EPL Tech Trends – Matchday 10

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

13 minute read

Matchday 10 of the English Premier League kicks off Firday, November 27 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

Friday, Nov. 27

CRYSTAL PALACE vs. NEWCASTLE UNITED

• The BTS has failed in four straight matches played between both clubs
• Crystal Palace has lost 10 of its last 11 prime-time home league matches after losing the match prior
• The goal total has gone UNDER in five straight matches played between both clubs
• Newcastle United has lost two straight matches 2-0
• Crystal Palace has lost four of its last five prime-time league matches to nil

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Crystal Palace - 42.9%

Saturday, Nov. 28

BRIGHTON vs. LIVERPOOL

• Liverpool has won 25 of its last 28 league matches when playing on a Saturday
• Neal Maupay has scored a goal in three of his last four matches when Brighton is playing during the daytime as an underdog on Saturday
• Brighton has covered the Asian Handicap in three of its last four matches when facing Liverpool
• Liverpool has seen a draw in two straight league road matches
• Liverpool has seen the BTS hit in 12 of its last 14 league matches

Tech Edge: Liverpool 
Probability: Liverpool - 62.5%

MANCHESTER CITY vs. BURNLEY

• Manchester City has gone OVER the goal total in 30 of its last 33 home matches when playing on a Saturday
• Manchester Citty has won three straight league home matches to nil when facing Burnley
• Gabriel Jesus has scored a goal in four straight home league matches
• Riyad Mahrez has scored a goal in three straight matches when facing Burnley 
• Burnley has failed to see the BTS hit in five straight league matches

Tech Edge: Manchester City 
Probability: Manchester City - 86.2%

EVERTON vs. LEEDS UNITED

• Leeds has seen the underdog win four of its last five league matches
• Patrick Bamford has scored a goal in four straight league road matches 
• Everton has lost three of its last four league matches

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Everton - 50%

WEST BROM vs. SHEFFIELD UNITED

• Sheffield United has lost six straight league road matches
• Sheffield United has lost four of its last six prime-time league matches to nil
• West Brom has lost three straight matches to nil

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: West Bromwich - 38%

Sunday, Nov. 29

SOUTHAMPTON vs. MANCHESTER UNITED

• Manchester United has won seven straight league road matches
• Bruno Fernandes has scored a goal in eight of his last nine league road matches
• James Ward-Prowse has scored a goal in two straight league matches when playing on a Sunday
• The goal total has gone OVER in three of the last four matches played between both clubs
• A draw has occurred in four of the last five matches played between both clubs

Tech Edge: Fernandes goal
Probability: Manchester United - 51.2%

CHELSEA vs. TOTTENHAM

• Tottenham has won three straight league matches as the underdog
• Tottenham has won three of its last four league matches to nil
• Harry Kane has scored a goal in four straight league road matches when playing on a Sunday
• Chelsea has won three straight matches when facing Tottenham

Tech Edge: Chelsea 
Probability: Chelsea - 48.5%

ARSENAL vs. WOLVERHAMPTON

• Arsenal has lost three straight prime-time league matches to nil
• Arsenal has lost three of its last four prime-time league matches as the favorite
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three of the last four matches played between both clubs
• Arsenal has seen the BTS fail in five straight league matches

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Arsenal - 48.5%

Monday, Nov. 30

LEICESTER CITY vs. FULHAM

• Leicester has won four striaght league matches when facing a promoted club
• Leicester City has won three straight league matches to nil when facing a promoted club as the favorite
• Fulham has lost three of its last four league matches

Tech Edge: Leicester City 
Probability: Leicester City - 66.1%

WEST HAM vs. ASTON VILLA

• Aston Villa has seen the road team win four of its last five league matches to nil
• Aston Villa has seen the road team win five straight league matches
• The goal total has gone UNDER in five straight matches played between both clubs 
• A draw has occured in three of the last four matches played between both clubs
• West Ham has won two straight matches 1-0

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5
Probability: West Ham 43.1%

Daily Newsletter - Sign Up Today!

VegasInsider Staff

More from VegasInsider Staff