Last Updated Dec 22, 2021, 10:38 AM

Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions, Odds, Picks

Nov. 28, 2021
Jonathan Willis
VI Betting Expert

Two teams look to find consistent ways to win as the Miami Dolphins host the Carolina Panthers on Sunday afternoon. Opening kick is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and will air on FOX from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

Score Prediction

Dolphins 20, Panthers 17

Best Bets

Dolphins +2.5

Under 42

Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions

The Miami Dolphins might go on the most improbable run to the playoffs we’ve ever seen in the NFL. Miami was left for dead at 1-7, but the Dolphins have won three straight games. They are only slight underdogs at home against the Carolina Panthers this week, and their next two games are against the lowly New York Jets and New York Giants.

Cam Newton helped lead the Panthers to an upset over Arizona two weeks ago. That led to Newton starting last week against Washington, but he was largely ineffective in a loss. Miami’s defense is finally playing well under Brian Flores, and that will be the story in the fourth straight win for the Dolphins.

Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds

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Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Resources

  • Matchup: NFC South vs. AFC East
  • Date: Sunday, November 28, 2021
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • TV-Time: FOX - 1:00 p.m. ET

Carolina Panthers Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-6
  • ATS: 5-6
  • O/U: 4-7
  • ATS - Home: 2-4
  • ATS - Away: 3-2

Newton was great for most of his career in Carolina. However, some of the things that have plagued Newton the last two years were apparent last week against Washington. He was unable to find receivers down the field, and his longest completion to a wide receiver was just 13 yards. Newton’s base numbers were fine against Washington, but defenses are going to start rolling up safeties and dare him to beat them over the top.

Christian McCaffrey is back in the lineup and will be the most important part of the game plan once more. McCaffrey has averaged 4.6 YPC and 9.3 YPR, but he doesn’t have a run longer than 18 yards on the season. He figures to see several passes thrown his way.

This receiving corps has not played well with the exception of D.J. Moore. Moore has 62 receptions for 751 yards and four touchdowns on the year, and he has almost three times as many receiving yards as the next closest wide receiver. Robby Anderson has been surprisingly ineffective after a 57-yard touchdown in the season opener.

The Panthers have a very good defense. Carolina ranks sixth in scoring defense (20.0 PPG) and second in total defense (288.7 YPG). Haason Reddick has 10.5 sacks, and Brian Burns has seven sacks for the Panthers.

Miami Dolphins Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 4-7
  • ATS: 5-5-1
  • O/U: 4-7
  • ATS - Home: 2-3
  • ATS - Away: 3-2-1

This offense has had to deal with a lot of injuries. Four receivers and four offensive linemen are currently on injured reserve. That has made things more difficult for Tua Tagovailoa, but he has played well in his last two games. Tagovailoa completed 35 of 46 passes for 431 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in wins over the Ravens and Jets.

Tagovailoa isn’t getting much help from the run game either. Miami ranks 30th in the NFL with 3.4 YPC and 31st with 77.4 YPG. Myles Gaskin hasn’t averaged better than 4.0 YPC in any of his last four games, and Malcolm Brown is currently on IR.

Miami has had to rely on rookie receiver Jaylen Waddle in the passing game with DeVante Parker and others out. Waddle has been a solid possession receiver with 9.1 YPR, but he has just three catches of more than 20 yards. Tight end Mike Gesicki has been the big play threat with 11 catches of 20 yards or more.

Xavien Howard is finally starting to play well and leads Miami with 11 passes defensed. The Dolphins have forced 13 fumbles, and they are strong in the red zone. They have allowed opponents to score touchdowns on just 51.2% of their red zone chances.

Inside the Stats - Carolina Panthers

  • Record: 5-6
  • Division Standing: 2nd - NFC South
  • Points Scored: 226
  • Points Allowed: 220
  • PS/G: 20.5 (22nd)
  • PA/G: 20 (6th)

Inside the Stats - Miami Dolphins

  • Record: 4-7
  • Division Standing: 3rd - AFC East
  • Points Scored: 201
  • Points Allowed: 269
  • PS/G: 18.3 (26th)
  • PA/G: 24.5 (23rd)

Key Players to Watch

  • CAR: Cam Newton - QB (24/31, 197 yards, 5 Totals TDs)
  • CAR: Christian McCaffrey - RB (89 carries, 407 yards, TD)
  • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa - QB (138/203, 1,471 yards, 9 TD, 6 INT)
  • MIA: Jaylen Waddle - WR (68 catches, 622 yards, 3 TD)

Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Conclusion

This will be a relatively low scoring game. Newton’s inability to really test these cornerbacks will hamstring Carolina’s offense, allowing Miami to get the win.

Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

  • Miami has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games.
  • Carolina has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 road games.
  • Carolina has won eight of its last nine games when facing the AFC East.

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