Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Regular season NBA action resumes on Wednesday night with a heavyweight Western Conference clash between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks. Coverage begins from American Airlines Center at7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PREDICTION

For those still wrestling with the idea of the disparity in overall team performance based on game location in the NBA, I’d encourage you to look no further than the Warriors home vs. away splits for the season, and try to make a case for Golden State’s struggles on the road coming as pure coincidence.

The Warriors are positioned 6th in the Western Conference standings with a record of 37-36 on the year, however, their overall record certainly doesn’t tell the full story, considering they’ve posted an impressive record of 29-7 on their home floor, and a record of 8-29 away from it.

For a while, the masses claimed that the Warriors were simply drawing tougher opponents on the road, combined with a handful of bad breaks injury-wise, but at this point, it looks like that ship has officially sailed. Plan and simple, this Warriors’ team is just good at home and bad on the road, currently ranked 5th in net rating on their home floor (+7.7 NetRtg), and 27th away from it (-6.7 NetRtg).

While on the other hand, the Mavericks have been stuck in no man’s land for years now, primarily due to the fact that as long as Luka Doncic is on the roster, they’ll always have the DNA of an excellent regular-season team, having won 42+ games in three straight campaigns, which is certainly nothing to be ashamed of, but they’ve never really surrounded Luka with the pieces necessary to truly contend for a championship.

So, when the opportunity presented itself, the Mavs decided to take a big swing on Kyrie Irving at the trade deadline, which in theory, gives them far more upside in regards to title contention, yet it’s also decimated their depth, and at this point, without their superstar duo on the floor, this team is a total dumpster fire. 

The Mavericks are 5-10 in their last 15 games, primarily stemming from the fact they rank 25th in defensive rating during that span (118.6 DRtg), and when a team’s top two scoring options are shelved, it usually forces the supporting cast to pick up some slack at the other end, which they are finally starting to do, having surrendered 113 points or less in five of their last six games, and now, resulting in wins in two of their last three.

The Mavericks enter Wednesday having scored 108 points or less in four of their last six games. So, I’ll take the ‘under’ in tonight’s rematch against a Warriors’ squad that’s 3-6 in their last nine games, and 1-11 in their last 12 road games.

Score Prediction: Mavericks 115, Warriors 109
Best Bet: Under 235 (-110)

Take the Under!

BET NOW!

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING ODDS

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Wednesday, March 22, 2023
Venue: American Airlines Center
Location: Dallas, Texas
TV-Time: ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET
Matchup
Expert Picks

NBA Finals Betting Odds

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING STATS

Golden State Warriors
SU: 37-36
ATS: 35-38
O/U: 42-31
PPG: 118.3
OPPG: 117.9

Dallas Mavericks
SU: 36-36
ATS: 28-43-1
O/U: 38-33-1
PPG: 113.7
OPPG: 113.2

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

Updated on 04/23/2024

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GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING TRENDS

• The Warriors are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
• The total has gone OVER in six of Golden State's last eight games.
• The Warriors are 3-6 SU in their last nine games.
• The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
• The total has gone UNDER in five of Dallas' last six games.
• The Mavericks are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games.
• The total has gone OVER in five of Dallas' last six games against Golden State.
• The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
• The Warriors are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games against Dallas.
• The Warriors are 5-2 SU in their last seven games against Dallas.
• The Warriors are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson