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Bears vs Vikings Prediction, Picks, Odds | Monday Night Football Week 12

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

Week 12 of the NFL regular season concludes with a Monday Night Football matchup in the NFC North between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings. Coverage begins from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on Monday, November 27 at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC.

Here's everything you need to know about the Bears vs. Vikings Picks, Predictions, and Odds for Monday Night Football Week 12.

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Bears vs Vikings Prediction, Picks & Betting Odds for Monday Night Football Week 12

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline
Vikings vs
Bears 		-3 (-110)
+3 (-110) 		o43.5 (-105)
u43.5 (-115) 		-164
+138

For a brief moment, the Vikings had the rug ripped out from beneath them as a potential doomsday arrived in the form of a season ending injury to QB Kirk Cousins during the team’s third straight victory – joining superstar WR Justin Jefferson on the sidelines, and setting the stage for an unsettling future in Minnesota.

However, Minnesota quickly pivoted to QB Josh Dobbs at the trade deadline, and it was nothing but smooth sailing in his first two outings, highlighted by the Vikings beating Atlanta by a score of 31-28 and New Orleans 27-19 to extend their win streak to five games prior to losing their latest affair. And they nearly escaped with a sixth straight in last week’s contest too, as the Vikings led Denver by a score of 20-15 with 63 seconds left on the clock before Russell Wilson pulled a rabbit out of his hat with a game-winning TD to snap Minnesota’s streak and temporarily put a pin in the Dobbs hype.

Minnesota was a popular play with the public last week, but after one primetime loss, the general betting audience has quickly abandoned this Vikings team. According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the Vikings opened -3.5 (-105) at BetMGM and on Thursday dipped to -3 with the book still taking roughly 54% of spread bets and 67% of spread money on Chicago as of Friday evening.

Personally, I bet Denver -2.5 in last week’s Broncos vs. Vikings matchup. But not because I felt Minnesota was grossly overrated or anything of that nature. I just felt the line was slightly disrespectful to the home team (DEN), especially given the brand of football they had been playing in recent weeks. However, one loss has quickly swayed the public opinion of Minnesota, and now I feel the same way about the Vikings as I did Denver in last week’s matchup.

Dobbs has played excellent football all season, and none more impressive than his first two games for Minensota, especially given the circumstances. But let’s give credit where it is due. The main reason the Vikings have won five of their last six matchups is because their defense forced 11 turnovers during that span and held the opposing team under 21 points in five of those contests.

While on the flip side, the Bears enter the week slated for the 1st and 4th overall picks in next year’s draft, and quite frankly, it doesn’t seem like Chicago intends on winning many more games before draft day.. The Bears led Detroit by a score of 26-14 with 2:59 left on the clock in their latest affair, and almost as if somebody called down from the owner’s box instructing them to lose for the sake of the organization, Chicago promptly self-destructed and nearly allowed the Lions to cover a 5.5-point spread in regulation of a game that they trailed by two touchdowns with less than three minutes remaining.

Minnesota lost a heartbreaker on the road in Denver last week. But even after their latest loss, the Vikings have still won five of their last six games, while averaging 23.8 PPG on offense during that span, and allowing just 18 PPG on the defense. I think we’ll see Minnesota win this one with relative ease. Give me the Vikings on Sunday night.

Score Prediction: Vikings 27, Bears 17
Best Bet: Vikings -3 (-105)

