Toyota/Save Mart 350 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The NASCAR circuit heads to northern California in the San Francisco Bay Area on the road course for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 on Sunday.

The first road course race of the season took place in Austin, Texas back in late March as Tyler Reddick picked up his third victory on this type of course since 2022.

To no one's surprise, Reddick is the favorite this week, right ahead of Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott. Larson grabbed a win at Sonoma in 2021, while Elliott has never won at this course, while his best finish was second behind Larson two years ago.

TOYOTA SAVE MART 350 TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION

1) #9 Chase Elliott (5/1)
2) #8 Tyler Reddick (+450)
3) #17 Chris Buescher (22/1)
4) #5 Kyle Larson (5/1)
5) #1 Ross Chastain (12/1)

TOYOTA SAVE MART 350 PICKS & PREDICTIONS

Elliott has yet to win a race this season, while coming off a 34th-place finish at Charlotte last week after being involved in an accident.

Elliott's road course numbers are some of the best in NASCAR, which includes six wins since 2019 and three Top-4 finishes in 2022. He missed the first race in Texas this season when he was sidelined with a leg injury, while leading 26 laps in last year's Sonoma event in spite of an 8th-place finish.

Reddick cruised to a win at COTA (Circuit of the Americas), marking his fifth consecutive Top-7 finish at a road course. Unfortunately, his second-worst finish at a road course in his career came at Sonoma last year when he placed 35th.

Chris Buescher isn't exactly a long-shot at 22/1, but the driver of the #17 Ford has been impressive on the road courses lately. Buescher owns six straight Top-10 finishes on the road courses, while placing second behind Daniel Suarez in last year's race at Sonoma.

Larson is always going to be a threat regardless of the layout of the track, winning twice this season and capturing the All-Star race in North Carolina. Larson has crashed five times in 15 races, but in the 10 races he did not have an accident in, he owns six Top-4 finishes.

Ross Chastain struggled towards the end of 2022 in his final three road course races, as he looks to pass Joey Logano for the most points this season on the NASCAR circuit.

However, Chastain placed fourth at COTA in late March, while putting together consecutive 7th-place finishes the last two years at Sonoma.

TOYOTA SAVE MART 350 BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023
• Venue: Sonoma Raceway
• Location: Sonoma, California
• Distance: 218.9 miles
• Laps: 110
• Network-Time: FS1 - 4:00 p.m. ET

TOYOTA SAVE MART 350 CONTENDERS

• Tyler Reddick +450
• Kyle Larson +500
• Chase Elliott +500
• Kyle Busch +800
• William Byron +850
• Ross Chastain +1200
• Daniel Suarez +1200
• AJ Allmendinger +1600
• Austin Cindric +1800
• Christopher Bell +2000
• Chris Buescher +2200
• Kevin Harvick +2200
• Ryan Blaney +2500
• Joey Logano +2500
• Alex Bowman +2500
• Martin Truex Jr +2800
• Denny Hamlin +3300
• Michael McDowell +3300
• Brad Keselowski +4000
• Chase Briscoe +4000
• Ty Gibbs +5000
• Bubba Wallace +10000
• Erik Jones +10000
• Justin Haley +15000
• Austin Dillon +25000
• Ryan Preece +30000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr +50000
• Aric Almirola +50000
• Harrison Burton +50000
• Zane Smith +50000
• Grant Enfinger +50000
• Corey Lajoie +100000
• Todd Gilliland +100000
• Andy Lally +100000
• Josh Bilicki +200000
• Ty Dillon +200000

TOYOTA/SAVE MART 350 WINNERS

• 2022 - Daniel Suarez
• 2021 - Kyle Larson
• 2020 - Race not held
• 2019 - Martin Truex, Jr.
• 2018 - Martin Truex, Jr.
• 2017 - Kevin Harvick
• 2016 - Tony Stewart
• 2015 - Kyle Busch
• 2014 - Carl Edwards
• 2013 - Martin Truex, Jr.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers