Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Predictions, Picks, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Regular-season NBA action will resume on Monday night with a heavyweight Eastern Conference bout between the Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat. Coverage begins from FTX Arena in Miami at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Heat 116, Bulls 108

Best Bets

Heat -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Bulls vs. Heat Predictions

After finishing sixth in the East with a record of 40-32 SU last year, Miami bounced back with an excellent start to this season, as the Heat opened with a sturdy 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch – with nine of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Aside from a brief nine-game December lull (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), Miami has kept that same ball rolling through February too, considering the Heat enter Monday boasting records of 26-10 SU and 20-15-1 ATS across their last 36 games – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 12 of those contests.

On the other hand, Chicago absolutely dominated to open to the season, as the Bulls kicked things off with an impressive 26-10 SU and 22-14 ATS run – with five of those SU victories coming in matchups they were underdogs in.

The Bulls have been decimated by health issues since mid-January though, considering Chicago sits just 12-11 SU and 13-9-1 ATS across their last 23 games – which includes a 2-5 SU record without All-Star SG Zach LaVine, and a record of 10-6 SU with him.

I’ll back Miami here, as the Heat are 8-1 SU in their last nine games, while scoring 113.6 OPPG and allowing 103.6 DPPG across that window – likely serving as a tough road task for a Bulls squad that’s allowed 115+ PTS in ten of their last 14 contests (116.6 DPPG).

Bulls vs. Heat Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Bulls vs. Heat Betting Resources

• Matchup: Central vs. Southeast
• Date: Monday, February 28, 2022
• Venue: FTX Arena
• Location: Miami, FL
• TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 7:30 p.m. ET
• Injury Report

Chicago Bulls Betting Analysis

• SU: 39-22
• ATS: 36-24-1
• O/U: 32-28-1

After finishing 11^th in the East with a record of 31-41 SU last year, the Bulls went out and made some aggressive acquisitions during the offseason, ultimately reshaping their entire roster, as LaVine now finds himself partnered up with a stout supporting cast that includes DeMar DeRozan, Lonzo Ball, Nikola Vucevic, Alex Caruso and others.

The Bulls have recently stalled out due to health concerns though, considering Chicago enters Monday riding a relatively pedestrian 12-11 SU and 13-9-1 ATS stretch– but nearly half of those SU losses came in the absence of LaVine (5).

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

• SU: 40-21
• ATS: 34-26-1
• O/U: 37-24

After last year’s relatively lackluster 40-32 SU showing, the Heat also made some aggressive offseason moves to better suit needs at the offensive end – primarily highlighted by the acquisition of six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry.

The move worked perfectly to start, as Miami kicked off the year with an impressive 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with the Heat’s only ATS loses across that span coming in tough matchups against the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets, and Celtics.

The depth that Miami sacrificed in order to acquire Lowry was briefly exposed in November though, as a revolving door of health and safety concerns spiraled Miami into a frustrating 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid – but depth certainly hasn’t been an issue as of late, considering the Heat sit 26-10 SU across their last 36 games.

Bulls vs. Heat Head-to-Head

The Heat won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Chicago last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 203.3 PPG. The Heat are also 2-0 SU against Chicago this season, which resulted in another pair of relatively low-scoring affairs (210.5 PPG). 

Key Players to Watch

• CHI: DeMar DeRozan - SG (28.3 PPG, 5.3 REB, 5.1 AST)
• CHI: Zach LaVine - PG (24.6 PPG, 4.8 REB, 4.5 AST)
• MIA: Jimmy Butler - SF (21.9 PPG, 6.2 REB, 5.8 AST)
• MIA: Tyler Herro - SG (20.3 PPG, 4.8 REB, 3.9 AST)

Bulls vs. Heat Betting Conclusion

After falling to the Grizzlies at home on Saturday night (L, 116-110), the Bulls hit the road for Monday’s contest as four-point underdogs against the Heat at FTX Arena – marking the eighth straight home game Miami has been favored in.

I’ll back Miami here, as the Bulls enter Monday riding a bumpy 12-11 SU skid, while allowing an average of 116 DPPG across that span – setting the stage for a difficult road matchup against a Heat squad that’s scored 115+ PTS in four of their last seven games (115.1 OPPG).

Bulls vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
• The total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 16 Heat' games.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Bulls' games.
• The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Chicago.
• The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven matchups between Chicago and Miami.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson