Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:56 AM

Trends to Watch - October

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September

HOME TEAMS

Good: Pittsburgh 39-17 ATS

The Steelers have played fantastic at home in October over the years. This year will prevent more of a challenge without the three B's especially with no Ben Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh will start the month with Baltimore (10/6)and end it with Miami (10/28).

Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams

Cincinnati 21-31 ATS
Jacksonville 14-26 ATS
Seattle 18-28 ATS


Though Cincinnati could be ready for more struggles facing Arizona (10/6) and Jacksonville two weeks later, at least this gives the Bengals a shot at improvement. Speaking of the Jaguars, besides a trip to the Queen City, they will try and better there dismal record at home against the spread. Playing the New York Jets at the end of the month will help (10/27) but not sure facing New Orleans (10/13) will.

It is stunning to think Seattle is in this list given their history. The Seahawks will have a severe test on the first Thursday of the month against the L.A. Rams and on the 20th vs. Ravens.

AWAY TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good):3-Teams

Carolina 29-19 ATS
New England 34-20 ATS
N.Y. Giants 32-18 ATS


Carolina has been road warriors for years and making backers excellent money. Whether Cam Newton will be wearing his babushka for their lone road to San Francisco (10/27) is unknown, but what is known the Panthers will have a shot at covering.

The Patriots doing this good shocks nobody and anyone making NFL picks will surely be looking for New England versus Washington (10/6) and 15 days later in New Jersey when they take on the Jets.

The Giants and their brand new quarterback will take their outstanding away record to face Tom Brady and the fella's on Thursday, Oct. 10 and to Detroit on the 27th.

Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams

Arizona 16-30 ATS
Cincinnati 18-29 ATS
Tampa Bay 18-29 ATS


To say Arizona doesn't travel well is like saying the Miami Dolphins could be in for a long season. The trip to Cincy (10/6) might not be too bad given the Bengals home record (see above). Trips to the Giants (10/20) and New Orleans (10/27) might not go as easy.

By now you have noticed the pattern, you bet against the Bengals home and away this month. They will be at division rival Baltimore on the second Sunday of the month and be officially the road team in London vs. the Rams on the 27th.

On the first and last Sunday of this month, Tampa Bay will seek to better their lousy road record in the bayou and in the Music City.

FAVORITES

Keep an eye on (Good): L.A. Rams 23-13 ATS - Cleveland 11-6 ATS

The Rams have shown no hangover from losing the Super Bowl and they should be favored in all four of their October assignments.

With trips Frisco and Foxborough, Cleveland will not be favored there, however, they will likely be short favorites when Seattle pays a visit on the 13th.

Bad: Cincinnati 14-28 ATS - Jacksonville 11-23 ATS

Our negative theme on the Bengals continues, this time as favorites. They will be favored against Arizona (10/6) and possibly versus Jacksonville (10/20).

As bad as Cincinnati is, the Jaguars have been even worse handing out points this month. Their game with Cincy will be determined by the odds, however, the Jags will be favorites against Gang Green (10/27) at home.

Keep an eye on (Bad): 5-Teams

Detroit 14-25 ATS
Seattle 17-31 ATS
Tampa Bay 16-30 ATS
Carolina 18-27 ATS
Denver 16-26 ATS


There is a remote chance the Detroit could be a smallish favorite when the Vikings (10/20) visit, but for sure Matt Stafford and the Lions will be favored the following week vs. the Giants.

Hard to say where Seattle will fall here. After taking on the Rams as underdogs, the rest of the month has them at Cleveland, Baltimore and at Atlanta. Keep a watchful eye.

Tampa Bay is unlikely to be favored at all.

The Panthers figure to be smaller favorites against Jacksonville (10/6) in Charlotte and a week later in London when facing NFC South rival Tampa Bay.

Just one shot for the Broncos to be viewed positively by the sportsbooks and that will against Tennessee (10/13).

UNDERDOGS

Good: Pittsburgh 25-10 ATS - Carolina 33-16 ATS

Pittsburgh's fantastic record could be in jeopardy, without the same teams of the past against the Ravens at home and the L.A. Chargers.

Just one such expected role for the Panthers and that will be in Santa Clara vs. the Niners (10/27).

Keep an eye on (Good):N.Y. Giants 26-17 ATS - New Orleans 26-17 ATS

Let's see how the G-Men fair on the receiving end of points three times in October. The first will be against the Vikes on the first Sunday of the month at home. Next is only four days later at the Brady bunch and in the Motor City on the 27th.

At this time, the New Orleans listed as an underdog at Jacksonville (10/13) is a bit iffy, but they will catch a few points in the Windy City (10/20).

Bad: San Francisco 14-31 ATS

If the 49ers keep playing as they did in September, the only chance they will be underdogs in October is at the Rams on the 13th.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Cincinnati 27-41 ATS

There would seem a good chance oddsmakers will list Bengals as dogs the rest of the month after playing the Cardinals on the 6th.

DIVISION

Good: Pittsburgh 28-14 ATS - N.Y. Jets 28-14 ATS

Pittsburgh will seek to better AFC North record against the hated Ravens (10/6).

Despite their record, not sure the Flyboys will appear all the appealing on the third Monday of the month when New England visits the Meadowlands area.

Bad: Cincinnati 13-31 ATS

One last chance to poke fun of Cincinnati and they of course will be underdogs to Baltimore on what figures to an unlucky Oct. 13 for them.

Keep an eye on (Bad):New Orleans 14-24 ATS - Indianapolis 16-26 ATS

Off the big battle with Dallas, the Saints could be a bit flat even in a division game against Tampa Bay (10/6).

A meaningful AFC South showdown against Houston (10/20) at home will have implications.

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