Last Updated Nov 14, 2022, 3:23 PM
College Football Week 11 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
College football Week 11 odds are a huge comedown from Week 10. There's not a game that's even remotely comparable to Tennessee-Georgia or Alabama-LSU.
But with 'Bama having lost at Death Valley, the door is open for other teams in the College Football Playoff odds chase. That makes this week's TCU-Texas clash arguably the most appealing, as the unbeaten Horned Frogs aim to stay in contention.
Let's dive into Week 11 college football odds and action, with insights from multiple oddsmakers and sportsbooks. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: Texas -7; Over/Under 65
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday (ABC)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With 2.5 hours to go until kickoff, the Longhorns are -7 (-115) at WynnBet. Texas opened -6.5 (-120) Sunday and quickly went to -7, then hit -7.5 later Sunday evening.
Texas returned to -7 early Monday and toggled a couple of times to -7.5 during the week. The number has been at various prices of Texas -7.5 since Friday morning.
The Horned Frogs are getting 73% of spread bets, but 56% of spread dollars are on the Longhorns.
The total opened at 65, hit a low point of 64.5 a couple of times early, then spent most of the week at 65. It peaked at 65.6 Friday, and that's where it sits now. The Over is taking 69% of tickets, while 78% of cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 1:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Horned Frogs hit DraftKings' college football Week 11 odds board as 7-point favorites Sunday. The line went to TCU -7.5 in fairly short order and has spent the week toggling between various iterations of -7.5 and -7.
TCU is taking 66% of spread tickets, but money is almost even, at 52% on the Horned Frogs.
The total opened at 66, bottomed out at 64.5 multiple times during the week and is now at 65 (Over -115). Ticket count is actually almost 5/1 and money almost 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports opened Texas -6.5 and quickly moved to -7 Sunday. The number hasn't budged since then, save for a price adjustment that now has the Longhorns at -7 (-115).
Point-spread ticket count is just shy of 2/1 TCU, while spread dollars are almost 2/1 on Texas.
“What we believe and what the market believes is that Texas is the better team here,” Caesars Sports' Joey Feazel said. “TCU has outperformed the number, and they’ll start sluggish and go down in the first half before really turning it on in the second half. I see this line staying at 7 because of where the action was when we were at 6.5 and 7.5.
"I’m not surprised to see TCU getting most of the tickets and Texas getting most of the money. TCU has been cashing quite a few tickets for the public, so they’ll continue to bet them.”
The total has been only slightly more active in Caesars' college football Week 11 odds market. After opening at 65, the initial move was up to 65.5 Sunday night, then down to 64.5 Tuesday morning. By Tuesday night, it was back at the 65 opener and hasn't moved since.
The Over is seeing 80% of tickets, but 57% of cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET MONDAY: TCU is a perfect 9-0 SU and a rock-solid 7-1-1 ATS, as well, scoring big for bettors this season. But oddsmakers aren't buying what the Horned Frogs are selling, with Texas Christian a touchdown underdog against a Texas team with three losses.
In Week 10, the Horned Frogs closed as 8.5-point home favorites against Texas Tech and won 34-24.
Texas (6-3 SU and ATS) has won four of its last five games. The Longhorns traveled to Kansas State in Week 10 and notched a 34-27 victory laying 3 points.
The Longhorns remain 7-point favorites at TwinSpires Sportsbook, but early tickets are 2.5/1 and early money 2/1 on the Horned Frogs.
"The public is all over TCU early. However, we're still holding strong at 7 for now," TwinSpires Sportsbook director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.
TwinSpires opened the total ay 65, briefly went to 64.5, then returned to 65. Tickets and money are both 2/1 on the Over in the early going.
Opening line: Georgia -16.5; Over/Under 54
Time: 7 p.m. ET Saturday (ESPN)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Georgia is laying 16.5 points on WynnBet's college football Week 11 odds board. Georgia opened -17 (even) and spent a good chunk of the week at -16.5, though the line was -16 from late Wednesday morning until Friday afternoon.
Georgia is nabbing 70% of spread bets and 81% of spread dollars at WynnBet.
The total nudged from 53 to 52.5 Sunday evening, then went to 52 Friday night. Today, the total rebounded to 53. Ticket count is 3/1 on the Over, but money is beyond 9/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Bulldogs are laying 16 points at Caesars Sports, after opening and spending the first half of the week at -16.5.
Spread tickets are running almost 3/1 on Georgia, but spread cash is 3/1 on Mississippi State, taking all those points.
The total fell from 53.5 to 52 within an hour Sunday night, but rebounded to 53.5 by Monday morning. Tickets and money are both 4/1-plus on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET MONDAY: Georgia is No. 1 in the AP poll and will almost certainly ascend to No. 1 in the CFP rankings, once those are released Tuesday night. That's because the Bulldogs (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) knocked out current CFP No. 1 Tennessee in Week 10.
Georgia spotted the Vols a 3-0 lead from an early turnover, but ultimately rolled to a 27-13 win as a 10-point home chalk.
Mississippi State (6-3 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) halted its two-game SU skid in Week 10, but failed to cash for a third straight game. Mississippi State, which closed -12.5, outlasted Auburn 39-33 in overtime.
Georgia hasn't moved off -16.5 early on in TwinSpires' college football Week 11 odds market. Mississippi State is seeing 54% of tickets, while 56% of cash is on Georgia.
"Good two-way action so far," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total receded a notch to 53.5, with 59% of tickets on the Over/63% of money on the Under.
"We saw some sharp play on Under 54," Lucas said.
Opening line: Oregon -12.5; Over/Under 69.5
Time: 7 p.m. ET Saturday (FOX)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet pegged Oregon a 12.5-point chalk at Sunday's outset, went to -13 a few hours later and got to -13.5 by lunchtime Monday. The number toggled between Ducks -13.5 and -13 a couple times during the week, then fell to -12 (-115) late Friday night.
Oregon is seeing 62% of spread tickets, but 55% of spread cash is on double-digit-'dog Washington.
The total opened at 69, peaked at 73 Tuesday morning, spent the past couple of days at 72.5 and is now 73 again. The Under is drawing 56% of tickets, but a whopping 96% of cash is on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Ducks landed on Caesars' college football Week 11 odds board as 11-point favorites Sunday afternoon. Less than two hours later, Oregon was out to -12.5, and by lunchtime Monday, the number was up to -13.5.
There's been no movement since, with Oregon netting 72% of spread bets/77% of spread cash.
“Oregon controls [its] destiny. If [the Ducks] win out and win the Pac-12, I definitely see the case where they get in over Tennessee,” Feazel said, alluding to the College Football Playoff. “Oregon’s only loss was that tough Georgia game to start the season, but they were figuring out who they were under new coach Dan Lanning. We took a large bet on Bo Nix to win the Heisman too, he’s risen up the ranks there.
"I’m not surprised about the Oregon action, but I don’t think we’ll go to 14. When we opened at 11, it’s basically seeing which way they’ll go with this. Twelve isn’t a key number, but 10, 13 and 14 are. They already pushed it up past 13, but it shouldn’t reach 14.”
The total has been at 72.5 since Monday afternoon, after a surge up Sunday/Monday from the 69.5 opener. The Over is getting a modest majority 56% of tickets, but that's translating into 90% of money.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET MONDAY: Oregon is another team benefiting – for the moment – from Alabama's loss to LSU. That put the Ducks back in the CFP conversation.
Oregon opened the season with a blowout 49-3 loss to No. 1 Georgia, but has since gone 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS, becoming one of the best ATS bets in the nation. The Ducks (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) rolled to a 49-10 victory at Colorado in Week 10, easily cashing as hefty 31.5-point favorites.
Washington (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won three in a row on the field, but is on a five-game spread-covering slide. In Week 10 against Oregon State, Washington held on for a 24-21 win giving 4.5 points at home.
This line has bounced around early on at TwinSpires, from Oregon -12.5 to -13 to -13.5, then back to -13. The Ducks are now back at the -12.5 opener, with ticket count 2/1 and money 3/1 on Oregon.
"Oregon is taking money early in the week. It's safe to say we'll be Huskies fans by kickoff Saturday," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is already out to 71 from a 69.5 opener, with 66% of tickets/71% of money on the Over.
Opening line: Wake Forest -3.5; Over/Under 76.5
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday (ESPN2)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Wake Forest opened -3.5 (even) in WynnBet's college football Week 11 odds market. The Demon Deacons stuck at various iterations of that number until going to -4 for a couple of hours Thursday evening.
Wake then returned to 3.5, but got back to -4 Friday afternoon. A couple of hours pre-kick, the Deacs are at -4.5. while taking 57% of spread tickets/83% of spread money.
The total opened at 75.5 and is up to 79, making several stops along the way at WynnBet. However, ticket count is 2.5/1 and money 5/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Wake Forest is laying 3.5 points in Caesars Sports' college football Week 11 odds market. The Demon Deacons toggled between the -3 opener and -3.5 a couple of times Sunday/Monday, then stabilized at -3.5 (even) before going to -3.5 flat today.
It's all Wake on the point spread thus far, with ticket count almost 5/1 and money 9/1 on the Demon Deacons.
The total rose from 76.5 to 77.5 by Tuesday afternoon, went to 77 late Tuesday night, then returned to 77.5 today. Ticket count is almost dead even, with a slight lean to the Over, and 76% of cash is on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET MONDAY: North Carolina is ranked and Wake Forest is not, but the Tar Heels are catching a field goal and the hook this week. Carolina (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) squeaked by Virginia 31-28 in Week 10, failing to cash as a 7.5-point road chalk.
Wake Forest (6-3 SU and ATS) is on a two-game SU and ATS skid. In Week 10, the Demon Deacons went to North Carolina State as 3-point road favorites and left with a 30-21 outright loss.
The line hasn't moved off Wake -3.5 at TwinSpires, with 60% of early spread bets/58% of early spread dollars on North Carolina.
"UNC is a trendy 'dog, which is a surprise to nobody. A team that's 8-1 overall/5-0 on the road and catching 3.5 points is going to be enticing," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is also stable at 76.5, with the Over seeing 58% of early bets/53% of early dollars.
Opening line: LSU -2.5; Over/Under 62
Time: Noon ET Saturday (ESPN)
UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SATURDAY: An hour before kickoff, the Tigers are -3.5 (-105) in WynnBet's college football Week 11 odds market. LSU opened -2.5 (-120) on Sunday afternoon, quickly advanced to -3, then went to -3.5 (-105) Monday morning.
The line then spent much of the week at various iterations of Tigers -3, and it's been at -3.5 since late Thursday night. An hour ago, ticket count was 3/1 and money beyond 9/1 on LSU. Now, ticket count remains 3/1 Tigers, but money is down to 2/1 on the road favorite.
WynnBet opened the total at 60.5 (Over -120), shot to 64 by Monday afternoon, then receded to 62 by Wednesday evening. At lunchtime Friday, the number nudged to 61.5, and today it's back at the 60.5 opener.
The Under is getting 52% of tickets, while 73% of cash is on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports pegged LSU a 3-point chalk at Sunday's outset and backtracked to -2 within about an hour. But the number just as quickly returned to Tigers -3, then briefly got to LSU -3.5 Monday morning before returning to -3.
The Tigers got to -3 (-115) Wednesday and today returned to -3.5. LSU is a very popular play, with Caesars Sports' Max Meyers noting the Tigers have more spread tickets this week than every NFL team except the Falcons. LSU has also seen more spread money than 22 of 28 NFL teams this week.
Point-spread ticket count is 9/1 and spread money 5/1 on the Bayou Bengals.
“It feels similar to last week with Tennessee, where we had major one-sided action there early on,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “It’s wondering how long you wait and stay at your number, because we could have gone lower. Then we got those huge sharp Georgia bets that made us go back up. You want to stay in line with the market, and you don’t want to be booking toward liability in these types of games.
"But LSU has been playing great, and the big question is: How healthy is [Arkansas QB] KJ Jefferson? If he doesn’t play, I can see this getting up to 6.”
Jefferson is questionable with a shoulder injury.
Caesars opened the total at 62, peaked at 64 Tuesday morning, then returned to 62 by Wednesday evening. Ticket count is 2/1 on the Under, while money is running dead even.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET MONDAY: LSU hopes to keep rolling after its monster upset of Alabama in Week 10. The Tigers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) closed as 13.5-point home underdogs, but came away with a 32-31 overtime victory.
Meanwhile, Arkansas (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) is in the midst of a middling season that got more middling in Week 10. The Razorbacks were healthy 15.5-point home favorites against Liberty and lost outright 21-19.
TwinSpires has already moved LSU up a half-point to -3 (-115), with early tickets and money in the 2/1 range on the Tigers.
"LSU is coming off a big upset win vs 'Bama, and now is just a short road fave and taking the a bulk of the money, as expected," TwinSpires Sportsbook's Zachary Lucas said. "LSU moneyline will be a popular play."
The total is up to 64 from a 62 opener, with ticket count 2/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Over in TwinSpires' college football Week 9 odds market.
Opening line: Tulane -2; Over/Under 51
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday (ESPN2)
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tulane opened -1.5 at DraftKings, quickly went to -2.5, then to -2 (-105) Sunday night. By Wednesday afternoon, the Green Wave were down to -1, and the number has since bounced between -1 and -1.5.
Tulane is currently -1, while taking 78% of spread tickets/63% of spread money.
The total opened at 51.5, peaked at 55 Tuesday, backed up to 53.5 Friday and is now at 54.5 (Over -115). Ticket count is 2/1-plus on the Over, but money is running almost dead even.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports opened Tulane -1 and by Sunday night got to -2, sticking there until backing up to -1.5 late Wednesday morning. The Green Wave remain -1.5 this afternoon.
Tulane is netting 71% of early spread tickets, but spread money is much more two-way, at 54% on the Green Wave.
The total steadily climbed from 51.5 Sunday afternoon to 54.5 Tuesday night, and it remains 54.5 now. Ticket count is almost 2/1 and money a hefty 8/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET MONDAY: Tulane (8-1 SU and ATS) is the No. 1 spread-covering outfit in the nation and is in a five-game SU and ATS spree. The Green Wave beat Tulsa 27-13 as 6.5-point road favorites in Week 10.
Central Florida is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS over its last seven games. In Week 10, the Knights were laying 2.5 points at Memphis and won 35-28.
Tulane is down a notch to -1.5 on TwinSpires' college football Week 11 odds board. The Green Wave are netting 63% of early spread tickets/54% of early spread money.
"Sharp play on UCF +2," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is up a half-point to 51.5, with 59% of tickets/65% of cash on the Over.