Last Updated Nov 26, 2022, 7:55 PM
Week 12 Top NFL Teaser Plays
Sports Betting Expert
Welcome in to a brand-new piece of weekly content that will be showcased here at VegasInsider: Weekly Teaser Plays! Every week, I'll come in and give my three favorite teaser legs for you to bet on and some reasoning behind the play.
For those who are new, a teaser is a special type of bet where, in exchange for the odds on a play being drastically reduced, you can bet on a specific line at a much more favorable number. For instance, if my Philadelphia Eagles are a 7-point favorite this weekend against the Green Bay Packers, you can tease that line down to a 1-point favorite in exchange for the odds going down.
You can't play 1 teaser leg by itself, you have to accompany it with at least one other line, and a 2-team 6 point teaser (which is standard) would pay about -120 odds, meaning that if you put $120 on the play and it hit, you would win $100.
Let's dive right into my three favorite teaser legs for this weekend's slate!
Editors note: all lines are sourced from BetMGM
Eagles -.5 vs. Green Bay Packers
I made this same play last week when the Eagles were -6.5 favorites against the Colts and it worked out... barely. The Packers are a bit more vulnerable against what the Eagles look to do, which is pass the ball early to get in a rhythm, and then run the ball down team's throats with their stable of running backs and Jalen Hurts.
The Eagles have been getting gashed by short and intermediate throws the last two weeks, but the Packers don't really do that all that well. Sure, they'll mix in Randall Cobb at points underneath, and I could see him having a solid game, but the Eagles will look to key in on Christian Watson in their zone scheme, which Watson has not fared well against this season.
The Eagles have also struggled against the run lately, and the Packers do run the ball well, but the additions of Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh worked wonders for the run defense last week. I would expect to see a lot of play-action from Rodgers and trying to find ways to get Watson into single-coverage, but ultimately I think the Eagles will take advantage of a banged-up Green Bay defense at home and stomp them out.
Giants +16 vs. Dallas Cowboys
You still expect the Cowboys will win this game... but it figures to be close at least. The Cowboys won the matchup in Week 3 23-16 behind Cooper Rush, but the Giants were right in it until the 4th quarter. I expect a similar kind of game script on Thanksgiving where the Cowboys now have Dak Prescott back, but history working against them.
The Cowboys are the one team on Thanksgiving that you DON'T want to back, given that they're 1-10 against the spread on the holiday, and Prescott himself is 1-4 ATS. The Giants are also in a good spot here. Coming off a short rest since 2020, QB Daniel Jones is 7-0 ATS, which is the best of any QB in the NFL.
You can also depend on the Giants looking to control the pace of play this time around. While Dallas boasts an elite defense overall, they are less than elite against the run and Saquon Barkley has revenge on the brain after recording almost 130 scrimmage yards in the first matchup this season. I'd look for the Giants to establish a rhythm with him early.
Cardinals +9 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
We were struggling to find the last leg of this teaser to take, but then we realized something: Kyler Murray and Hollywood Brown will most likely be back playing for this game. Rondale Moore was injured last week and should miss this one, but Greg Dortch put on a show. Most of all, if you've watched the Chargers play football this season, you know they tend to blow a lead here and there.
All of this falls into a category where we end up taking the Cardinals and the points here. Murray returning to the field is a massive boost for this team, as Colt McCoy is not and has never been it. The team got embarrassed by the 49ers in Mexico City, but I expect them to be much more ready for the Chargers this week.