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College Basketball

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats Predictions, Picks, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

The Alabama Crimson Tide (17-9, 7-6 SEC) travel to meet the Kentucky Wildcats (21-5, 10-3) for a Southeastern Conference battle Saturday at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Ky. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS.

SCORE PREDICTION

Kentucky 77, Alabama 72

BEST BETS

Alabama +7 (-110) at Atlantis

Under 155.5 (-110) at Circa/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/alabama-@-kentucky.cfm/date/02-19-22

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS. KENTUCKY WILDCATS PREDICTIONS

The Crimson Tide have rattled off three consecutive victories since its last loss, a 66-55 setback against Kentucky at home on Feb. 5. Alabama picked up a solid 80-75 win against Mississippi State last time out, and they have posted 80, 68 and 97 points across the past three outings, hitting the OVER in two of those affairs. Jahvon Quinerly posted 21 points with eight assists against Mississippi State, one of four players with 12 or more points. Charles Bediako had 15 points and five boards, but more impressively he swatted six shots.

The Wildcats saw a six-game win streak go up in flames, as Tennessee torched them 76-63 in Lexington on Tuesday. Kentucky has alternated non-covers and covers in each of the past seven games. The Wildcats haven't failed to cover in back-to-back games since an 0-3 ATS skid Jan. 19-25.

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS. KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING ODDS

  • Alabama +230
  • Kentucky -265
  • Alabama +7 (-110)
  • Kentucky -6 (-110)
  • Over 154.5 (-110)
  • Under 155.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS. KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: SEC
  • Date: Saturday, February 19, 2022
  • Venue: Rupp Arena
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-9
  • ATS: 9-16-1
  • O/U: 17-9

Alabama enters on a skid against the number, going just 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall, while going 3-14-1 ATS across the past 18 games overall. That includes the non-cover against Kentucky on Feb. 5.

The Crimson Tide are also 1-3-1 ATS in the previous five games on the road, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning overall record. However, they are 3-1-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.

For totals, Bama has cashed the OVER in 15 of the previous 21 games overall, while hitting the OVER in eight of the past nine games on the road. The OVER is 5-0 in the past five as an underdog, too, including 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog.

KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 21-5
  • ATS: 12-14
  • O/U: 12-14

Kentucky has been a bit erratic against the number, alternating non-covers and covers in each of the past seven games dating back to Jan. 25. They failed to cover last time out at Tennessee, so if you believe in these kind of coincidental patterns, a cover might be just around the corner on Saturday.

The Wildcats have cashed in one of the past five games as a favorite, while going 5-12-1 ATS in the past 18 games following a straight-up loss.

For totals, the OVER has connected in five of the past six games at home, while going 5-1 in the past six as a home favorite. The OVER is also 21-8-1 in the past 30 following a straight-up loss. The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five for a team with a winning overall record.

As far as head-to-head, Kentucky holds a 7-3 SU mark in the previous 10 outings, while Alabama has covered three of the past four in the series. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the previous five meetings, including the first battle between the two schools this season.


Kentucky has posted a 5-12-1 ATS mark in the past 18 games following a straight-up loss. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

  • Record: 17-9
  • PS/G: 80.4 (17th)
  • PA/G: 75.5 (321st)
  • ORtg: 109.2 (43rd)
  • DRtg: 102.6 (254th)

INSIDE THE STATS - KENTUCKY WILDCATS

  • Record: 21-5
  • PS/G: 80.6 (13th)
  • PA/G: 64.7 (55th)
  • ORtg: 114.0 (13th)
  • DRtg: 91.5 (27th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • BAMA: Jahvon Quinerly - G (14.2 PPG, 4.5 APG, 3.2 RPG, 40.4 FG%)
  • BAMA: Jaden Shackelford - G (17.1 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.5 APG, 35.9 3P%)
  • UK: Oscar Tshiebwe - F (16.2 PPG, 15.3 RPG, 2.0 SPG, 1.4 BPG, 1.0 APG)
  • UK: Tyty Washington, Jr. - G (12.4 PPG, 4.1 APG, 3.6 RPG, 1.2 SPG)

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS. KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING CONCLUSION

Alabama snapped a four-game losing streak on the road with an emphatic 97-83 victory at Ole Miss on Feb. 9 as a 5.5-point favorite, but the Crimson Tide still has work to do if it wants to convince bettors that they're not just a good home team and a poor road side. Prior to the Ole Miss win they were 0-3-1 ATS in the past four road games, including an inexplicable 82-76 loss at lowly Georgia on Jan. 25 as a 14.5-point favorite.

Kentucky took care of business in T-Town with a 66-55 win against the Crimson Tide as a 1.5-point underdog on Feb. 5 as the UNDER connected. It's hard to envision Oscar Tshiebwe and company allowing a bad road team to come into its barn and come away with a victory. Look for Kentucky to roll, although Alabama should be able to hang around late to at least make it interesting.

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS. KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING TRENDS

  • Alabama is 3-14-1 ATS in the past 18 games overall.
  • Alabama is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five road games.
  • Alabama is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
  • Alabama is 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
  • Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in the past five as a favorite.
  • The OVER is 15-6 in the past 21 games for Alabama.
  • The OVER is 8-1 in the past nine road games for Alabama.
  • The OVER is 5-0 in the past five as an underdog for Alabama.
  • The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog for Alabama.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in the past six home games for Kentucky.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in the past six as a home fave for Kentucky.
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for Kentucky.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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