Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Predictions, Picks, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Monday night with a compelling Western Conference showdown between the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets. Coverage begins from Ball Arena at 9:00 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Score Prediction

Nuggets 117, Warriors 105

Best Bets

Nuggets -9.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Warriors vs. Nuggets Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with an impressive 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run – with 14 of those victories coming by double-digits.

The last couple of months have been shaky for Golden State though, considering the Warriors enter Monday riding a relatively bumpy 25-18 SU and 15-25-3 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as favorites in 34 of those contests.

On the other hand, Denver stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Nuggets kicked things off with a mediocre 20-19 SU and 16-23 ATS stretch – while averaging just 105.6 OPPG across that window.

Denver has played excellent since the midway point of January though, considering the Nuggets boast records of 17-7 SU and 13-10-1 ATS across their last 24 games – while scoring 118.6 OPPG and allowing just 110.9 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll back Denver here, as the Warriors are 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in their last ten games, while tallying 111.2 OPPG and allowing 115.5 DPPG across that window, and things certainly won't get any easier with several key players unavailable such as Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green on Monday night.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Resources

• Matchup: Pacific vs. Northwest
• Date: Monday, March 7, 2022
• Venue: Ball Arena
• Location: Denver, CO
• TV-Time: NBA TV - 9:00 p.m. ET
• Injury Report

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

• SU: 43-21
• ATS: 30-30-4
• O/U: 28-34-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, the Warriors returned seeking immediate vengeance to start the new season, as Golden State kicked things off with wins in 18 of their first 20 games – with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

Golden State’s success has primarily come through defense since December, considering the Warriors enter Monday riding a relatively pedestrian 25-18 SU stretch, while scoring just 109.4 OPPG and allowing 106.5 DPPG across that span. Golden State’s mantra has altered since the return of Thompson though, highlighted by the Warriors averaging 112.6 OPPG across their last 19 games.

Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

• SU: 37-26
• ATS: 29-33-1
• O/U: 32-29-2

Despite the year-long absence of Jamal Murray, Denver has still strung together an admirable regular-season campaign, considering the Nuggets sit sixth in the Western Conference standings with a record of 37-26 SU – which trails the fifth-place Mavericks and fourth-place Jazz by less than three games.

The Nuggets still experienced their fair share of additional health issues, highlighted by Michael Porter Jr. and Austin Rivers both missing stints recently. I still like my chances with Denver in Monday’s matchup as long as Nikola Jokic plays though, considering the Nuggets have tallied 115+ PTS in six of their last seven contests (118.3 PPG) – while Golden State has scored 115+ PTS or less in three of their last four (111 DPPG).

Warriors vs. Nuggets Head-to-Head

The Warriors won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Denver last year, with all three matchups going under the total at an average of 218.7 PPG. The Nuggets are 2-0 SU against Golden State this season though, with the first matchup staying well under the number at a score of 89-86 – while their most recent meeting soared over with a score of 117-116.

Key Players to Watch

• GSW: Jordan Poole - PG (16.3 PPG, 3.1 REB, 3.5 AST)
• GSW: Kevon Looney - C (6.3 PPG, 7.5 REB, 1.8 AST)
• DEN: Nikola Jokic - C (25.4 PPG, 13.8 REB, 7.9 AST)
• DEN: Aaron Gordon - PF (14.5 PPG, 5.7 REB 2.5 AST)

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Conclusion

After extending their losing streak to four games with a loss to the Lakers on Saturday night (L, 124-116), the Warriors hit the road again for Monday’s contest as short favorites over the Nuggets at Ball Arena – marking the ninth time Golden State has been favored across their last ten games.

I’ll back Denver here, as the Nuggets are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, while scoring 117.8 OPPG and allowing 108.6 DPPG across that window – likely presenting a challenging road task for a short-handed Warriors squad that’s allowing 116.1 DPPG across their latest 1-6 SU skid.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last ten matchups against Golden State.
• The Warriors are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games.
• The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups between Denver and Golden State.
• The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Warriors' games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson