NASCAR South Point 400 Picks, Predictions

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

It’s time for the South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway’s 1.5-mile layout which starts the Round of 8 in the playoffs.

Eight playoff drivers have been chopped after six races in the first two rounds and eight drivers remain with several new faces looking for their first NASCAR Cup Championship. 

Here's the list of the eight drivers vying for the championship and how many titles they have won:

• William Byron
• Martin Truex, Jr. (1)
• Denny Hamlin
• Kyle Larson (1)
• Chris Buescher
• Christopher Bell
• Tyler Reddick
• Ryan Blaney

Amazingly, only two combined championships between the eight remaining drivers, as the likes of Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott have won the NASCAR Cup Series title, but are eliminated from contention.

This is only the sixth running of the South Point 400 as Logano won this race last October by defeating Ross Chastain and Busch for his third career win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Earlier this season in Las Vegas, Byron picked up a win at the Pennzoil 400 in March, while leading 176 laps.

SOUTH POINT 400 TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #8 Kyle Busch (12/1)
2) #5 Kyle Larson (4/1)
3) #48 Alex Bowman (25/1)
4) #4 Kevin Harvick (30/1)
5) #12 Ryan Blaney (12/1)

SOUTH POINT 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS

Racing in his backyard is always a great motivator for Busch, who is trying to string together consecutive Top-10 finishes for the first time since July.

Busch, the Las Vegas native, placed 14th in the March race in Sin City, ending a five-race streak in Vegas of Top-6 finishes. He is seeking his first win in Las Vegas since 2009 and his fourth victory of the season.

Even though Larson is the favorite, it's hard not to consider him as he placed 2nd at the Pennzoil 400, while finishing in the Top 2 three times in Las Vegas since 2021.

Alex Bowman has produced a subpar season with zero wins and one Top-5 finish in the last 22 races. However, the driver of the #48 Chevrolet has been solid in Las Vegas with a win at the Pennzoil 400 in 2022 and a third-place finish in the March race this season (he didn't race in last year's South Point 400).

Kevin Harvick owns only two victories in Las Vegas, but the veteran driver has put up good numbers on this track. Since 2019, Harvick has placed 12th or better eight times, including a 9th-place finish in March.

SOUTH POINT 400 BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
Venue: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Distance: 400.5 miles
Laps: 267
Network-Time: NBC - 2:30 p.m.
Defending Champion: Joey Logano

SOUTH POINT 400 BETTING ODDS

• Kyle Larson +400
• William Byron +450
• Denny Hamlin +500
• Tyler Reddick +600
• Martin Truex, Jr. +700
• Christopher Bell +1000
• Kyle Busch +1200
• Ryan Blaney +1200
• Chase Elliott +1400
• Brad Keselowski +1600
• Chris Buescher +1600
• Ross Chastain +1800
• Bubba Wallace +2000
• Alex Bowman +2500
• Ty Gibbs +2500
• Kevin Harvick +3000
• Joey Logano +3000
• Erik Jones +3300
• Daniel Suarez +6600
• Aric Almirola +12500
• Chase Briscoe +12500
• Carson Hocevar +12500
• Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +12500
• Austin Dillon +15000
• Michael McDowell +15000
• A.J. Allmendinger +20000
• Austin Cindric +20000
• Harrison Burton +20000
• Justin Haley +20000
• Ryan Preece +20000
• Corey Lajoie +25000
• Todd Gilliand +30000
• Ty Dillon +30000
• Brennan Poole +50000
• J.J. Yeley +50000
• B.J. McLeod +50000

SOUTH POINT 400 WINNERS

• 2022 - Joey Logano
• 2021 - Denny Hamlin
• 2020 - Kurt Busch
• 2019 - Martin Truex, Jr.
• 2018 - Brad Keselowski

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers