beantown, while he finished with seven rebounds, three assists and just five turnovers while raining in 11 three-pointers.

The Warriors saw Curry hit 11-of-19 from behind the arc, and they ended up shooting 42% while knocking down 17-of-40. Overall they were 51% from the field, too, going 41-of-80, while hitting 15-of-20 from the free-throw line, too.

The Sixers failed to cover a four-point number against the Clippers at home on Friday, but they won 106-103 as the UNDER (218.5) connected again. That's 11 UNDER results across the past 14 games for Philly.

Philly had four scorers in double digits against Clips, as Joel Embiid went for 36 points, 14 rebounds and a steal in his 35 minutes. Furkan Korkmaz was the second-best scoring option with 18 points, including five triples and three steals. Danny Green added 11 points with seven rebounds, four steals and three assists while hitting three triples.

Warriors vs.76ers Head-to-Head

  • Mar. 23, 2021 - 76ers 108 at Warriors 98, Philadelphia -4, Under 219

The 76ers outlasted the Warriors at Chase Arena in San Francisco in the first meeting a few weeks ago, winning a low-scoring game. Tobias Harris, who is questionable for Monday's game due to a knee ailment, has managed 25 points with 13 rebounds, four assists and a blocked shot in his 36 minutes.

Kelly Oubre Jr. (wrist) went for 24 points, 10 rebounds and a blocked shot with two three-pointers in the first meeting, but he is out indefinitely and will miss this one. Steph Curry is questionable for this one due to an ankle injury, too. He missed the first meeting.

(SU-Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread, OU - Over-Under)

Golden State Warriors Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats (2020-2021)

  • Overall: 28-29 SU, 27-30 ATS, 24-33 OU
  • Road: 11-19 SU, 11-19 ATS, 12-18 OU

The Warriors heads into this one with covers in four of the past five games, although they're just 2-6 across the past eight games on the road. They're also a dismal 0-6 ATS in the previous six as a road underdog, last cashing in a 116-103 win at Memphis on March 19 as 6.5-point underdogs.

Golden State is also 2-8 ATS in the past 10 as an underdog, and they're 0-6 ATS in the past six on the road against teams with a winning home record, too.

Golden State enters with rather middling numbers on offense, going for 113.0 PPG to rank 15th in the league, while hitting 46.6% from the floor to rank 16th. They're a decent three-point shooting team, hitting 37.2% to rank 12th, and of course with Curry they're a good free-throw shooting team, knocking down 77.9% to check in 13th.

Defensively they're allowing 113.6 PPG to rank 21st, but they're seventh in defensive field-goal percentage at 45.7.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats (2020-2021)

  • Overall: 39-17 SU, 30-24-2 ATS, 26-30 OU
  • Home: 22-5 SU, 16-11 ATS, 16-11 OU

Philadelphia has struggled against the number lately, cashing in just two of their past seven as a favorite, including 0-4 ATS in the past four as a home favorite. They're also 0-4 ATS in the past four at home, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven following a straight-up record. That makes the Warriors quite attractive.

However, Philadelphia has cashed in six of the past eight against teams with a losing record, and, more importantly, they're 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings at home against Golden State, while going 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings overall.

The UNDER is also 13-6 in the past 19 meetings in this series, while hitting in five of the past seven meetings at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia.

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors

  • PG Stephen Curry: Ankle - Questionable
  • SF Kelly Oubre, Jr.: Wrist - Questionable
  • SF Juan Toscano-Anderson: Concussion - Out
  • C James Wiseman: Knee - Out
  • PF Eric Paschall: Hip - Out
  • SG Klay Thompson: Achilles - Out

Philadelphia 76ers

  • C Dwight Howard: Knee - Questionable
  • SG Seth Curry: Hip - Questionable
  • SF Tobias Harris: Knee - Questionable
  • PG George Hill: Thumb - Out

Warriors vs.76ers Prediction

Golden State has done a decent job with four wins and covers across the past five outings, but they have struggled over the years against Philadelphia. The first meeting with no exception, and the Warriors will be without one of their biggest horses with Oubre on the shelf.

Toss in the fact that Curry is a question mark for this game as well, and Philadelphia is looking awfully attractive. Yes, the 76ers have had some ugly numbers against the spread at home, but they have dominated the Warriors over the years, at least ATS, and this one should be no different.

Score Prediction: 76ers 118, Warriors 106
Best Bet: 76ers -8
Best Bet: UNDER 227.5

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