Last Updated Oct 10, 2022, 8:16 PM
NFL Odds Week 5: Opening Line and Action Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
NFL Week 5 odds feature a key AFC North battle in the Sunday night prime-time slot. The Baltimore Ravens, who missed a great opportunity to upend Buffalo in Week 4, play host to the defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals.
Among other noteworthy matchups, the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders renew their hostilities. Plus, the Dallas Cowboys – still minus Dak Prescott – face the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on NFL Week Five odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: Chiefs -7; Over/Under 50.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 8 P.M. ET MONDAY: Fifteen minutes before kickoff, the Chiefs are laying 7 points at WynnBet. The line has been painted to K.C. -7 all week, with only a couple of juice adjustments, as most of the week this number was Chiefs -7 (-120).
Kansas City is now 7 flat, with ticket count running 2/1-plus on the Chiefs, but money falling 3/2 in favor of the Raiders.
"We took a major wager on the Raiders at +7, so that is the majority of our liability. We will be rooting for a Chiefs blowout as it stands right now," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said.
The total opened at 52.5, peaked at 53 last Monday and quickly corrected to 51.5, where it's spent most of the week. Ticket count is 3/2 on the Over, but money is running dead even.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: With just more than three hours until kickoff, DraftKings' NFL Week 5 odds board has the Chiefs as 7-point home favorites, juiced slightly to -115. Kansas City opened at -6.5 (-120) on Oct. 2 and spent most of the past week at various iterations of -7, save for a few hours at -7.5 last Monday.
Point-spread ticket count is almost 4/1 and spread money about 2.5/1 on Kansas City.
The total sits at 51.5, up a point from the opener but down 1.5 points from last Monday's high of 53. The number was at 51 most of last week week, spent Friday-Sunday at 51.5, touched 52 late Sunday night, then returned to 51.5 this afternoon.
Ticket count is 2/1-plus and money about 3/2 on the Over.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Kansas City has been painted to -7 in Caesars Sports' NFL Week 5 odds market, with only the juice seeing any movement. The Chiefs opened -7 (-115), and that price has toggled a couple times between -115 and -110.
K.C. is currently -7 flat, and it is all Chiefs on the spread at this point. Patrick Mahomes and Co. are taking 85% of early bets/89% of early dollars.
The total opened at 52.5 and briefly touched 53 before quickly dropping to 51 Monday morning. Earlier today, the number nudged up to 51.5. Caesars' betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Week 5's Monday night clash currently has Kansas City -7 at PointsBet USA, down from the -7.5 opener, with the line bouncing between those numbers a few times. That said, it's all Chiefs, with point-spread ticket count almost 5/1 and money beyond 9/1 on K.C.
The Chiefs are also getting pounded on PointsBet's moneyline, with ticket count 9/1-plus and money 5/1-plus, despite the -325 price.
The total is down to 51 from a 52.5 opener, making that 1.5-point drop by late Monday morning. Contrary to the move, ticket count is almost 5/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) rebounded just fine from a Week 3 loss at Indianapolis. Playing in the Week 4 Sunday nighter at Tampa Bay, the Chiefs put up 28 first-half points en route to a 41-31 win as 2-point road pups.
Las Vegas (1-3 SU and ATS) finally cracked the win column on the field and for bettors. The Raiders topped Denver 32-23 laying 2.5 points at home.
"We re-opened Chiefs -7, after having wiseguys lay us -6.5 [last week] on the look-ahead line," The SuperBook's John Murray said, noting Raiders-Chiefs came off the board Sunday night when the Chiefs-Bucs game kicked off. Raiders-Chiefs will go back up Monday morning.
"I’d expect an adjustment after this offensive explosion from Kansas City," Murray said.
The total remains 50.5 tonight on The SuperBook's NFL Week 5 odds board.
Opening line: Ravens -3.5; Over/Under 48
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: About 30 minutes pre-kick, Baltimore is -3 (-115) on WynnBet's NFL Week 5 odds board. The Ravens opened -3.5 (even) last Sunday night and stuck there until going to -3 (-120) this morning.
Baltimore is seeing 54% of spread bets, while 61% of spread dollars are on underdog Cincy.
"There is some good two-way on Ravens-Bengals," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "We are a small winner to Baltimore."
The total is down to 47.5 from a 48.5 opener, and the number has been stuck on 47.5 all weekend. Ticket count is almost 3/1 on the Over, but money is 4/1 on the Under.
"We have taken pretty much all Under money, including from sharper customers. We will be rooting for the Over, as it stands now," Morrissey said.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Heading into the weekend, Caesars Sports has Baltimore at -3.5 (-105) for a Sunday night AFC North showdown with Cincinnati. The Ravens opened at -3.5 (even) last Sunday night, dipped to -3 (-115) Monday morning, went to -3 (-120) Thursday afternoon, then this morning went to -3.5 (-105).
Point-spread ticket count is just shy of 2/1 and point-spread cash beyond 2.5/1 on the home favorite Ravens.
The total opened at 47.5, peaked at 48.5 multiple times this week, bottomed out at 47 Thursday afternoon and is now at the 47.5 opener again. Caesars' betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Ravens opened -3 (-115) in PointsBet USA's NFL Week 5 odds market. Since then, the number has bounced between Baltimore -3 and -3.5 multiple times, and it's currently at the -3 (-115) opener.
Baltimore is seeing 61% of early bets/64% of early money on the spread.
The total opened at 48, went to 48.5 Tuesday and back to 48 this evening. Opinion is split, with 71% of tickets on the Over and 56% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) had a 20-3 lead over Buffalo late in the first half. But the Ravens failed to put up another point and lost 23-20 as 3.5-point home underdogs.
Cincinnati gets a little more rest for this Week 5 Sunday night game, having played in the Week 4 Thursday nighter. The Bengals (2-2 SU and ATS) dispatched Miami 27-15 as 4-point home favorites, getting to .500 after an 0-2 SU and ATS start.
"We opened Ravens -3.5 and are now at Bengals +3.5 (-120) after taking a few hits on the 'dog," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "This is a great test for Cincinnati and will go a long way to deciding the division. I expect pretty even action."
The total is stable at 48.
Opening line: Rams -6; Over/Under 45
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: About an hour before kickoff, DraftKings has Los Angeles at -5. The Rams opened -6 (-105) last Sunday night at DK and tumbled to-4.5 by Monday morning, on the way to -4 Tuesday morning.
The number then made its way up to L.A. -5.5 by Wednesday afternoon before again reaching -6 briefly Thursday afternoon. Since then, the number toggled between -5.5 and -5 a few times, and it's now Rams -5.
Dallas is netting 62% of spread bets/54% of spread money at DraftKings.
The total opened at 46, plunged to 43 by Tuesday night, then to 42 Friday. Late Saturday night, the total dipped 41.5, and it rebounded to 42.5 this morning before finally settling at 42. The Over is taking 61% of bets/55% of money.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Los Angeles is laying 5 points against Dallas at Caesars books, down from the -6.5 opener and up a tick from the Monday/Tuesday low of -4.5. The Rams have toggled between -5.5 and -5 since Wednesday afternoon.
Point-spread ticket count is running 2/1 and spread money 3/1 on the underdog Cowboys.
“Dallas has been a surprise so far,” Caesars Sports assistant trading director Adam Pullen said. “Obviously, they were expected to do well before the season, but I’m not sure how many people saw them winning three in a row with their backup quarterback. So people are back in on the Cowboys, and a lot of it is also due to how the Rams looked last [week]. They didn’t look good at all against the 49ers, but the 49ers have had their number recently. A lot of people bet that way, basing it on what they last saw, but that’s not a great way to handicap the NFL. Teams change, they look bad one week and look good the next.”
The total bounced between the 45.5 opener and a couple of times early in the week, then dipped to 43 Tuesday morning on the way to 43 Tuesday night. The total touched 42.5 multiple times over the last two days and is now 43. Caesars' betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Los Angeles didn't look all that great Monday night against San Francisco. However, the Rams moved from -4 early Tuesday to -5 by lunchtime Tuesday, then stabilized at -4.5 until this afternoon. L.A. then bumped up a point to -5.5, where it stands tonight.
Still, Dallas is taking 61% of early spread bets/65% of early spread dollars. That's despite Dak Prescott (thumb) being ruled out Tuesday, after reports that he might return this week. Prescott suffered a thumb injury in Week 1 and hasn't played since.
Early bettors who like the Rams seem more enthused by the moneyline, where L.A. is getting 64% of tickets/73% of money. Los Angeles is -240 on the moneyline.
The total opened at 45.5, fell to 43.5 by Tuesday morning and is now at 43. The Over is drawing 59% of early bets, while 72% of early cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas won and cashed its third straight game without Dak Prescott under center. The Cowboys (3-1 SU and ATS) posted a 25-10 victory giving 3 points at home against Washington. And as noted above, the Pokes might get Prescott back for this Week 5 matchup. Prescott has been out since suffering a thumb injury in Week 1.
Defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) still has Week 4 work to do, playing in the Monday night game at San Francisco. In Week 3, the Rams topped Arizona 20-12 as 3.5-point road favorites.
"We opened Rams -6.5 and were bet down to -6," The SuperBook's John Murray said, noting early action on Dallas. "The Cowboys have won three in a row with Cooper Rush at QB, but this will be by far their toughest test. One thing working in favor of Dallas is the Rams have a very tough road Monday night game against a physical 49ers team, ahead of this [Week 5] matchup."
The total inched up to 45.5 tonight.
Opening line: Eagles -6.5; Over/Under 49
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Philly hit DraftKings' NFL Week 5 odds board as a 6-point road chalk and fell to -5 by Monday morning. The line has since toggled multiple times between Eagles -5 and -5.5, and it's currently -5.5.
Philadelphia is netting 64% of spread bets and 57% of spread money at DK.
DraftKings opened the total at 49.5, went to 49 a couple of times midweek, then dipped to 48.5 Thursday evening. The number poked back up to 49 for a few hours early today, and it's now at 48.5 again. The Over is getting 72% of tickets/74% of money.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Eagles landed on Caesars Sports' NFL Week 5 odds board as 5.5-point favorites Sunday night. After toggling between -5.5 and -5 a couple times early, the line has been stable at Philly -5 since Monday afternoon.
Point-spread tickets and money are both in the 2.5/1 range on the road favorite Eagles.
The total opened at 49.5, fell to 48.5 by Tuesday, then returned to 49.5 Thursday afternoon. It's been at 49 since Thursday evening. Caesars' betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Philadelphia is a 5-point chalk on PointsBet USA's NFL Week 5 odds board. That's down a tick from the opener of -5.5, where the line spent most of the past 72 hours.
Early point-spread ticket count is almost 2/1 on Philly, but early spread money is at 3/1 on home pup Arizona.
The total opened at 49.5, dipped to 48.5 for a few minutes Tuesday afternoon, then stabilized at 49. Tickets and money are both in the 3/1 range on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: At 4-0 SU, Philadelphia is the lone unbeaten team in the NFL. The Eagles are 3-1 ATS, as well, covering three in a row. In Week 4, Philly spotted Jacksonville a 14-0 first-quarter lead, then scored the next 29 points in a 29-21 victory laying 6.5 points at home.
Arizona (2-2 SU and ATS) once again found the road more to its liking, as both its victories have come on the highway. The Cardinals closed as 1-point pups at Carolina, but came away with a 26-16 victory.
"We opened the Eagles -6.5 and moved down to -5.5 off several bets," The SuperBook's John Murray said, pointing to early play on the home 'dog. "We are OK with that. Philly will be the biggest public side of the week, so we don’t mind seeing a few bangs on the Cardinals' side tonight."
The total nudged up a point to 50 in The SuperBook's NFL Week 5 odds market.
Opening line: Bills -14; Over/Under 47
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 10:15 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo has been painted to -14, at various prices, pretty much all week at DraftKings, save for a brief dalliance Thursday night at -14.5. It's almost perfect two-way action on the spread, with 51% of tickets on the Steelers/52% of money on the Bills.
The total opened at 47.5, quickly went to 47 last Sunday night, then dipped to 46 Wednesday night. On Friday, the number went to 45.5, and this morning, it fell to 45. The Over is taking 59% of bets/63% of money.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports pegged Buffalo a 14-point chalk Sunday night and hasn't budged off that number all week. There hasn't even been a juice adjustment, with the Bills at the flat -110 all week, as well.
Big 'dog Pittsburgh actually has a modest edge in spread tickets, at 53%. However, 66% of spread cash is on the two-TD favorite Buffalo.
"When you have a spread this high, the public will usually be on the favorite, and sharper bettors may wait to see how high this goes before jumping in,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “But this is the NFL, and we get shocking results every week. The Bills were upset as massive favorites last season against the Jaguars."
One factor in this week's spread is that Steelers rookie QB Kenny Pickett is making his first NFL start, after coming on in relief last week. As ESPN Stats & Info's Mackenzie Kraemer noted: Prior to this week, Pittsburgh was the only team since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger to never be an underdog of 14 or more points.
"For Pickett, it’s different coming into a game when you’re not the starter, rather than the nervousness and butterflies before your first start. There’s also probably 30 other teams he’d rather go up against here than the Bills," Pullen said. "One thing you have to look at is that the Bills have the Chiefs coming up next, so that’s a big look-ahead situation for them."
Caesars opened the total at 47, dropped to 46 by late Wednesday night and went to 45.5 this morning. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: PointsBet USA has Buffalo nailed to -14, having not moved off that number since opening late Sunday night. And early bettors are more inclined to take that bushelful of points, with 52% of tickets and 76% of cash on big 'dog Pittsburgh.
PointsBet opened the total at 46.5, peaked at 47.5 Tuesday afternoon, then returned to 46.5 this afternoon. The Over is seeing 55% of early bets/71% of early cash.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo, the Super Bowl favorite entering this season, appeared on its way to dropping to 2-2 through four weeks. But the Bills (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) rallied from a 20-3 second-quarter deficit at Baltimore to notch a 23-20 victory. Josh Allen and Co. failed to cash as consensus 3.5-point favorites.
Pittsburgh brought in rookie QB Kenny Pickett in Week 4, with the first-round pick replacing Mitch Trubisky to open the second half. And the Steelers built a 20-10 lead by early in the fourth quarter against the New York Jets. But Pittsburgh (1-3 SU, 1-1-2 ATS) couldn't make it hold up, losing 24-20 as a 3-point home chalk.
"We opened the Bills at -14 and haven’t moved," said John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook, on the opening line in the NFL Week 5 odds market. "Kenny Pickett will make his first start on the road against the best team in the NFL. That’s a lot to ask of the kid. I’m sure we will need the Steelers, but these huge point spreads generally scare the public away."
The total remains at 47 tonight.
Opening line: Broncos -3; Over/Under 43.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Amazon Prime)
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Thirty minutes pre-kick, Denver is a 3-point chalk, juiced to -120, at WynnBet. In fact, while other books have gone to -3.5 at various points this week, WynnBet held firm at various iterations of Broncos -3.
Denver is taking 61.9% of spread tickets at WynnBet, but that's translating to 85% of spread money on the Broncos.
"We are going to need the Colts +3 tonight," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "Best-case scenario is the Colts winning [outright] and the game going Over."
The total went from 42.5 to 43.5 early in the week, and it's been stable at 42 since Wednesday afternoon. The Under is taking 62% of tickets and 63% of money.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Less than five hours before kickoff, the Broncos sit -3.5 (even) on DraftKings' NFL Week 5 odds board. Denver opened -3 (-120) Sunday night and has spent much of the past four days at various iterations of -3.5.
Denver is drawing 61% of spread tickets/69% of spread money at DK.
The total toggled between the 43 opener and 43.5 a few times early in the week, fell to 42.5 Wednesday morning and 42 Wednesday afternoon. The Under is nabbing 70% of tickets/66% of money.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Midweek at PointsBet USA, and less than 24 hours before kickoff, Denver is at -3.5 (even). The Broncos opened at -3 (-115) late Sunday night, moved to -3.5 late Monday morning and have since bounced between various iterations of -3.5 and -3.
A contributing factor to Denver going to -3.5 is that Colts running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) won't play Thursday night.
Point-spread ticket count at PointsBet is almost dead even tonight, while the host Broncos are taking 61% of spread money.
The total opened at 42, peaked at 44 a couple of times Monday, backed up to 42.5 this morning and returned to the 42 opener this afternoon. Ticket count and money are both in the 3/1 range on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The first game of Week 5 features two teams that have been disappointing at best so far. In Week 4, Indianapolis (1-2-1 SU, 1-3 ATS) closed as a 4-point home chalk against Tennessee and lost outright 24-17. Furthermore, the Colts lost star running back Jonathan Taylor to an ankle injury, and it appears likely he's out at least this week.
Meanwhile, the Russell Wilson era in Denver is off to an inauspicious start. The Broncos (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) cracked 20 points in a game for the first time this season, but still fell at Las Vegas 32-23 catching 2.5 points.
"We opened Broncos -3 and are still there. No Jonathan Taylor for the Colts, and they have a short week to prepare to go on the road and face Denver," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "The wiseguys generally like to play the Colts as a 'dog, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see that happen here."
The total also didn't change tonight, sticking at 43.5.