Last Updated Oct 29, 2021, 8:00 PM

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions, Odds, Picks

Oct. 31, 2021
Jonathan Willis
VI Betting Expert

NFC South action on Sunday sees the Atlanta Falcons return home to take on the struggling Carolina Panthers. Kick off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and will air on FOX from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

Score Prediction

Falcons 20, Panthers 14

Best Bets

Falcons -3


Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions

<p.The Carolina Panthers are in a tailspin. Their 3-0 start is a distant memory, as they have lost four straight games. Carolina is now at the bottom of the NFC South, and a loss to the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday would make it very likely the Panthers miss out on the playoffs for a fourth straight season. Matt Rhule isn’t on a hot seat after leaving Baylor to sign a seven-year, $60 million contract last year, but another losing season could lead to a major shakeup in the Queen City.

Carolina has not been good on offense over the last month. The Panthers are averaging just 20.9 PPG, and their 4.8 yards per play average ranks 29th in the NFL. Sam Darnold has not been playing well, and there is a chance he is pulled for good if he struggles again this week.

Meanwhile, Atlanta has rallied after two blowout losses to start the season. The Falcons have won three of their last four games, and they have figured out how to use Kyle Pitts. That makes Atlanta the play, and the under is the best bet due to Carolina’s struggling offense and strong defense.

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds

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Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Resources

  • Matchup: NFC South
  • Date: Sunday, October 31, 2021
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV-Time: FOX - 1:00 p.m. ET

Carolina Panthers Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 3-4
  • ATS: 3-4
  • O/U: 2-5
  • ATS - Home: 2-2
  • ATS - Away: 1-2

This offense is a mess. Carolina’s production has fallen off dramatically since McCaffrey is injured in the Panthers’ Week 3 win over Houston. Chuba Hubbard has been unable to adequately replicate his role in this offense, and that has really hurt the effectiveness of Darnold.

Darnold appeared to be a dark horse MVP candidate through the first three weeks of the season. He was averaging over 8.0 YPA with three touchdowns and an interception in three victories. However, Darnold has averaged 5.0 YPA or less in each of his last three starts, throwing two touchdowns and five picks in that stretch.

Carolina has just one real threat in the passing game with McCaffrey out. D.J. Moore leads the team with 46 receptions for 586 yards and three touchdowns, but the next best receiver is Robby Anderson with less than 30 receiving yards per game. Anderson has a catch rate under 40% too, hurting this offense.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 3-3
  • ATS: 3-3
  • O/U: 4-2
  • ATS - Home: 1-2
  • ATS - Away: 2-1

We’ll start to see just how good Atlanta is this week. The Falcons have won three of their last four games, and their lone loss was by four points. However, they have played arguably the softest schedule over the last month. Their wins were over the two New York teams and Miami, and the loss was to Washington.

Matt Ryan isn’t as efficient as he was in the past with Julio Jones on the team. Ryan is averaging just 6.8 YPA, but this offense has started to figure some things out. After initially lining No. 4 overall pick Pitts up like a traditional tight end, they moved him to the outside where he has flourished.

Pitts is now Atlanta’s leading receiver this season. He has 16 receptions for 282 yards and a touchdown over the last two games. It’s extremely difficult for defenses to match up with him on the perimeter due to his size and speed, and that will also help Calvin Ridley get open.

Cordarrelle Patterson is the dual threat running back that Carolina does not have with Christian McCaffrey sidelined by injury. Patterson is averaging 6.5 yards per touch and is the leading rusher and second-leading receiver on the Falcons.

Inside the Stats - Carolina Panthers

  • Record: 3-4
  • Division Standing: 4th - NFC South
  • Points Scored: 146
  • Points Allowed: 146
  • PS/G: 20.9 (22nd)
  • PA/G: 20.9 (7th)

Inside the Stats - Atlanta Falcons

  • Record: 3-3
  • Division Standing: 3rd - NFC South
  • Points Scored: 135
  • Points Allowed: 176
  • PS/G: 22.5 (19th)
  • PA/G: 29.3 (30th)

Key Players to Watch

  • CAR: Sam Darnold - QB (153/249, 1,685 yards, 7 TD, 8 INT)
  • CAR: D.J. Moore - WR (46 catches, 586 yards, 3 TD)
  • ATL: Matt Ryan - QB (166/244, 1,668 yards, 12 TD, 4 INT)
  • ATL: Kyle Pitts - TE (31 catches, 471 yards, TD)

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Conclusion

The under is a great pick in this game due to Carolina’s defense. The Panthers are allowing just 5.1 yards per play and have one of the best secondaries in the NFL. However, the offense will be inept once again, giving the Falcons the win and the cover.

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

  • Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
  • Atlanta has won six of its last seven games when facing Carolina.
  • Carolina has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 games.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
  • The point total has gone UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

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