NFL Odds Week 15: Chiefs vs Patriots Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 15 of the NFL season continues with what has the makings of a lopsided affair between the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots. The betting odds see KC as a double-digit favorite despite losing three of their last four games. Coverage begins from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 15: Chiefs vs. Patriots lines, spreads, betting trends and more.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -9.5
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -500/Patriots +375
• Opening total: Over/Under 38 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: With 2.5 hours until kickoff, the Chiefs are laying 8.5 points at DraftKings. Kansas City opened -9.5 and briefly got to -10 early in the week, but by Wednesday, the line was down to -7.5.

The number spent the rest of the week toggling between Chiefs -8/-8.5. Spread tickets and money are running 4/1 on Kansas City.

The total opened and spent most of the week at 37. This morning brought upward moves to 37.5/38/38.5, and it's now at 39.5. Tickets are just shy of 3/1 and money is almost 9/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET FRIDAY: K.C. hit BetMGM's NFL Week 15 odds board as 9.5-point chalk and spent a few hours Monday at -10. The line then returned to Chiefs -9.5 and on Wednesday dropped to -7.5. Thursday night brought a bump up to -8.5, followed shortly thereafter by a move to -8 (-120).

This afternoon, the Chiefs went to -8.5 again. It's two-way spread play, with tickets and money nearly dead even.

The total opened at 37.5, then went to 37 Wednesday, and it remains at 37. Tickets and money are in the 2/1 range on the Under. By ticket count, Chiefs-Pats is the most-bet Under of the week at BetMGM.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City is a surprising 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four games. The Chiefs (8-5 SU/7-6 ATS) fell short to Buffalo 20-17 as 1.5-point home favorites.

K.C. appeared to score a go-ahead touchdown in the final two minutes on a wildly entertaining play. But wideout Kadarius Toney was called for offensive offsides on the play.

New England (3-10 SU and ATS) ended a five-game SU and ATS slide in this dismal season. The Patriots went to Pittsburgh as 5.5-point underdogs Thursday night and emerged with a 21-18 outright victory.

Chiefs-Pats opened and remains K.C. -9.5 in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 15 market. The total inched down a half-point to 37.5.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 15 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Chiefs vs Patriots Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

No Rhamondre Stevenson means the Ezekiel Elliott renaissance may continue, and Elliott has been getting heavy usage in recent weeks. He ran 22 times in the Thursday night win over the Steelers, and he's also getting involved as a receiver far more than he ever did in Dallas. He had seven catches for 72 yards in that game and four catches in the previous game.

Bailey Zappe loves to dump it off to his backs, and Elliott should be out there a lot, so playing this way is more matchup-proof. If the Patriots hang around, Elliott should get plenty of volume against the league's worst run defense over the past month. If not, he should be catching plenty of dump offs from Zappe as the Patriots attempt to play from behind.

Pick: Ezekiel Elliot Over 83.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 15: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Chiefs vs Patriots

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The Patriots team total under is 11-2 this season – Tied for the best record to the under in the NFL with Raiders.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 15 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson