Michigan State vs. Purdue Picks, Predictions, Odds

The top-ranked team in the country will look to remain as one of the three teams with just one loss this season when the Purdue Boilermakers host the Michigan State Spartans on Sunday afternoon.

This clash between Big Ten titans is set to whet our palates before a day of great NFL action, so it will take place on Sunday, January 29, 2023, at 12:15 p.m. ET on CBS from Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Prediction

A win here would be huge for Michigan State. Although the Spartans are 4-5 against Quad 1 opponents, their best win this season was at home against Rutgers. They are currently 0-3 against top 12 opponents in terms of NET, but two of those three losses were by a single point against Gonzaga and Purdue (in East Lansing).

Purdue has won six of its last seven games against Michigan State, but only one of those victories came by more than 10 points. Additionally, four of the last five games have been decided by five points or less, so look for the Spartans to cover the number here.

Score Prediction: Purdue 67, Michigan State 64
Best Bet: Michigan State +8.5

Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Odds

Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Resources

Date: Sunday, Jan. 29, 2023
TV-Time: CBS, 12:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Mackey Arena
Location: West Lafayette, Indiana
Matchup
Expert Picks

Big 10 Championship Odds

Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Stats

Michigan State Spartans
SU: 14-7
ATS: 11-10
O/U: 10-11
PPG: 69.3
OPPG: 65.6

Purdue Boilermakers
SU: 20-1
ATS: 8-11-2
O/U: 7-14
PPG: 73.6
OPPG: 60.3

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

Michigan State Spartans Betting Analysis

Tyson Walker was a monster for Michigan State in the first game between these two teams. Walker went 12 of 23 from the floor and made over 50% of his threes in a 30-point performance against Purdue two weeks ago. He is the team's leading scorer, averaging 14.1 PPG, but he will need some help from his teammates in the rematch. Walker only has one other game with more than 20 points this season, so that explosion against Purdue was an aberration.

The other Spartan to have a great game against Purdue two weeks ago was A.J. Hoggard. The junior guard was the second leading scorer with 14 points, and he registered eight assists in the loss. Hoggard is averaging 12.4 PPG and 5.9 APG (leading the team in that category), but he has not been an efficient shooter. He is making just 40.6% of his field gals and 29.4% of his three-point attempts.

Michigan State has two other players that are averaging double digits in terms of PPG. Joey Hauser is averaging 13.7 PPG and 7.6 RPG, and he is one of the most efficient shooters on the team. Hauser is making 47.7% of his field goals and 41.1% of his threes. Meanwhile, Malik Hall is averaging 10.0 PPG, but he just returned from an injury and has only played in 10 games this season. The good news there is that it has helped the Spartans with their depth, so Mady Sissoko and others should play a big role on Sunday.

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Analysis

Zach Edey is currently the betting favorite to be named the Naismith Player of the Year. Edey is the No. 1 rated player in the country according to Ken Pomeroy, as the 7'4 center is a matchup nightmare because of his size and athleticism. He is currently averaging 21.4 PPG and 12.9 RPG, and he is making 61.1% of his field goals. In the first game between these teams, Edey made all the difference with 32 points and 17 rebounds on 50% shooting. The only other Purdue player that had more than eight points was Fletcher Loyer.

Loyer is the second leading scorer on the Boilermakers. He is averaging 13.0 PPG, but he isn't a very efficient shooter, making under 40% of his field goals on the year. The good news is that he is an above average three-point shooter, knocking down 36.1% of his threes, and that helps Purdue on the perimeter.

Braden Smith is the catalyst of this offense when Edey isn't the primary option. Smith is averaging 9.9 PPG and leads Purdue with 4.1 APG. He isn't afraid to go down low and is averaging 4.7 RPG, and he is a very efficient shooter for a guard too. Smith is draining 46.6% of his field goals and 43.9% of his threes.

Purdue is excellent on both sides of the ball ranking 5th in offense and 18th in defense per Pomeroy. The Boilermakers get a lot of second chances on offense because of Edey, and they also send opponents to the free throw line less often than any other team.