Last Updated Mar 26, 2022, 8:01 PM
Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat Predictions, Picks, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Saturday night with a heavyweight Eastern Conference showdown between the Brooklyn Nets and Miami Heat. Coverage begins from FTX Arena at 8:00 p.m. ET on NBA TV.
Nets 116, Heat 110
Brooklyn -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Nets vs. Heat Predictions
After finishing second in the East with a record of 49-23 SU last year, Brooklyn posted a similarly triumphant start to the season, as the Nets opened with an impressive 26-14 SU run – with 15 of those victories coming by eight points or more.
The Nets have been incredibly inconsistent since trading away James Harden though, considering Brooklyn enters Saturday riding a head-scratching 12-21 SU skid – while scoring just 112.4 OPPG and surrendering 116.4 DPPG across that window.
On the other hand, Miami also barreled out to an excellent start to the season, as the Heat kicked things off with a sturdy 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch – with nine of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.
Aside from a brief nine-game December lull though (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), Miami has carried that same momentum all the way through March too, considering Miami boasts sturdy records of 33-15 SU and 26-21-1 ATS across their last 48 games – while ranking fourth in defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency during that timeframe (1.095 OE, 1.050 DE).
I’ll back Brooklyn here, as the Nets are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in their last eight games, while generating 124.3 OPPG and allowing 113.8 DPPG during that timeframe – likely presenting an uphill battle for a Heat squad that’s averaging just 106.6 OPPG across their latest 1-6 ATS skid.
Nets vs. Heat Betting Odds
Nets vs. Heat Betting Resources
- Matchup: Atlantic vs. Southeast
- Date: Saturday, March 26, 2022
- Venue: FTX Arena
- Location: Miami, FL
- TV-Time: NBA TV - 8:00 p.m. ET
- Injury Report
Brooklyn Nets Betting Analysis
- SU: 38-35
- ATS: 30-41-2
- O/U: 38-34-1
After a heartbreaking Game 7 loss in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals, the Nets bounced back with an excellent start to this season, as Brooklyn cruised into January boasting a 26-14 SU record – yet still ranked near the bottom of the barrel ATS at that point with a record of 17-22-1 ATS.
Brooklyn completely fell apart during KD’s latest absence though, considering Nets enter Saturday riding a frustrating 12-21 SU skid, which includes a 6-11 SU tally in matchups with Kyrie Irving – and a 6-10 SU mark in matchups without him.
Miami Heat Betting Analysis
- SU: 47-26
- ATS: 40-32-1
- O/U: 43-30
After last year’s underwhelming 40-32 SU showing, Miami made some bold offseason acquisitions in order to better suit needs at the offensive end – primarily highlighted by the acquisition of six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry.
The transition was seamless at first, as the Heat kicked things off with an impressive 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with Miami’s only ATS loses across that span coming in tough matchups against the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets, and Celtics.
The depth that Miami sacrificed to acquire Lowry was briefly exposed in November though, considering a revolving door of health and safety concerns spiraled Miami into a brief 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid. However, depth hasn’t been much of an issue recently, considering Miami enters Saturday riding a sturdy 33-15 SU, 26-21-1 ATS run.
Nets vs. Heat Head-to-Head
The Nets won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Miami last year, with the first matchup soaring over the total at a score of 128-124 (O 232), while the ensuing two affairs stayed under with an average of 199.5 PPG. However, the Heat are 3-0 SU against Brooklyn this season, with the first and third matchups staying under the total at an average of 209.5 PPG – while the second went over with a score of 115-111 (O 222).
Key Players to Watch
- BKN: Kevin Durant - SF (29.7 PPG, 7.3 REB, 6.1 AST)
- BKN: Kyrie Irving - PG (28.5 PPG, 4.6 REB, 5.5 AST)
- MIA: Jimmy Butler - SF (21.2 PPG, 6 REB, 5.6 AST)
- MIA: Tyler Herro - SG (20.9 PPG, 4.8 REB, 3.8 AST)
Nets vs. Heat Betting Conclusion
After posting back-to-back road losses against short-handed Sixers and Warriors squads, the Heat return home for Saturday’s contest as short road favorites over the visiting Nets – marking the sixth time Brooklyn has been an underdog across their last ten games.
I’ll back Brooklyn here, as the Heat are 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, while scoring just 106.6 OPPG and surrendering 109.4 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for another unfavorable matchup against a Nets squad that’s averaging 124.3 OPPG across their latest 6-2 SU run.
Nets vs. Heat Betting Trends
- The Nets are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Brooklyn and Miami.
- The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Nets' games.
- The Heat are 4-6 ATS in their last ten matchups against Miami.