Last Updated Dec 29, 2022, 1:01 PM
Week 16 Top NFL Teaser Plays
Sports Betting Expert
Welcome in to a brand-new piece of weekly content that will be showcased here at VegasInsider: Weekly Teaser Plays! Every week, I'll come in and give my three favorite teaser legs for you to bet on and some reasoning behind the play.
For those who are new, a teaser is a special type of bet where, in exchange for the odds on a play being drastically reduced, you can bet on a specific line at a much more favorable number. For instance, if my Philadelphia Eagles are a 7-point favorite this weekend against the Green Bay Packers, you can tease that line down to a 1-point favorite in exchange for the odds going down.
You can't play 1 teaser leg by itself, you have to accompany it with at least one other line, and a 2-team 6 point teaser (which is standard) would pay about -120 odds, meaning that if you put $120 on the play and it hit, you would win $100.
Let's dive right into my three favorite teaser legs for this weekend's slate!
Editors note: all lines are sourced from BetMGM
Bills -2.5 @ Chicago Bears
The Bills travel to frigid Chicago fresh off their own Winter Wonderland victory last week over the Miami Dolphins to take on the Bears, who covered late last week against Philadelphia but still have struggled. This line opened up at 9 points in favor of the Bills but has dropped to 8.5, which presents a great opportunity that bettors should take advantage of in their teaser prep this week.
The Bills match up very well against the Bears, who have struggled against rushing teams all season but lately have just struggled in general defensively. The Bears just allowed Jalen Hurts to go over his rushing prop, and I expect Josh Allen to be plenty busy on the ground in this game that could feature bomb cyclone weather effects like negative degree wind chills and wind gusts of up to 40 mph. Allen runs for 2 scores and 75 yards, and the Bills roll in this one.
Eagles +12 @ Dallas Cowboys
No Jalen Hurts, no problem. Gardner Minshew is a perfectly capable backup and could probably start for at least 6 other teams in the NFL over their current starting quarterback, so this line is very attackable in my eyes. The Eagles without Hurts should be a 3 point underdog, so there are at least 3 points of line value to me here.
The Cowboys have been beat up in recent weeks against the run (3 straight games allowing a 75+ yard rusher) so Miles Sanders should be able to move on them, and opposite Trevon Diggs, the Cowboys are on their third string CB, which should be a problem for them when it comes to covering AJ Brown and Devonta Smith. Dallas Goedert will also be back for this game, and in his only game with Minshew, Goedert had one of the best games of his career.
49ers -1 vs. Washington Commanders
The 49ers come into this game on a massive heater having won their last seven games in a row despite losing Jimmy Garoppolo for probably the rest of the season. Brock Purdy has picked things right up, winning his first two starts and now he gets a Washington defense that is not very good against the pass.
The 49ers have a great matchup here, as Washington has leaned heavily on their running game in recent weeks to get things done. Meanwhile, the 49ers have not allowed anyone to rush over 60 yards in weeks and have one of the strongest defensive fronts in the NFL, giving them a massive advantage against an offensive line that has struggled against stronger front seven's recently. Look for the 49ers to lean on Christian McCaffrey down the stretch of this game like the New York Giants leaned on Saquon Barkley to close out last week's matchup, and for the 49ers to win their 8th straight game.