Last Updated Oct 11, 2022, 5:55 PM

Week 5 NFL Tech Trends

NFL betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 5 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Thursday, October 6

Indianapolis at Denver (Prime Video, 8:15 p.m.)

  • Colts “under” first four this season and “under” nine in a row since late 2021.
  • Broncos “under” 3-1 in 2022, “under” 15-6 since 2021.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Sunday, October 9

N.Y. Giants at Green Bay - London (NFLN, 9:30 a.m.)

  • Pack 1-4 vs. line last five as chalk away from Lambeau.
  • G-Men “under” 21-6 since mid 2020 (some might be 22-5 if playing the "under" early enough in the Sept. 26 Dallas game),
  • Pack “under” 4-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Giants, Under
Expert Picks

Pittsburgh at Buffalo (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Tomlin won in upset at Orchard Park opening week last season, and 11-6 last 17 as dog since 2020.
  • Bills 4-0-1 vs. spread last five as host.

Tech Play: Steelers
Expert Picks

Miami at N.Y. Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • After loss to Cincy, Dolphins still 11-2 SU, 10-3 vs. spread last 13 since mid 2021.
  • One of the spread L's in that stretch however was last Dec 19 at home vs. Jets, though Miami has won last four outright in series.
  • Dolphins also “under” 6-2 last eight after Cincy game.

Tech Play: Dolphins, Under
Expert Picks

Seattle at New Orleans (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Saints just 1-5 vs. spread last six at Superdome, also on 8-3 “under” run since late last season (though "over" vs. Vikes in London last week).
  • Seahawks 3-4 vs. spread last seven away from home but off uplifting shootout win at Lions last week.

Tech Play: Seahawks, Under
Expert Picks

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Falcons off to 4-0 start vs. spread in 2022, also now 6-2-2 vs. line last ten on road.
  • Also “over” four of last five since late 2022, though Bucs have opened “under” 3-1 this season.

Tech Play: Falcons, Over
Expert Picks

Detroit at New England (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Dan Campbell 3-1 vs. line in 2022, 14-7 vs. spread since last season with Lions, who have also covered seven games in that span in which they have lost outright .
  • Detroit also “over” last six and eight of ten since late 2021.
  • Belichick 2-4 vs. spread since late 2021.

Tech Play: Lions, Over
Expert Picks

L.A. Chargers at Cleveland (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Browns “over” three of first four in 2022 after “under” 6 of last 7 to close 2021.
  • Chargers “over” 8-2 last ten since late 2021.
  • These teams played a wild 47-42 shootout in LA's favor last season at Inglewood.
  • Browns only 8-19 last 27 as home dog, while Chargers 5-1 last six as road chalk.

Tech Play: Chargers, Over
Expert Picks

Chicago at Minnesota (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Vikes have covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
  • Bears 2-6 vs. spread last eight away.

Tech Play: Vikings
Expert Picks

Houston at Jacksonville

  • Texans have won last eight outright in series, covered four of last five meetings.
  • Houston 5-2-1 vs. spread since late 2021.
  • Jags recently won and covered two in a row for first time since opening two weeks of 2018 season before losing last week at Eagles.

Tech Play: Texans
Expert Picks

Tennessee at Washington (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Wash 7-5-1 vs. spread since mid 2021 but has dropped three in a row SU and vs. line, though 4-2 vs. points last six at FedEx.
  • Wash also “under” 6-1 last seven at FedEx Field.
  • Titans “over” 7-3 away since last season.

Tech Play: Titans
Expert Picks

San Francisco at Carolina (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

  • Panthers were on 2-14 spread skid until recent win over Saints, but loss to Cards last week puts them a subpar 3-15 last 18 against number.
  • Have dropped eight of last nine vs. spread at Charlotte, too.
  • After covering 7 of last 9 on road entering 2022, Niners 0-2 vs. line away this season, also “under” 4-0 in 2022 and 11-1 “under” since late 2021 after Rams on Monday.
  • Tech edge-“Under” and Niners, based on “totals” and team trends.

Tech Play: Niners, Under
Expert Picks

Philadelphia at Arizona (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

  • Eagles 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line to begin season, but only 2-4 vs. line last six away.
  • Cards no covers last six at Glendale.

Tech Play: Eagles
Expert Picks

Dallas at L.A. Rams (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

  • Cowboys 3-0 SU and vs. line with Cooper Rush in lineup, Dallas also “under” 3-0-1 this season (if counting NYG as a totals push) and 12-3-1 last 16 since early 2021.
  • Dallas has also now covered five straight on road.
  • Rams 3-7 vs. spread last ten at So Fi and just 1-5 vs. points last six since late last season.

Tech Play: Cowboys, Under
Expert Picks

Cincinnati at Baltimore (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

  • Bengals have straightened out with wins and covers last two following Miami win.
  • Cincy also “under” four in a row and nine straight since late 2021 but both Ravens games “over” last season.
  • Cincy won both of those in romps a year ago.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Monday, Oct. 10

Las Vegas at Kansas City (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

  • Chiefs destroyed Raiders both meetings LY by combined 89-23 score, and KC on 6-2 spread uptick at Arrowhead.
  • Raiders off 1-3 SU and vs. spread, and just 5-10 last 15 vs. line since mid 2021.
  • Last four meetings “over” as well.

Tech Play: Chiefs, Over
Expert Picks

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