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Auto Racing

NASCAR Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers
Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert
2 minute read

The 66th running of the Daytona 500 takes place on Monday Feb. 19, 2024 at Daytona International Speedway after rain postponed the race on Sunday.

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NASCAR EXPERT BETS - DAYTONA 500

For this week's Daytona 500 from Daytona International Speedway in Daytona, Florida, our auto racing experts are focusing on the below individuals:

  • Ross Chastain
  • Erik Jones
  • Ryan Blaney
Ross Chastain Race Winner (+2800)

Chastain has a 20.6 average finish in his last 10 Daytona races. If this average seems high, that's because it is. Chastain is an aggressive pusher, and he tends to make aggressive moves. It takes a special kind of aggressive to win at Daytona, and while he hasn't won here yet in the Cup Series, he is one of the most aggressive drivers in the field. Chastain is not a long shot, but he has long-shot odds this weekend.

Erik Jones Race Winner (+2800)

I was able to grab this at 30/1 last week, but my model is still showing value at 28/1. Legacy Motor Club is moving over to Toyota this year, and I think this is a big bump for Jones. Jimmie Johnson has talked about how this team is going from a tier 2/3 team with Chevy to a top-tier one with Toyota. I'm going to be on Jones a lot this season, and it's going to start at Daytona. He's 22/1 on some books already, and I don't expect to get this number much longer.

Ryan Blaney Top 10 Finish (-106)

In the 4 races on superspeedways last season, Blaney had 3 top-10 finishes. He has finished top 10 in 2 of the 4 races at Daytona with the new car. Blaney has 5 top-10 finishes in the last 10 races at Daytona. He quickly became one of the best superspeedway racers in the Cup Series. I'm going to be on Blaney a lot this season, and that starts with one of his best track types.

The green flag for the Daytona 500 is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. (Getty)

DAYTONA 500 BETTING ANALYSIS

The Daytona 500 has seen a trio of long shot winners capture the checkered flag the last three years as Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. (2023), Austin Cindric (2022) and Michael McDowell (2021) emerged victorious.

Will the big names come back to the pack in the 2024 edition of the "The Great American Race" this time around?

Last season's NASCAR Cup Champion Ryan Blaney is listed at 12/1 odds to win Daytona but has never won this race. In 2023, Blaney finished 8th, as the last cup champ to win Daytona the next season was Dale Jarrett in 2000.

Joey Logano and Denny Hamlin are the two favorites heading into Sunday. Logano last won the Daytona 500 in 2015, while Hamlin captured the checkered flag in 2019 and 2020.

DAYTONA 500 BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Monday, February 19, 2024
  • TV-Time: FOX, 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Daytona International Speedway
  • Location: Daytona Beach, Florida
  • NASCAR Free Picks

DAYTONA 500 BETTING ODDS

  • Joey Logano +1000
  • Denny Hamlin +1100
  • Brad Keselowski +1200
  • Ryan Blaney +1200
  • Chase Elliott +1400
  • Christopher Bell +1400
  • Chris Buescher +1600
  • Bubba Wallace +1800
  • Kyle Busch +1800
  • Kyle Larson +1800
  • William Byron +1800
  • Michael McDowell +2000
  • Ty Gibbs +2000
  • Erik Jones +2500
  • Martin Truex, Jr. +2500
  • Tyler Reddick +2500
  • Alex Bowman +2800
  • Austin Cindric +2800
  • Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +2800
  • Ross Chastain +2800
  • Austin Dillon +4000
  • Chase Briscoe +5000
  • Corey Lajoie +5000
  • Daniel Suarez +5000
  • Ryan Preece +5000
  • Carson Hocevar +6000
  • Josh Berry +6000
  • Noah Gragson +6000
  • A.J. Allmendinger +6600
  • David Ragan +6600
  • Harrison Burton +6600
  • Jimmie Johnson +6600
  • John Hunter Nemechek +6600
  • Justin Haley +6600
  • Kaz Grala +8000
  • Riley Herbst +8000
  • Todd Gilliand +8000
  • Zane Smith +8000
  • Anthony Alfredo +10000
  • Daniel Hemric +10000

More Daytona 500 Odds

Odds & Field Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change

DAYTONA 500 HISTORY

Ricky Stenhouse pulled off the upset in the 2023 Daytona 500. (Getty)

This race hasn't gone the way of chalk over the last several years, as the Daytona 500 has turned into an event that is wide open for any driver to win, no matter how experienced.

  • 2023 - Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.
  • 2022 - Austin Cindric
  • 2021 - Michael McDowell
  • 2020 - Denny Hamlin
  • 2019 - Denny Hamlin
  • 2018 - Austin Dillon
  • 2017 - Kurt Busch
  • 2016 - Denny Hamlin
  • 2015 - Joey Logano
  • 2014 - Dale Earnhardt, Jr.

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers
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