Last Updated Nov 12, 2022, 12:07 PM
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions
Sports Betting Expert
Falcons vs. Panthers SGP Picks
- Atlanta Falcons Over 22.5 Points Scored (-125)
- Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (+105)
- D.J. Moore (CAR) Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
Atlanta Falcons Over 22.5 Points Scored (-125)
The Falcons strung together a surprisingly solid first half of the season, as Atlanta opened with a modest 4-5 stretch consisting of wins over the Seahawks, Browns, Niners, Panthers, with four of their five losses coming by narrow margins of six points or less.
However, the key to Atlanta’s success has primarily been offense thus far, as Marcus Mariota and co. currently rank 10th in the league in scoring at 24.1 PPG, while defensively, they rank 26th in points allowed at 25 PPG.
I’ll back Atlanta to score 23+ PTS here, as the Panthers’ defense has surrendered a lofty average of 25.3 PPG across a frustrating 2-7 start to the season, which ranks 29th in the league in that department. And I think we’ll see Carolina’s defensive struggles continue in Thursday’s matchup against a Falcons squad that’s scored 23+ PTS in six-of-nine contests so far this year, which already includes a 37-point performance against Carolina just a few weeks prior (W, 37-34).
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (+105)
Falcons’ RB Cordarrelle Patterson barreled out to a red-hot start to the season, as Patterson racked up 120+ rushing yards on 17+ carries and a touchdown in two-of-three contests to open the season, with his worst performance during that span coming in a road loss to the Rams (10 CAR, 41 YDS).
However, Patterson has worked in a limited capacity since that point, as he rushed just nine times for 38 yards before exiting the game with a knee injury against the Browns back in Week 4, and in his return to action this past Sunday, the Falcons elected to ease him back into action with 13 carries for 44 yards in a 20-17 loss to the Chargers.
Atlanta’s offense is very dependent on the ground game, highlighted by the Falcons racking up 150+ rushing yards in seven-of-nine contests during the first half of the season. And while Patterson hasn’t posted a performance north of 44 rushing yards since Week 3, I think we’ll see him get back over the hump in Thursday’s matchup against a Panthers squad that currently ranks 28th in the league rushing yardage allowed per game (139 YPG).
D.J. Moore (CAR) Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
Panthers’ WR D.J. Moore stumbled out to as surprisingly slow start after averaging 68+ receiving yards on 5.5 receptions per game in three consecutive campaigns prior to this year, as Moore hauled in five or less passes for sub-50 yards in five-of-six contests to open the season (3.3 REC, 34 YPG), which primarily stemmed from the Panthers’ offense generating less than 17 PTS in four of those matchups.
However, the Panthers’ offense cranked out decent numbers the last three weeks (25.3 PPG), and Moore’s numbers have seen an uptick as a result, as Carolina’s top pass-catcher has now caught 6+ passes for 69+ receiving yards in two of his last three outings, which already includes a monster 150-yard performance against Atlanta just a few weeks prior (6 REC, 152 YDS, TD).
I’ll back him to keep it going here, as this is a number that Moore used to hit routinely for Carolina, and while the nature of the offense he plays in certainly limits his upside, I think we’ll see more continue to eat up an enormous target share for this squad, especially in the immediate aftermath following the departure of Robbie Anderson.