CHI @ MIN Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+3.5 -115 +1.5 -105 +1.5 -105 +1.5 -105 +2 -110 +2.5 even +2.5 -110 +1.5 -108 +1.5 -115 +3 -110  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-3.5 -105 -1.5 -115 -1.5 -115 -1.5 -115 -2 -110 -2.5 -120 -2.5 -110 -1.5 -115 -1.5 -108 -3 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
o45 -110 o21 -115 o21.5 +105 o21 -105 o21 -115 o20.5 -120 o22.5 -110 o21.5 -109 o20.5 -129 o43.5 -105  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
u45 -110 u21 -105 u21.5 -125 u21 -115 u21 -105 u20.5 even u22.5 -110 u21.5 -114 u20.5 +102 u43.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+146 +130 +122 +125 +122 +142 N/A +123 +114 +138  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-174 -150 -148 -150 -145 -170 N/A -155 -143 -164  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -105 +1.5 -120 N/A +0.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -115 +1.5 -121 +1.5 -110 +3 -110  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-3.5 -105 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -100 N/A -0.5 -105 N/A -1.5 -110 -1.5 -104 -1.5 -113 -3 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
o45 -110 o21.5 even o21.5 -100 N/A o21.5 -115 N/A o20.5 -110 o21.5 -110 o21.5 -107 o43.5 -105  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
u45 -110 u21.5 -120 u21.5 -120 N/A u21.5 -105 N/A u20.5 -115 u21.5 -113 u21.5 -117 u43.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+146 +115 +116 N/A N/A N/A N/A +108 +118 +138  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-174 -135 -136 N/A N/A N/A N/A -136 -148 -164  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -150 +1.5 -154 +0.5 -150 +0.5 -135 +0.5 -142 +0.5 -145 +1.5 -139 +1.5 -159 +3 -110  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +130 -1.5 +126 -0.5 +115 -0.5 +115 -0.5 +120 -0.5 +115 -1.5 +112 -1.5 +128 -3 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
o45 -110 o7.5 +105 o7.5 +106 o7.5 even o7.5 even o7.5 +102 o7.5 -110 o7.5 -103 o7.5 +104 o43.5 -105  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
u45 -110 u7.5 -125 u7.5 -128 u7.5 -130 u7.5 -120 u7.5 -122 u7.5 -120 u7.5 -124 u7.5 -130 u43.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+146 +105 +118 +105 +115 +124 N/A +116 even +138  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-174 -125 -144 -140 -135 -148 N/A -143 -124 -164  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -110 +1.5 -134 N/A N/A -2.5 -190 +0.5 -115 N/A N/A +3 -110  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-3.5 -105 -0.5 -110 -1.5 +110 N/A N/A +2.5 +145 -0.5 -110 N/A N/A -3 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
o45 -110 o13.5 +105 o9.5 -158 N/A N/A o6.5 -115 N/A N/A N/A o43.5 -105  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
u45 -110 u13.5 -125 u9.5 +118 N/A N/A u6.5 -115 N/A N/A N/A u43.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+146 +120 +110 N/A N/A +124 N/A N/A N/A +138  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-174 -140 -134 N/A N/A -148 N/A N/A N/A -164  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -130 +1.5 -152 N/A N/A +0.5 -148 +0.5 -145 N/A N/A +3 -110  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +110 -1.5 +124 N/A N/A -0.5 +124 -0.5 +110 N/A N/A -3 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
o45 -110 o7.5 -115 o5.5 -146 N/A N/A o7.5 -105 o9.5 -115 N/A N/A o43.5 -105  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
u45 -110 u7.5 -105 u5.5 +110 N/A N/A u7.5 -115 u9.5 -110 N/A N/A u43.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+146 +120 +108 N/A N/A +102 N/A N/A N/A +138  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-174 -140 -132 N/A N/A -122 N/A N/A N/A -164  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -125 +1.5 -152 N/A N/A -0.5 +120 +0.5 -145 N/A N/A +3 -110  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +105 -1.5 +126 N/A N/A +0.5 -142 -0.5 +115 N/A N/A -3 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
o45 -110 o13.5 even o12.5 -122 N/A N/A o12.5 -120 o10.5 -115 N/A N/A o43.5 -105  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
u45 -110 u13.5 -120 u12.5 -100 N/A N/A u12.5 even u10.5 -110 N/A N/A u43.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 273 Bears
+146 +105 +102 N/A N/A -110 N/A N/A N/A +138  
Minnesota Vikings 274 Vikings
-174 -125 -124 N/A N/A -110 N/A N/A N/A -164  

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Bears vs Vikings Betting Resources

Date: Monday, November 27, 2023
Matchup: NFC North
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Time-TV: ABC, 8:15 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 12 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Use our BetMGM bonus code before making your Bears vs Vikings pick to get bonus bets!

Chicago Bears Betting Analysis

Chicago simply isn’t very good on either side of the ball. The Bears rank 18th in points scored and 29th in points allowed. Their offense ranks 21st in per play yardage and their defense ranks 20th. They rank 24th in offensive DVOA and 25th in defensive DVOA. And to cap it all off, they rank 26th in team turnover differential, which is usually magnified when Fields is under center.

Fields managed to keep a clean sheet with zero interceptions in his return from injury against Detroit last week. But even after last week’s turnover-less performance, he’s still thrown an interception in five of seven starts this season, which already includes an INT in a loss to Minnesota back in Week 6.

Winning the turnover battle is often the key to earning victories, and the Bears simply haven’t done that very often this season.

nfl-bears-vikings-monday-night-football-week-12-fields
The Bears are 3-17 SU in their last 20 games. (Getty)

Minnesota Vikings Betting Analysis

The Vikings rushing attack has been pretty bad all season, as they enter the week ranked 27th in ground yards per game and 26th in yards per carry after failing to reach the 75-yard rushing mark in six of eight contests to open the year.

However, Minnesota’s backfield has quickly sprung to life following the addition of Dobbs, along with the implementation of a pretty even two-man RB rotation between Alex Mattison and Ty Chandler. 

The Vikings have rushed for 125+ yards in three straight games, while clearing the 145- yard mark in two of those contests. However, Chicago’s defense leads the league in yards allowed per carry. So, it will be interesting to see if Minnesota’s offense continues to move the ball on the ground efficiently this week.

Bears vs Vikings Betting Trends

  • The Bears are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of Chicago's last six games.
  • The Vikings are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
  • The Bears are 3-17 SU in their last 20 games.
  • The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Minnesota.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of Minnesota's last nine games.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

  • Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
  • Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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