Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:47 AM

Virginia Tech vs. Pittsburgh Predictions, Odds

  • February 3, 2021
  • By David Schwab

The No. 16 Virginia Tech Hokies will be on the road this Wednesday night to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers at Petersen Events Center. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. (ET) with the ACC Network covering the game.



Virginia Tech-Pittsburgh Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Virginia Tech -2
  • Money-Line: Virginia Tech -150 Pittsburgh +190
  • Total: 135.5

Odds Subject to Change

Virginia Tech comes into this ACC matchup as a slight two-point road favorite. The total line for Wednesday night opened at 134.5 points.

Quality home upsets over Duke and Virginia are part of the Hokies’ 5-1 straight-up run in their last six ACC games. They are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven outings with the total staying UNDER in their last five contests.

Virginia Tech has a SU five-game winning streak against the Panthers with a 6-2-1 record ATS over the previous eight meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the Hokies’ last six road games overall.

Pittsburgh is trending in the opposite direction with a three-game losing streak (SU and ATS) following a SU 8-2 (7-3 ATS) start. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of its last 10 contests. The Panthers have won four of their last six home games against Virginia Tech SU. However, they are just 5-12 SU over their last 17 conference games.

Betting Analysis – Virginia Tech Hokies

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 13-3
  • ATS: 10-6
  • SU - Home: 10-1
  • SU - Away: 3-2
  • O/U: 9-7

In Saturday’s 14-point victory over Virginia as five-point home favorites, the Hokies got a huge effort from Keve Aluma with a career-high 29 points. He helped the team outscore the Cavaliers 44-22 in the second half.

The junior forward leads the team in both points (14.8) and rebounds (7.6). Aluma is one of four players scoring in double figures this season. Yet, guard Tyrece Radford (11.1 points) has been suspended from the team indefinitely.

Virginia Tech is averaging 72.1 points a game while connecting on 44.8% of its shots from the field and 34.6% of its three-point attempts. Defense has been a big factor in recent games with the Hokies scoring an average of just 62.8 points over their last four games. They are allowing an average of 63.8 points per game on the year. This has dropped to 60 PPG during the same four-game span.

Betting Analysis –Pittsburgh Panthers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-5
  • ATS: 7-6
  • SU - Home: 5-4
  • SU - Away: 3-1
  • O/U: 6-7

Pitt has lost its last two games at home by a combined 36 points. Most of this scoring deficit came in Saturday’s ugly 84-58 loss to Notre Dame as a -3.5-point favorite.

Sophomore Justin Champagnie leads the Panthers in scoring with 20.1 points while pulling down an average of 12.1 rebounds a game. He has actually exceeded that scoring average in three of his last five starts while posting four double-doubles.

The Panthers are scoring an average of 72.3 points a game with 41.1 rebounds. They are shooting 42.3% from the field and 32.1% from three-point range.

Defensively, they are giving up an average of 68.9 PPG. This has jumped to 76.8 points over their past five contests.

Inside the Stats – Virginia Tech Hokies

  • PS/G: 72.1 (173rd)
  • PA/G: 63.8 (41st)
  • Off Rtg: 107.3 (79th)
  • Def Rtg: 95 (82nd)

Inside the Stats – Pittsburgh Panthers

  • PS/G: 72.3 (164th)
  • PA/G: 68.9 (153rd)
  • Off Rtg: 102.5 (169th)
  • Def Rtg: 97.7 (144th)

Key Players to Watch

  • VT - Keve Aluma (14.8 PPG, 7.6 RPG)
  • VT - Nahiem Alleyne (10.3 PPG)
  • PITT - Justin Champagnie (20.1 PPG, 12.1 RPG)
  • PITT - Au'Diese Toney (14.7 PPG, 6 RPG)

Virginia Tech-Pittsburgh Predictions

This is a classic betting scenario of a hot road team facing a struggling team at home. Pitt still matches up rather well with the Hokies but current playing form could be the difference in this one.

The Hokies are attracting some national attention win wins over Duke and Virginia. They need to maintain this high level of play heading into the season’s stretch run with another solid win SU and ATS.

Given how the Hokies’ defense has been leading the way recently, I would also take the UNDER on the current total line.

  • Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 68 Pittsburgh 62
  • Best Bets: Virginia Tech -2
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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