Maxx Crosby Next Team Odds: Navigating Offseason Trading Market

Dylan Wilkerson Sports Betting Expert

9 minute read

_{Featured Image Credit: © Eric Hartline-Imagn Images}

The 2026 NFL offseason has found its primary player in Las Vegas. As the league pivots from the Super Bowl to the scouting combine, the discourse surrounding Maxx Crosby Next Team odds has reached new heights. On Kalshi, one of the best prediction markets for event contracts, traders are actively debating whether the three-time Pro Bowler will remain the heartbeat of the Raiders' defense or if a blockbuster trade will send him to a Super Bowl contender.

Market sentiment has been highly reactive to recent organizational shifts in Las Vegas. While the Raiders finished a disappointing 2025 campaign, the hiring of Klint Kubiak as head coach and public statements from ownership have created a complex landscape for those holding Yes/No positions on Crosby's 2026 roster status.

For those looking to trade on these outcomes, navigating prediction markets offers a unique way to turn NFL insights into realized gains. If you are ready to open a "Yes" or "No" position on Crosby's future, be sure to look for a Kalshi promo code to maximize your initial deposit and start trading with an advantage.

Updated on 2/12/26

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Market Breakdown: Implied Probability vs. Trading Price

On Kalshi, the price of a contract (ranging from $0.01 to $0.99) represents the market's collective implied probability of an event occurring. For example, if a "Yes" contract for Crosby staying with the Raiders is trading at $0.65, the market believes there is a 65% chance he remains in Las Vegas.

Because these prices can move rapidly based on a single tweet from an NFL insider, using a prediction market odds converter is highly recommended. This tool helps traders translate contract cents into traditional probability percentages or decimal formats, ensuring you can compare Kalshi’s real-time data against broader sports media narratives.

Context & Latest News

The speculation intensified in late December 2025 when the Raiders controversially shut Crosby down for the final two games of the season to preserve his long-term health—a move that reportedly frustrated the star edge rusher. Since then, the news cycle has been a tug-of-war between trade rumors and organizational commitment.

• Trade Speculation: Insiders like Jay Glazer have suggested that Crosby's tenure in Las Vegas may be nearing its conclusion, noting his desire to avoid another lengthy rebuild. Heavy hitters like the San Francisco 49ers, Detroit Lions, and Chicago Bears have been identified by analysts as potential landing spots if a trade materializes.
• Organizational Stance: On February 10, 2026, new Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak attempted to quiet the noise, stating he had "coffee with Maxx" and expects him to be a cornerstone of the team's success. Owner Mark Davis echoed this, emphatically stating, "He still is a Raider."
• Health and Contract: Crosby recently underwent a successful meniscus repair in January. While he is expected to be back at full strength by June, his recovery timeline could impact the window for a pre-draft trade. Professionally, he is tied to a contract that carries a $35.8 million cap hit for the 2026 season, a significant figure for any acquiring team to absorb.
• Draft Capital: Reports indicate the Raiders would require a "Micah Parsons-like package" to even consider moving their franchise player.

Could Maxx Crosby Leave The Raiders?

Traders often look at the "dead money" a team would incur as a primary indicator of trade likelihood. For the Raiders, trading Crosby would leave roughly $5.1 million in dead cap while freeing up massive space for a rebuild around their projected No. 1 overall pick, Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza. Whether the Raiders choose the "accelerated rebuild" via trade or stick with their veteran leader will define the 2026 offseason.

Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson has over 5 years of experience reporting and analyzing the sports betting industry for various sites. His portfolio includes work for SportsHandle and Action Network, in addition to VegasInsider. His favorite sports are the NFL, College Football, The PGA Tour, the LIV Tour, and Cricket. Dylan has a broad and deep understanding of various sports-related topics. More from Dylan Wilkerson