Jan 26, 2020
SB Props - Game Best Bets
Super Bowl 54 Prop Resources
Undecided on the Chiefs or 49ers in Super Bowl 54? Can’t figure out to play the ‘over’ or the ‘under’ next Sunday?
Fortunately for bettors on the fence, sportsbooks have increased their proposition wagers market for Super Bowl 54. Similar to past finales, a group of our top NFL experts are offering up their predictions on the most popular “props” for the finale between Kansas City and San Francisco.
This season, we’ve broken the props wagers into specific categories. “Best Bets” with analysis are provided on a handful of them as well.
Game Props - Best Bets
Odds provided by DraftKings (IN, NJ & PA only 21+)
Subject to Change
Hank Goldberg – Over 3 ½ Field Goals
Both teams have had success moving the football but you often see points left off the board. Even though the Chiefs have a 11:1 touchdown-field goal ratio in two playoff games, I believe the 49ers defense will be able to hold them to threes instead of sixes in this spot. The 49ers have come up empty in the playoffs on offense, settling for five field goals. That was a carry-over effect from the regular season, with San Francisco ranked 21st in red-zone touchdown percentage.
Tony Mejia - Last team to score - Chiefs
There's slightly more juice to lay in riding with Kansas City (-120) on this prop over the 49ers (-114), but I love the idea thatt if he's facing a deficit, Mahomes can get his team down the field much quicker than Garoppolo can. You also have outs with K.C. putting the game away early and hanging in there with the lead in addition to riding the stronger leg with Harrison Butker over Robbie Gould.
Matt Blunt - Total Yards of Longest TD (44.5) Under
Everyone knows about the Chiefs ability to blow the top off a defense, and I expect the 49ers to want to keep everything in front of them in that regard. Make KC sustain 8-12 play drives to beat them. San Fran's reliance on the running game - a weakness of KC's defense this year - will have them struggling to hit a TD of nearly half the field too.
Joe Williams – No Overtime
It’s a very chalky bet but knowing that only one previous Super Bowl went to overtime, I like my chances to avoid an extra session in this year’s matchup.
Game Props - Consensus
Meet the VI Experts
Joe Nelson – Senior NFL writer and handicapper for VegasInsider.com. “Nelly” puts in the work and makes it looks easy.
Hank Goldberg – Staple of the industry and legendary Vegas expert. The “Hammer” has covered every Super Bowl since it began.
Matt Blunt – The VegasInsider.com genius behind our weekly “Best Bets” and also the master of data mining. His must-read SB54 pieces include analysis:
Kevin Rogers – Along with being host of the Bet and Collect Podcast, K-Rog provides his informative articles and experts picks to VI for multiple sports.
Tony Mejia – The best volume handicapper on VegasInsider.com, creator of the Antony Dinero brand. You can listen to him as a regular guest and co-host on the Bet and Collect podcast weekly.
Mark Franco – The longest tenured handicapper on VegasInsider.com, with over 25-plus years of industry experience.
Joe Williams – Built his chops by playing Daily Fantasy Sports and has turned that experience into sports betting profits. Provides weekly articles and picks for VI.