NFL Odds Week 11: Raiders vs Dolphins Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 11 of the NFL season continues with what has the makings of a relatively non-competitive AFC tilt between the Las Vegas Raiders and Miami Dolphins. The betting odds see Miami as a 12-point favorite despite posting losses in two of their last three games. Coverage begins from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 11: Raiders vs. Dolphins Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Stay tuned for more details regarding our ESPN BET promo code as well!

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Odds

• Opening point spread: Dolphins -10
• Opening moneyline: Dolphins -500/Raiders +375
• Opening total: Over/Under 48 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami hit Caesars Sports' NFL odds Week 11 market at -9 and climbed all week. The Dolphins stretched to -11.5 by Monday afternoon, got to -13.5 Wednesday and spent the past four days toggling between -13.5 and -14 at various juice.

Miami is now -14 (-115), while taking 70% of spread tickets. But 55% of spread cash is actually on Las Vegas.

The total opened at 48 and peaked at 48.5 a couple times early in the week. However, it dropped off to 46 by Saturday night, and it's down another 2 points to 44 this morning. Current Caesars splits aren't available.

UPDATE NOON ET FRIDAY: The Dolphins opened -10 at BetMGM and by Wednesday afternoon were all the way out to -13.5. Miami made stops along the way at -10.5/-11/-11.5/-12.

Point-spread ticket count is 3/1 and spread money 9/1 on Miami.

The total climbed from 47.5 to 48.5 Monday, then backed up to 46.5 by late Tuesday morning. The Under is getting 55% of tickets and a hefty 81% of cash so far.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami (6-3 SU and ATS) got a much-needed bye in Week 10, having faced the Chiefs and Eagles in Weeks 7 and 9, respectively. In that Week 9 tilt vs. Kansas City, the Dolphins fell 21-14 as 1-point home favorites.

Las Vegas (5-5 SU and ATS) didn't necessarily shine in the Week 10 Sunday nighter against the offensively challenged New York Jets. But the Raiders hung on for a 16-12 victory catching 1 point at home.

The SuperBook took Raiders-Dolphins off its odds board during the Jets-Raiders game. Raiders-Dolphins will go back up Monday morning.

"The Raiders' win over the Giants doesn't look so impressive after today, does it?" Michaelson asked during the Raiders' Sunday night struggle session with the Jets. "Miami has a tendency to beat up on bad teams at home. I would think we will need the Raiders."

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 11 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Raiders vs Dolphins Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Raiders are loving life under Antonio Pierce, smoking stogies in the locker room, riding high at 2-0 with their interim coach. They've quickly adopted Pierce's toughness, playing good defense and committing to the run. Jacobs had 26 carries for 98 yards in Pierce's debut, then 27 for 116 last week. He wasn't really any more efficient, but it's his two highest-carry loads of the season and it's about toughness and identity.

The Raiders line has improved and outperformed expectations, and Miami's run defense ranks bottom-7 by DVOA and is the team's weak spot. Six opposing running backs have had 15 carries against the Dolphins, and five of them went over this line. Expect the Raiders to protect their rookie QB by running the ball, chewing up clock, and trying to keep Tua Tagovailoa's offense off the field.

Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 61. Rushing Yards (-110)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 11: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Raiders vs Dolphins

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Miami: Don’t just expect the bounce back. In the last decade, teams off a loss, who are a home favorite the next week, also acting as the public side, are 185-220-9 ATS (45.7%).

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 11 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson