Errol Spence Jr. vs. Yordenis Ugas Picks, Predictions, Odds

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Coming up this weekend, at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, WBA super welterweight champion, Yordenis Ugas, will lock horns with unified IBF-WBC welterweight champion, Errol Spence Jr.

This is one of the greatest fights in boxing to make at welterweight right now, with Spence and Terence Crawford seemingly being unable to come to terms and meet in the ring.

The last time we saw Spence in the ring he was coming off of a year-long hiatus and looked sharp as ever by defending his unified titles against Danny Garcia. Prior to that bout Spence had been involved in a serious car accident in 2019.

Both fighters are on nice win streaks heading into their meet this Saturday, and the pairing should make for an intriguing matchup for fans of the sport.

Spence, Jr. vs. Ugas Date, Start Time, Location

Date: Saturday, April 16
Time: 10.00 p.m. ET
Network: FOX PPV
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Texas, United States
Boxing Futures Market

Spence Jr. vs. Ugas Tale of the Tape

Fighter	Spence Jr.	Ugas
Country	America	Cuba
Age	32	35
Height	5' 9"	5' 9"
Reach	72"	69"
Record	27-0 (21 KOs)	27-4 (12 KOs)
Stance	Southpaw	Orthodox
Titles	IBF, WBC	WBA

Spence Jr. vs. Ugas Betting Odds

Fighter	2/8	3/5	3/9	4/5	4/14
Errol Spence Jr.	-357	-400	-455	-625	-700
Yordenis Ugas	+250	+275	+300	+350	+450

Spence Jr. vs. Ugas Betting Comparison

Fighter	BetMGM	FanDuel	PointsBet
Errol Spence Jr.	-455	-550	-625
Yordenis Ugas	+350	+360	+400

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Spence Jr. vs. Ugas Prediction

Two of the best welterweights in the world face off this weekend. Spence is renowned for his ability to slowly but surely break down his opponents with increasing amounts of pressure and strikes targeted to multiple areas. He can be a wrecking ball when he needs to, and a technical boxer too.

Ugas is far more patient in the ring. His last fight showed this in particular as he took on boxing legend and all-time great, Manny Pacquiao, winning via unanimous decision. Considering Ugas took the fight on just 11-days notice, the performance was perhaps the best of his career thus far, and it stole some of Spence’s thunder.

**Yordenis Ugas has won 12 of his last 13 fights. (Getty)**

Spence was originally scheduled to fill in the slot against Manny, however a retinal tear kept him out of competition. Despite Spence’s most recent win I still think it’s fair to have some questions about him. How is he recovering from the car crash? Were the eye injury and the crash related?

He looked great against Danny Garcia, however the fact of the matter is what he has only competed once in over two years. Out of the two, Spence is the one with something to prove. Coming off the hiatus he needs to prove he still belongs at the top, and beating Ugas is a necessity if he wants that superfight against Crawford at some point down the line.

Spence is younger, however Ugas has been far more active while Spence was recovering from his accident. Ugas has shown that he can control the pace of his fights in a significant way. He was picture-perfect against a guy like Manny, renowned for his insane combinations and marauding style.

Spence does tend to step on the gas in fights that get extended, and I think Ugas will be patient and well-versed enough to do his thing and slow the fight down. This is a guy that has never been knocked out and he is unbeaten against southpaws.

I don’t expect Ugas to finish Spence, but I also think that will be his strongest asset. Spence’s closest fights have been decisions. All in all, Ugas is live here in my eyes. There are enough question marks on Spence’s side to make me believe Yordenis has what it takes to throw a wrench in the plans for Crawford and Spence Jr.

Best Bet: Yordenis Ugas by Decision or Technical Decision +600