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2021 Indianapolis Colts Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions

 
July 14, 2021
by Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

2021 Indianapolis Colts Betting Odds, Predictions, Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are expected to battle with the Tennessee Titans for the top spot in the AFC South, and both teams figure to be playoff-bound in 2021 after making some huge splashes in the trade and/or free agent market.

The Colts replaced the retiring QB Philip Rivers, last season's starter, but making a trade for QB Carson Wentz from the Philadelphia Eagles. The former first-round pick gets a new lease on life in Indianapolis, and he has a cadre of impressive skill position players from wideouts T.Y. Hilton, Parris Campbell and Michael Pittman Jr., to TEs Jack Doyle and Mo Alie-Cox, as well as RB Jonathan Taylor and Swiss-Army knife Nyheim Hines.

The Colts are expected to have a rather impressive defensive unit, and should be a Top 10 unit in the league. In fact, that might be the biggest difference between them and the more than giving Titans D.

The schedule isn't terribly kind to the members of the AFC South, especially the contenders. Opening with the Seattle Seahawks at home is no easy task, followed up by a visit from Aaron Donald and the Los Angeles Rams. Three straight road games to Tennessee, Miami and Baltimore is also quite a difficult assignment.

Things lighten up a bit heading into mid-October and beyond, with very winnable games against Houston, the Jets and Jacksonville, but there is another titanic showdown with the Titans on Halloween which could go a long way to determining the division champ. Around the holidays, the Colts and defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers tangle, and games against the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals in the final month are no easy feat. But there are plenty of winnable games down the stretch, too, and this team has the look of at least a 10- or 11-win team. Playing OVER 10 wins is worth a small-unit play.

2021 Indianapolis Colts Schedule

  • Week 1 - Sun., Sept. 12 - vs. Seattle - 1:00 p.m. - FOX
  • Week 2 - Sun., Sept. 19 - vs. L.A. Rams - 1:00 p.m. - FOX
  • Week 3 - Sun., Sept. 26 - at Tennessee - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 4 - Sun., Oct. 3 - at Miami - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 5 - Mon., Oct. 11 - at Baltimore - 8:15 p.m. - ESPN
  • Week 6 - Sun., Oct. 17 - vs. Houston - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 7 - Sun., Oct. 24 - at San Francisco - 8:20 p.m. - NBC
  • Week 8 - Sun., Oct. 31 - vs. Tennessee - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 9 - Thu., Nov. 4 - vs. N.Y. Jets - 8:20 p.m. - FOX
  • Week 10 - Sun., Nov. 14 - vs. Jacksonville - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 11 - Sun., Nov. 21 - at Buffalo - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 12 - Sun., Nov. 28 - vs. Tampa Bay - 1:00 p.m. - FOX
  • Week 13 - Sun., Dec. 5 at Houston - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 14 - BYE
  • Week 15 - Sun., Dec. 19 - vs. New England - TBD
  • Week 16 - Sat., Dec. 25 - at Arizona - 8:15 p.m. - NFL Network
  • Week 17 - Sun., Jan. 2 - vs. Las Vegas - 1:00 p.m. - CBS
  • Week 18 - Sun., Jan. 9 - at Jacksonville - 1:00 p.m. - CBS

Win Total Odds

  • Over 10 +115
  • Over 10 -139

(AP)

Indianapolis Colts Odds to Win AFC South

+105

The Titans have some amazing skill position players, including the acquisition of Julio Jones, so that will be tough for the Colts to beat. But Indianapolis is easily the better defensive unit, and defense, of course, does win championships. Either way you decide to go, the Colts or the Titans, they're right around even-money. Tennessee has a slightly more difficult schedule, so that makes Indianapolis a little more attractive as the AFC South favorites.

Indianapolis Colts Odds to Win AFC Championship

+1200

The addition of Wentz will keep the offensive unit in rather good shape, and the defense is quite sturdy. The biggest concern with Indianapolis once they get into the postseason is whether Wentz will be with them. He had gotten the Philadelphia Eagles to the playoffs a couple of times, but it was backup Nick Foles taking the reins once Wentz went down to injury.

That penchant for injury sticks in the back of many bettors' minds, and makes them a risky play in the postseason. Can they make the Super Bowl with a healthy Wentz? Yes, they can. Will he be healthy? That's the big question. At this price, the Colts are worth a small-unit play, but don't go crazy.

Indianapolis Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl 56

+2500

The Colts have some moderate odds to raise the Lombardi Trophy, but I am not buying them over the likes of the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills or even the Tennessee Titans, regardless if the Colts win the division or not. I'll pass on risky any hard-earned money on the Colts to win it all. Just not feeling it.

Indianapolis Colts 2021 MVP Contenders & Odds

Carson Wentz +4000

Jonathan Taylor +12500

Again, as mentioned above, Wentz is a very talented player, but his fragility makes him risky business. And changing conferences from the NFC to the AFC might get him off to a slow start, not to mention the uber-difficult schedule to start. As far as Taylor, he is a talented back, but he'll be facing a lot of strong rushing defenses early on, and I just don't see him posting the eye-popping type numbers needed to sway voters.

Indianapolis Colts Preseason Betting Odds & Markets

Make Playoff?: Yes -182 No +149
Most Games Won: +2500
Fewest Games Won: +10000
Coach of the Year: Frank Reich +1600

The best bet on the board here is taking Yes (-182): Will the Colts make the playoffs? I think they're a shoe-in to make the postseason, whether they secure the AFC South title, or simply qualify as a wild card. They're going to be in the playoffs, but how far can they go once they get in? They have won just one playoff game since 2014, and they're 4-6 in their past 10 postseason games dating back to their Super Bowl loss Feb. 7, 2010.

2020 Indianapolis Colts Betting Results

  • Sept. 13 - Indianapolis 20 at Jacksonville 27 (+7) - Over 44.5
  • Sept. 20 - Minnesota 11 at Indianapolis 28 (-3.5) - Under 49
  • Sept. 27 - N.Y. Jets 7 at Indianapolis 36 (-11.5) - Under 44
  • Oct. 4 - Indianapolis 19 (-3.5) at Chicago 11 - Under 43
  • Oct. 11 - Indianapolis 23 at Cleveland 32 (-1) - Over 49.5
  • Oct. 18 - Cincinnati 27 (+7.5) at Indianapolis 31 - Over 46
  • Nov. 1 - Indianapolis 41 (-3.5) at Detroit 21 - Over 49
  • Nov. 8 - Baltimore 24 (+1) at Indianapolis 10 - Under 48
  • Nov. 12 - Indianapolis 34 (-1) at Tennessee 17 - Over 49
  • Nov. 22 - Green Bay 31 at Indianapolis 34 (-1.5) - Over 52
  • Nov. 29 - Tennessee 45 (+3) at Indianapolis 26 - Over 51.5
  • Dec. 6 - Indianapolis 26 (-3) at Houston 20 - Under 50
  • Dec. 13 - Indianapolis 44 (-2.5) at Las Vegas 27 - Over 52
  • Dec. 20 - Houston 20 (+7.5) at Indianapolis 26 - Under 52.5
  • Dec. 27 - Indianapolis 24 at Pittsburgh 28 (+1) - Over 42.5
  • Jan. 3 - Jacksonville 14 (+15.5) at Indianapolis 28 - Under 48
  • Jan. 9 - Indianapolis 24 (+7) at Buffalo 27 - Over 50.5
  • SU: 11-6
  • ATS: 9-8
  • O/U: 10-7
  • ATS-Home: 3-5
  • ATS-Road: 6-3
  • ATS-Favorite: 8-7
  • ATS-Underdog: 1-1
  
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