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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:47 PM

Colorado State vs. Utah State Predictions, Odds


  • January 19, 2021
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The Colorado State Rams continue to quietly impress, now hitting the road in a tough game against the red hot Utah State Aggies. Tip for this crucial Mountain West game is set for 9 p.m. (ET) and will air on the CBS Sports Network.

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WHERE TO BET COLORADO STATE-UTAH STATE

Colorado State-Utah State Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Utah State -7
  • Money-Line: Utah State -350 Colorado State +290
  • Total: 138.5

Odds Subject to Change

Utah State enters this home game as the -7-point favorite, coming off convincing back-to-back wins over San Diego State. The Aggies are a solid 9-3 on the ATS this season, but now face a defensive challenge in Colorado State.

The Rams are 6-4 on the ATS this season. The point total is set at 138.5, which both teams tend to go UNDER on. Utah State has gone UNDER in eight games this season, while Colorado State has gone UNDER in six.

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Betting Analysis – Colorado State Rams

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 10-2
  • ATS: 6-4
  • SU - Home: 6-0
  • SU - Away: 4-2
  • O/U: 4-6

It's all about defense with the Colorado State Rams, allowing 63.8 points per game (46th nationally) and a defensive efficiency rating of 90.3 (33rd nationally). David Roddy and Isaiah Stevens are two sophomores that average 15 points per game, while Kendle Moore adds another 11.1.

For how good of a defense Colorado State has, the offense can play as well. The Rams average 75.8 points per game (ranks 107th nationally) and post an efficiency rating of 107.3 - which ranks 91st in the nation.

They have the 33rd-best free throw percentage in the nation (76%) and the 24th-best three-point percentage in the nation (39%). This is a spurty team, as a back-and-forth game is typical with the Rams although the runs are usually long. This makes live betting Colorado State games a nightmare, so try to avoid that market if considering a wager on this game.

Betting Analysis – Utah State Aggies

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-3
  • ATS: 9-3
  • SU - Home: 6-2
  • SU - Away: 5-1
  • O/U: 4-8

There's a lot to like about this Utah State team, especially on defense which will see the Aggies fight fire with fire when they face Colorado State. The Aggies allow just 59.3 points per game which ranks eighth-best nationally. They also have the fifth-most efficient defense in the country with a rating of 84.2.

Utah State averages 4.9 blocks per game which ranks 23rd in the nation, along with 41.5 rebounds per game which is 19th-best in the country. Neemias Queta is the life force of this defense, averaging an insane 2.9 blocks per game to go along with 1.4 steals (both lead the team).

Queta leads the Aggies in points per game and rebounds per game as well, so his presence is vastly important in this game. Also, Justin Bean typically gets overlooked with a 10 point per game average and 7.5 rebounds. The unselfishness of this team is quite impressive.

No player on Utah State averages more than 3.1 assists per game, but they feature five players who average two or more assists per game. This team ranks 58th nationally in assists per game (15.8) without a clear facilitator. Beware of Utah State's ability to pass the ball and find easy and open shots (they make the 46th-most two-point shots in the nation).

Inside the Stats – Colorado State Rams

  • PS/G: 75.8 (108th)
  • PA/G: 63.8 (46th)
  • Off Rtg: 107.3 (91st)
  • Def Rtg: 90.3 (33rd)

Inside the Stats – Utah State Aggies

  • PS/G: 75.3 (111th)
  • PA/G: 59.3 (7th)
  • Off Rtg: 106.9 (98th)
  • Def Rtg: 84.2 (6th)

Key Players to Watch

  • CSU - David Roddy (15.8 PPG, 9.3 RPG)
  • CSU - Isaiah Stevens (15.4 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 6.3 APG)
  • UTST - Neemias Queta (12.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG)
  • UTST - Marco Anthony (11.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG)

Colorado State-Utah State Predictions

The UNDER seems to be the best play between two teams that feature top-notch defenses and a combined 8-14 O/U. Playing the odds and what each team brings on paper correctly, this should point most bettors to the point total going UNDER here.

Utah State should win this game SU at home, but the spread could go in either direction. If push comes to shove, go with the home team that is slightly better than the Rams in multiple categories on paper.

Overall though, the point total of 138.5 should go UNDER based on betting trends and defensive-calibar play expected to be showcased in this Mountain West clash.

  • Score Prediction: Utah State 71 Colorado State 65
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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